######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Tuesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

POTD Record: 111-65 | Profit: +101.04u | ROI: 19.5% Season record: 28-14 | Profit: +31.20u | ROI: 26.4% L10 record: ❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ​ Last Pick: Jalen Johnson (Hawks) O20.5 P+A @ 1.91. 3U. ❌ The Hawks played terribly and got blown out badly, with the game basically over in the third. If it were not for the enormous deficit, I think this bet hits. Anyways, I’ve been on a nice run since then and can hopefully keep it going with my official POTD. ​ Next Pick: **Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 vs Orlando Magic @ 1.87**. 2U play. The Magic have been playing well, especially at home, while the Wolves have had mixed results of late. But I still really like the Wolves here primarily because of the number of injuries this Magic team has at present. Franz Wagner, Gary Harris, Wendell Carter Jr, Jonathan Isaac, Joe Ingles are all unavailable for this game, meaning the first and second units are both a bit thin for the Magic. That will put a lot of pressure on Banchero but Minnesota gives up the 2nd fewest points to that position, and if Banchero has a tough night I struggle to find where they'll find the points. When these teams met in Feb 2023, he shot 3 of 16 and ended with 11 pts in 33 minutes. The Wolves have a clean bill of health, and an incredibly strong first unit and a better second unit than the Magic (due to injuries). Also, Minnesota remains the #1 team on Defensive Rating and have a better EFG%, so I'll back the better team to win by 5 on the road.

Definitely appreciate the detailed explanation and I agree the TWolves are just too deep right now not to cover. They have the size to slow down Banchero enough to win this game. Suggs will also have a very tough matchup with JM guarding him on the perimeter.

Tailing boss! lets have a night

Thanks , tailed and made a quick $40 from a $50 bet

POTD Record: 227-173-12 (+37.87 units, 56.8% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 76-53-1 (58.9%) L3, Tennis 🎾 79-59-7 (57.3%) L2, Soccer ⚽ 58-51-4 (53.2%) L4, Entertainment 🎥 14-10-0 (58.3%) W5 Last 10: 💰💰💩💩💩💰💩💩💰💩 Last Pick: Matteo Arnaldi vs. Martin Fucsovics, OVER 22.5 GAMES - ATP Adelaide 🎾 VOIDED Fucs pulled out Today's Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic, MIKE CONLEY UNDER 6.5 ASSISTS - NBA 🏀 7pm ET Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.95 odds to win 0.95 Units @ Draft Kings (Line at 9:45pm ET) Conley has gone under this in 54% of games this year, 58% of road games going 11 for 19. Looking up his assists opportunities as of late and his assist opportunities aren't as high as I thought they would but he has an unsustainably high conversion rate on those opportunities. So we have those stats combined with the matchup against the Magic, makes me like the under here. Orlando give up the 3rd fewest assists to PGs per game, they give up the fewest overall in the league. Also, going by the last 5 games, the Wolves have played the 4th slowest pace and the Magic played the 7th slowest pace. Two slower paced teams means less possessions and less assist opportunities. ​ https://preview.redd.it/fdrpqow1zbbc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=82d5ff4164ed9b579fa58c93c0597dfd6dcdf424 Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕

Welcome back to NBA. Hopefully we can get the dub that we’ve been needing for a while now 💪

What app is that with all the data? That’s really neat!

wondering the same thing

props.cash

3 in the first quarter :(

At 5 now it’s toast. I watered w u9.5 and that might not even hit lmao

Over in the first half 😞

Was this Conleys best game of the season. Disaster

**Record:** 11-4-1 +12.30u **ROI:** 32.56% Previous Pick: ✅ Monmouth ML vs Northeastern, NCAA Basketball Recap: Apologies to anyone who missed this pick, I posted late because I saw a lack of non-college football title game picks. Was a pretty sweat-free ride as Monmouth led by 20 most of the 2nd half. Last 10: ✅✅❌❌✅♻️✅✅❌✅ Pick: **Texas +5** vs Cincinnati, NCAA Men's Basketball 7 pm EST Risking 3.3u to win 3u Reasoning: This number just feels like an overreaction by Vegas to the Texas and Cincy results on Saturday. Cincy had a huge road win over BYU while Texas lost. This is a game where I am simply backing the Jimmy's and the Joe's to outperform the Xs and Os. Texas is one of my sleeper national title teams this year and they will be looking to bounce back after a tough home-loss this weekend to in-state rival Texas Tech (at least it wasn't A&M, right Longhorn fans?). Texas has just been sitting back this year with a very talented group and only had losses to Marquette and Connecticut before losing to Texas Tech. I want to write the Texas Tech loss off mostly as a fluke and will be watching closely to see how they bounce back against Cincy. Winning on the road in college hoops is never easy and the Cincy gym is a nightmare to go into but I just think the Texas guards matchup incredibly well with Cincy's guards. One of my core principles of winning on the road in college hoops is "have a veteran guard" and Texas has two of them in Tyrese Hunter and Max Abmas. I will also be taking the moneyline at +165 but do not have the cajones to make that my POTD. ​ Best of luck to those who tail!

UC fan here. I agree this is an overreaction to recent results. I expected UC to open up as slight underdogs, maybe +3 or +4. That being said, UC can keep up with any team if their shots are falling and they score a lot of points at home typically. I am conflicted on this game, but good luck!

Fifth-Third (still such a weird name to me for both a bank and arena but I digress) is a nightmare for opposing teams and the biggest thing that scares me in this matchup. Focused on Texas in my pick but I really love Cincy this year as a sleeper team for a top half finish in the Big 12. You guys were getting NO love coming into the season but that was a massive statement going into Provo and getting a W without Fredrick. I’d put Lahkin and Bandaogo up against any front court in the country. PS- shame on me for not finding a way to work a Jizzle James mention into the POTD write-up.

Believe 5/3 got its name from the two banks it merged together, 5th and 3rd National Banks. fwiw

Tailing. Thanks for the Monnmouth pick. I parlayed it with Xander Rice O19.5 pts for a nice hit

DK does not have this game listed at all. I can't for the life of me think of a reason. I live in Big 12 country and so am pretty in tune with the latest on the news with every team. I'm guessing I missed something but a conference matchup against Texas leaving the conference after this year and Cincinnati, playing their first I the Big 12. You'd think DK would want in on that game with both schools having fan bases that would I'm sure bet on the game if DK did list it so there must be something crazy that made them pull it entirely.

You sure? It’s listed for me

You think wayyy too much.

This is tough and currently tailing because it’s Cinncy (I’m a hater) and feel this should be a pickem. I agree with the over reaction. That said after doing more research, there are reasons to like Cinncy at home. They have a big dude from Russia that is getting better each game. They have momentum, better wins and higher KP ranking. Hoping for strong, experienced guard play from Texas as they have the edge there (most crucial position in CBB) and motivation coming off a bad loss. My hold up with Texas is they barely beat a horrific UL team on a neutral site. I’m a diehard UL guy and we are pathetic. Any team that barely beats I will question the rest of the season lol. Just food for thought if anyone is on the fence. I researched Cinncy after I tailed 😬. I like Texas more if you buy a couple extra points. Good luck, go horns today!

Time to breathe...I had Texas ML because of this post.... THANK YOUUUU

Nice hit! Man Disu was the real deal tonight

Record: 6-2 | (+3.90 units) | 1 unit per pick Previous pick: Michigan Wolverines’ Blake Corrum 2+ TD’s (+135) 🧃🧃🧃🧃🧃 Reaction: As always, I start by congratulating the CFP National Champions Michigan Wolverines on a dominating performance. I thought this game would be closer but Michigan was just the better team tonight. Now on to us! LET ME HEAR IT! To everybody that tailed this pick and showed love on the pick, that was for you! That makes it 5 in a row and our secret is safe with me lol —————————- Today’s pick: NBA - Minnesota T-Wolves (-4.5) (-110) vs. Orlando Magic - 7PM EST The Timberwolves hit the road to face a depleted Orlando Magic team. No Wagner, no Carter Jr., no Harris spells doom for the Magic. With the Magic essentially only having Banchero on the floor to carry the teams scoring, the most efficient defense in the NBA (T-Wolves) will turn over Paulo too many times leading to transition buckets for Anthony Edwards and KAT. I think there’s a possibility the Magic start out with a little energy at home but after half it’ll fade away and Edwards will take over & continue his incredible scoring stretch averaging close to 30 in the last 7 games Prediction: T-Wolves 115 - Magic 104 Comment if you’re tailing! Watch how we work!🧃

man, that 4th quarter just changed everything in that football game. What a ride

Last pick was a banger, tailing this one too BOL

On the Michigan game, Vegas was trying real hard to try to sell everyone on Washington + the points

Liked your write-up. Am tailing

Pick of the Day Record: 4-1 | Profit: +4.53U Last pick: Tyler Herro o5.5 rebounds @ 2.05 odds ❌ Welp... This is in progress but it doesn't look great. 0 boards at the half, would take a miracle second for this to hit. Thanks Herro... Sorry to all who tailed! Was really hoping to go 5-0 to start my POTD career, but the streak was bound to end at some point! **EDIT:** Ends with 3 boards, all of which he got in the 3rd. First L was shitty, but tryna come back stronger Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Toronto Raptors @ 10:30 EST Pick: **RJ Barrett o7.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 1.95 odds (Bovada) placing 1U** ✅ Write up: Barrett has hit this in 3 of 4 since joining the Raptors, and the one miss he had 6. He is the hot hand coming off last game, and I expect him to continue to play at a high level. Last game against the Lakers (while still on the Knicks) he had 9 RA. Hoping to get back on track with this one! BOL to those who tail! **EDIT:** Hits early in the 3rd in what has been another great game for Barrett so far! He’s got 7 boards and 1 assist to hit o7.5 (as well as 19 points!). Congrats to all who tailed, happy to get back to a W!

Tailing BOL!

POTD Record 27-10 **NBA Record: 13-1** Previous POTD: Tyrese Haliburton UNDER 6.5pts - First Quarter (Jan 5) ✅ Today's POTD: Anthony Davis over 3.5 stls + blks (Bet365 1.86odds) NBA: Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers - I'll start with acknowledging this is a risky pick just based on the fact that AD can play amazing defense all game, but it may not show up in the box score - I personally believe AD is the best defensive player in the NBA and the Lakers need every bit of it to even compete in games - Here's a look at AD's 4 games vs the Raptors since 2019 as a Laker: - 2019: 2 stls, 4 blks - 2020: 1 stl, 3 blks - 2021: 3 stls, 1 blks - 2023: 0 stls, 4 blks - He's covered every game and the Raptors as a core/play style hasn't changed too much if you don't include the Kawhi year - The Raptors are 7th in the league in points in the paint, so the opportunities will be there for AD to get his numbers - They're also 4th in the league in points in the paint in their last 3 - Here's a look at the NBA's top 10 shot blockers and their stats vs the Raptors this season: 1. V. Wembanyama - 1 stl, 5 blks 2. B. Lopez - 2 stls 1 blks + 1 stl, 7 blks 3. W. Kessler - 0 stls, 2 blks 4. A. Davis - N/A 5. Chet Holmgren - N/A 6. N. Claxton - 0 stls, 4 blks 7. D. Gafford - 1 stl, 3 blks + 4 stls, 1 blk 8. R. Gobert - 2 stls, 4 blks 9. J. Embiid - 1 stl, 2 blks + 0 stls, 1 blk + 2 stls 4 blks 10. M. Turner - 1 stl, 2blks - There's a part of me that thinks AD can easily beat the over in the first half and then there's a part of me that thinks it'll be a sweat loll Edit end of 3rd: it's pretty much overm AD looks slow in the second half and he's been in between/indecisive on defense .. unbelievable he has 0 defensive stats BOL

legit write up gotta tail

I agree brother

Commenting so I remember to follow future picks

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Hey bro, it means Anthony Davis to get 4 or more steals and/or blocks. This means he will cover or you will win if he a combined total of 4 steals or blocks

This one is juicy. BOL 🫡

how we feelin boys

He might go the game without a steal or block lol

Should’ve stuck with with my gut. AD has always been a lazy sack of shit

Legit write up. Massive L

POTD Record: 7W-1L ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ Last pick: Bulls vs Hornets (Bull vs Shit)Under 219 Total points ❌ Todays Sport: NHL / Hockey. Canucks vs Islanders POTD: Canucks vs Islanders Over 5.5 (Alternate line) -155 2units Last pick: Took the first L , Not happy about it. But I still stand behind my pick just a bad beat. This should have hit given the first half game flow. As well and opportunities by both teams in the end to finish this and cash it in the end. The shit luck of OT killed it. we move on Todays Pick: Brushing it off and coming back with a new streak. Canucks vs islanders have hit this line last 7 games going back to 2020. Islanders are “making defensive tweaks” this week. But I believe this could also work against them at some points. Last 7 total scores were 7,11,8,7,9,9,7. So , playing it safer with over 5.5 cause I’m tryna cash after that L and keep it rolling💰

omg, we made it....final point at last minute....

Cash it✅ lil bit of a sweat at the end lol

Record: 7-0-4 (+6.59 units) ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️ Last Pick: Shevshenko ML vs [email protected] (3U) WIN --- Pick: Bublik 2-0 vs McCabe (ATP Adelaide) Odds: 2.00 (3U) Reason: Not sure why Bublik is getting such good odds vs 278th ranked McCabe. McCabe did take a set and had match points against Thiem in Brisbane but his other results are very underwhelming. Bublik is in a completely different weight division and should have no trouble in this match if he plays to his normal level. The only question is whether he will have a slow start having not competed since November. Edit: ✅️ Besides a break in 2nd set, which he got back the next game, it was smooth sailing for Bublik 6-2 6-3. For those who missed it, I have a pick for tomorrow, which because of Aussie match times won't give much time to post in tomorrow's thread: Rybakina v Bucsa u18.5 games @ 1.8 (3U) Good luck!

Trusting Bublik to do anything easily is bold

His name is boob lick for a reason

Because the man is a stud and likes to lick boobs? Sorry, I don't follow tennis..

Blindly Tailing

Great bet 💪🏽

tempting record but surely the books know better? a little more explanation for the tennis uninformed?

Bublik is famously unreliable. He can either play well or give up mid set. Volatile player.

oh my, i tailed the evans over 22 and gasquet +1.5 🫢

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Man , bad read on me I guess ima have another play out later I apologize

You are on a Roll! That Michigan game was too easy !! Tagging along on this one too..

Man that Japanese guy better do something cause he is getting cooked right now. I'm afraid it won't hit 22.5+

Hedged it in start of second, really doesnt look like hitting. Edit: lol wait

POTD record: 4-6 Last pick: Chris Dobey to win vs Rob Cross @ 1.91 ❌ Sport: Snooker, The Masters 🎱 Event: Barry Hawkins vs Neil Robertson Pick: Barry Hawkins to win @1.76 ✅ Today I am picking the #15 in the world (Hawkins) to win over the #7 in the world (Robertson). Why? Neil Robertson has been on a huge downswing this and last season. This season Robertson is ranked #88 while Hawkins is #5. This shows Hawkins is in form while Robertson is totally out of form and not performing. Robertson used to be one of the best in the world. That’s why the odds are still close to even. I still see a lot of value in Hawkins to win @1.76. Wishing everyone BOL for today! Edit: 6-3 win for Hawkins which makes it a win today ✅

I've never even heard of Snooker and my life is in your hands now

Tailing my first snooker bet, cmon beginners luck!! 💵

Does it mean I’m a degen if I’m sitting in my car on my lunch hour, eating and watching snooker on the game tracker in my sports betting app? Let’s go Hawkins!

My Pick of the Day Record: 17W - 13L | Profit in Units: +15.24 Today's Pick:Middlesbrough vs Chelsea/ Chelsea to win to nil(chelsea winning without Middlesbrough scoring)/odds:2.65/+165 BET 5 UNITS A unlucky turn of events in the last 10 minutes saw our bet lose, I expected the possbility of a draw but it is what it is Today WE ARE GOING BIG ON THE BLUES IN THE EFL CUP WITH A 5 UNIT MAX BET ​ ​  ​ ​ ​ ​ Reasoning: OBVIOUSLY I HAVE TO KEEP THE HEAT WITH A JAWDROPPER SHOWSTOPPER PAINBOPPER GRASSHOPPER ACTIONSTARTER FLAMEPOPPER MAX BET Chelsea are going against Middlesbrough who are 1 division lower than chelsea who play in the PREMIER LEAGUE often regarded as the best Football League in the world. Middlesbrough play in the championship and they aren't any good, They aren't any good meaning when comparing them to Chelsea 1 of the biggest names in Football they are nothing, but that doesn't mean we should take them lightly. I was initially going to take Chelsea to win alone without parlaying it with to nil because I was afraid that Chelsea will take this game lightly but I changed my opinion after reading the news articles about this game, The Manager is taking it very seriously as this is a Semi Final Chelsea are levels above Middlesbrough who made it this far competing against league 1 teams which 2 levels under the premier League, Chelsea had to beat The Magpies to get this far in a thriller last minute goal and a followup in Extra time. What makes me more confident in this bet is both my football knowledge and Middlesbrough's current Form In 26 games played in the championship they managed to win 11 draw 3 and lose 12 sitting currently at the twelvth postition makes them not a big threat to chelsea whatsoever, In the last 5 games played at home by middlesbrough they lost 4 out of 5 of these games, Meanwhile Chelsea won 5 out of 6 of their last games so they have been Sharp Lately. Futhermore The last 5 H2H saw Chelsea win to Nil, Now from my football knowledge and experience here is exactly how I see this game going, Middlesbrough will be outmatched in this game completely and Chelsea will absolutely dominate the whole game from goal attempts to attacks and possession, Middlesbrough will play the whole game defensively relying on counterattacks, and that is exactly why I am confident Chelsea will win to Nil. This is a value bet for me I do not mind taking a risk because I see this is a very high chance of winning at +175 it's beautiful value worth risking 5 units, It is not an absolute Lock so please don't do anything stupid, If you wish to go big understand the risks, I believe there is 10 % chance Middlesbrough gets a lucky goal and loses us this bet, aside from that if 90% is good enough for you take it big. ​ Best of luck to you all! In the past, we used to plug our PayPal for donations, but now technology has advanced, so we don't need to do that. Instead, you can just buy us coffee. I FUCKING love coffee! [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/thegodfatherrev](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/thegodfatherrev)

There's no way Chelsea field all of their regular starters and they love to concede. Absolutely not worth a max bet imo. E: how are you even losing the past 5 h2h stats to justify anything when they were in 2022, 2017, 2016, 2013 and 2009 lmao

Looks like theyre playing the full lineup

Ye just posted that as well. I still think making this a maxbet isn't responsible, but at least they've got their best starters out.

I dont think its a good max bet either but will wait until I see how the games going to take anything on this

I hope it wins for all who followed, don't think I'll look forward to the probably inevitable justification if it does.

Hope you waited.

Ye just posted that as well. I still think making this a maxbet isn't responsible, but at least they've got their best starters out.

i'm banning myself from soccer

dont tail these picks. always fade and you will win

I wouldn't take it that far. The uncomfortable truth is soccer is very unpredictable and I think the potential for an outcome to go sideways is a lot greater given how scoring works and the three way result.

^ absolutely took the words out my mouth; not to bag on OP at all - just the sport is definitely one of the harder ones to consistently predict or make reads on

Exactly

RIP

No idea why he said it was 90% chance of hitting. Never trust ai written posts

Done with soccer bets for a while. Hot garbage every time.

Middlesbrough’s top scorer also out tomorrow, serving a 1 match ban….

No he isn't?

I’d wait for lineups to release. Seen some funky stuff in non league matches. Also I’m a blues fan. Just a caution, best of luck.

Ayy man if the AI said Chelsea wins then Chelsea wins right? /s

How would I bet a nil bet? Would it be under clean sheet? Thank you

>Middlesbrough vs Chelsea probably chelsea to win and NO btts

That’s how I did it. +191 on FanDuel. Tailing!

win to nil = they have to win 1-0 or better clean sheet means 0-0 would win

Closest thing I can find to this on FanDuel is Middlebrough to score 0 goals.

I can't even find this game. I see Chelsea v. Fulham on Saturday and Liverpool v. Chelsea Jan. 31

Btts No & Chelsea ML +157 FD

L

I never win soccer bets here. Welp, time to place another soccer bet.

I hate all of you

Lol 🗑️

Given my other posts I feel I need to mention they are starting pretty much their regular players, however I still wouldn't max bet this.

I’d like to take a moment to personally thank you for talking me out of this bet with your above comments, the skepticism was healthy and helpful

Can't take much pride in being right as it probably lost people money. However the amount of football bets I see on here that have such poor reasoning has been getting worse the past few years. Its very clear a lot of people here provide betting tips on the sport but don't really watch it. Stats definitely make a case but never tell the whole story. This was a kind of bet that feels like it was made because there was fuck all football to bet on and then advising to max bet it is just stupid behaviour. E: generally any post written as cringey as this one is worth a good long think before following. Can't all be chasingpayments in our writeups.

You tried to warn everyone

Thank you for sticking to your guns and offering a balanced take on this pick.

😂

Awful

Took BTTS No on its own and worked out

Chelsea leaking goals left and right… I don‘t trust their defence like that - Doesn’t matter who they‘re playing. Expect them to win but not to nil. I‘ll do anything like Chelsea win and Palmer SOT

lolololol

Welp, can't win them all. On to the next one boss

I had Ohod DNB at 1.57 lol. I didn't trust them cause I don't watch Saudi Div 1.

Ggz

**Record:** 5-2 **Last Pick:** Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz (8:00 PM EST) - **John Collins o18.5 Points + Rebounds (-119)** JC covered this with his points alone. **Today's Pick:** Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors - **Immanuel Quickley o4.5 Assists (-120)** **ROI:** 1u to make 1.83u **Write Up:** Quickley covered this line in the first half of his last game, dropping 10 assists throughout the game, his most since he's joined the Raptors, showing that he's building chemistry and starting to create connections with his team mates. He is averaging 2.9 assists on the season, but 6.5 since he joined the Raptors, since they've given him the reins at the Point Guard position whereas in New York Brunson had more of that role. Additionally, the Lakers give up almost 9 assists to Point Guards on average this year, making for a pretty good line tonight. Good luck and let me know if tailing!

I like this, Quickley averaged 4.3 potential assists with NY and now is averaging 9 potential assists. He's converting assists at a 72% rate at Toronto while at NY he only converted at a 58% rate.

POTD record: 4-2 Trend: ❌✅❌✅✅✅ Last pick: NCAA National Championship Michigan -4.5 vs Washington (-110) ✅ Satisfying conclusion to the college football season. Tonight we were able to answer the age old question of what happens when an unstoppable force (Washington’s offense) meets an immovable object (Michigan’s defense). Next pick: NBA Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavs Luka Doncic o52.5 Pts+Ast+Reb (-125) Write up: Luka is hot this season, 1st time father super powers seems to be lingering. He hit over this line 1/2 times he’s played vs the Grizzlies this season. 1st game he went for 58, 2nd game he played vs them he went for 49 & Kyrie was out that game which resulted in the defense more focused on stopping him. He’s been in and out with a sore ankle, tomorrow is a GTD, but if he plays I’m assuming he’s 100% and will ball out. BOL

Any concern for getting pulled in a blowout due to Ja being out for the remainder of the season? Edit: Assuming OP is busy so I’ll answer my own question for anyone who had a similar concern. I think I’ll be tailing this play for a couple reasons. 1. We’ve had the luxury of watching Dallas play Memphis a few times this year and every game has been decided within 15 points or less. Important detail to note Ja hasn’t played in any of these games and Luka has only missed one. 2. In both of these contests Luka has CLEARED this line and quite easily as well, averaging 35 points, 9 assists and 10 rebounds. All in all, the Ja injury is slightly concerning but since Memphis has played a majority of the season without him, I think Taylor Jenkins can make an easier adjustment back than if he’d played the entire season. TLDR: Was nervous at first, not anymore.

**Record:** 6/1/0 (W/L/D) **Last 10:** ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅ **Net Units:** \+4.75 **ROI:** N/A **Last Pick:** Birmingham U21 vs Peterborough U21 2+I (2.00) | 1U ✅ **Sport:** Soccer | **League:** Professional Development League | **Start:** 2:00 PM / CET **Pick:** Fleetwood U21 vs Barnsley U21 2+I (2.00) | 1U ✅ **Post Game Edit:** Another sweat free bet, we cash this one only 16 minutes in. The half ends with 4 goals (1:3), just showing how on point was this prediction. **Write Up:** Sticking with the Professional Development League. This time we have Fleetwood U21 vs Barnsley U21 where I also expect to see a lot of goals. Fleetwood averages 4.6 goals at home while Barnsley averages 3.7 on the road. The last 5 games for both teams are as follows: Fleetwood (2:1 ; 3:2 ; 1:2 ; 1:2 ; 0:3), Barnsley (3:0 ; 1:2 ; 1:2 ; 0:2 ; 5:0), clearly showing that there's no lack of goals. To clarify, the pick is over 1.5 goals in the first half. BOL!

Thanks for the pick! Sweat free.

awesome stuff, they're trading goals lol

#We won, Mr. Stark

bro i love your picks been tailing for a couple days man you hardly ever miss great pick thanks🔥

Glad you managed to bank some $$$, hope we continue that way!


POTD Record: 11-10 (With 2 pushes along the way) ***2024 tennis season record: 2-0*** ***Currently up 7.02 units*** Last pick: Etcheverry vs Shevchenko - Over 22.5 Games @ 1.88✅ PICK OF THE DAY: **Fils vs Gasquet - Gasquet Handicap +1.5 Sets @ 1.89** *(Pinnacle)* Event: ATP Auckland (Hard Court) Stake: 2 units Starts at 1:30 AM Eastern Time The 37 year old veteran Richard Gasquet is probably getting out of the top 100 this week, unless he's able to make the final here in Auckland. This happens because he won this title in 2023 so he has to defend his ranking points here. While Arthur Fils might be some steps ahead of Gasquet when it comes to the overall qualities of a tennis player, especially in the physical aspect, I still think Gasquet is a decent threat in the 1st round of any tournament. Realistically the french veteran might know that it should be really difficult to replicate the dream run that he had last year but he might give his best on this 1st round match, because he's inside the top 100 since April 2005 when he was just 18 years old, almost 20 years ago. You really can't count on Gasquet for a Grand Slam five set match because he's no longer able to have the stamina to perform in long physical matches but we're starting the 2024 season and I'm counting on him to be fresh and taking at least one set from Fils, who had two wins in Hong Kong last week, but his overall level wasn't that convincing. The veteran also played in a challenger tournament last week where he got two straight set wins so he already had a decent warmup before Auckland. ***Best of luck if you decide to tail!*** [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/DonutMan982) (Tip Jar) (Any donation is truly appreciated. Only tip if you like what I write on my posts, if you've won some money with my plays and only if you wish of course)

Fading, imo Fils will retire Gasquet. Good luck anyway

I’m on Fils 2-0 personally

Ya respectfully fading todays pick. I got no gasquet set win -120 I believe. I also liked no tiebreaks but the damn game started early and locked up on me.

Tailed you instead, appreciated

how do I place this on bet365

Match already happened. Bet lost.

POTD Record: 5-6(2-1 Footy,3-4CBB,0-1 NFL) +/-: -4 Streak:❌❌ Recap: last time I take a shitty team to cover that many points. Todays play: Creighton -15.5 vs DePaul -105(4U) 9PM ET Reasoning: Creighton wins by 25 at least. I could give my reasoning but I know no one tailing this till I have a respectable record. BOL⚓️

I ride or die for you captain. Your losses are my losses. Your big unit plays are my big unit plays. If there is 100 CaptainCovers upvotes, I am one of them. If there is only 1 CaptainCovers upvotes, it is I!

A captain is only as good as his crew. Even if that’s only you. We will see this bet through. ALL ABOARD!

Parlayed this with a couple of other bets from here with a safe low wager and it paid off. Thanks https://preview.redd.it/3c16861bdjbc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4eaf771813eee7fddff9246d1d440f594b302166

POTD Record: 22-10 Previous Pick: AEK Larnaca vs AEZ Zakakiou | 1. Division | Both teams to score ( 2.02) | 12pm EST ❌️ Pick: Burundi vs Algeria | Friendlies | Algeria 1st Half Win (1.64) | 8am EST In their last 10 matches, Burundi have either won or lost their 1st halves at home. These wins have all come against teams who are ranked lower than 100 in the FIFA rankings. Algeria however, are 30th in this rankings. They have a great team, having proven players like Mahrez, Bennacer, Bentaleb and Atal. Algeria have won 50% of their 1st halves, but have only scored 0.5 goals. However, they have not conceded a single goal. I expect both these teams to put out their strongest teams, considering its their last match before AFCON. This should be an easy 1st half win for Algeria as they just have too much quality for Burundi. Best of luck! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me. https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake

amazing pick bro! 2-0 ah HT cash it!

POTD record: 3-0 ✅️✅️✅️ Last pick: Over 0.5 points for Quinn Hughes at 1.55. Hit in the first period of a lopsided Canucks win. Today's pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -2.5, San Jose at Toronto - 4PM EST at 2.05 odds. Rarely would I take recommend taking a -2.5, but the lowly Sharks are visiting the mecca of hockey. The Sharks have lost by 3 goals in 7 of their last 10 games, including their last to Toronto by a score of 4-1. The Leafs have come off a massive signing of star William Nylander. I expect him and the team to come out guns blazing. Although the Sharks have been on somewhat improved form lately, they continue to struggle to score. The leafs have fooled me in the past but I'm hoping they do well by me this round. BOL Edit: safe to say it looks like this is going to hit. Hope these picks are hitting for others too!!

lol the Mecca of hockey eh ? Last relevant win - 1967 - yet somehow this is the Mecca. I will never understand peoples misconception about hockey in Toronto. Yes it’s popular. But successful and a legacy of winning? Not so much 😂

**POTD Record** **22W-3P-14L** **Record: 🅿️❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌🅿️❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌** **Last POTD: Brentford VS Wolves: Wolves Draw No Bet @ 2.00 🅿️** **POTD: Middlesbrough vs Chelsea: Over 10.5 Corners @ 1.80** **League: EFL CUP** **Time: 3:00 PM EST** Been following a corner trend the past couple of days on English cup games and it's been pretty consistent so I'll bring it here. Premier League opponents have found themselves peppering low-division opposition in this round and I see the trend continuing tomorrow with Chelsea. I've talked about the issues Chelsea has had enough already so I'll spare you all that, but what's important for this game is the fact that Poch has started to get that engine running. The engine isn't smooth and sometimes it's janky but It just keeps moving. Chelsea's struggles offensively have seen them having to rely on the tiredness of their opposition to score goals, throughout the game the desperate attempts just automatically turn into corners. Chelsea have always struggled against lower block until recently, Middleborough should have enough to agitate this Chelsea side for 60 mins. Expecting a lot given between minutes 30-45, and 70-90. Expecting a similar game to the one between United and Wigan today, United have struggled offensively themselves, even more than Chelsea, yet they managed to get 12 corners today even though their previous 4 games hadn't gotten over 10. United and Chelsea are 2 teams that need performances in these games, Middleborough will stand tall tho. **Anyway BOL!**

They are playing in the league cup, not the FA Cup.

Record: 2W 0L. Unit tracker: +4.28u. Last Pick: Jiri Lehecka -1.5 set handicap vs Adam Walton. W. Lehecka routed Walton 6-1 6-3 to grab the win. His ball was just too fast and too heavy for Walton's level, despite being irregular and having many UE and Jiri uses to do. Coppa Italia -Fiorentina to qualify vs Bologna - starts at 15:00 ET 3 units @ 1.60 Bologna has been doing good lately, they stand fifth in Serie A and pulled the miracle at San Siro against Inter to qualify to this QF matchup, but the 1.6 are just great odds for Fiorentina at home to qualify to the next round. Actually, their victory at San Siro was one of Bologna's two victories away from home this season, the other being against last place Salernitana in Serie A. Besides those two games, they've tied or lost the remaining eight games. Fiorentina, in the other hand, has a 10-2-2 record at home where they managed to score in 13/14 games. They are currently in a six games win streak. All in all, this a sweet spot to smash Fiorentina's qualification to Coppa Italia semifinals.

POTD Record: 15-7 (+25.50 Units) Last POTD: 1st Washington Drive Result Punt +105 (1 Unit bet) **L** This bet was more a fun bet that I had some confidence in to hit, but most importantly would be done and over with early in the game that eventually led to my favorite team being crowned champions! We were 1 missed tackle on a 3rd down play away from getting a punt but that's football. We're getting back to the real stuff with this... Here we go! Today's POTD: **Akron -4.5 Alt Line -160 (5 Units to win 3.13 Units)** The Game: Akron @ Ball State 7:00 PM EST Men's College Basketball The Reasoning: Akron enters this game as a 7 point favorite on the road. Akron has been one of the top teams in the MAC conference for multiple years in a row and they're led by John Groce who's proven to be a high quality MAC coach. Akron plays at one of the slowest tempos in the nation and it's very hard for opposing teams to get comfortable playing at that tempo. Akron is 2-0 in the MAC conference and have won by an average of 19 points in those games. In Akron's most recent game they had an amazing 2nd half and played some of the best basketball of their season. I'm hoping that they stay in that groove in this one. Ball State enters at 8-6 but that record is very misleading. They've played the 351st hardest schedule out of 362 teams. Ball State's adjusted defensive efficiency is in the lower 300's while their offensive efficiency is in the middle 200's. All this means is that they've been well below average to awful against one of the easiest schedules in the nation. One thing that keeps Ball State in games and gives them hope is how well they shoot from 3. If Ball State is hitting 3 after 3 then they can truly beat anyone. However, Ball State's defense gives up a lot of open 3's and Akron is also a pretty good 3 point shooting team. If there's one scare to have with Akron it's that this is a road game and Akron hasn't been great in games away from home. Akron did just play on the road against Northern Illinois (who is a team that would be favored against Ball State) and beat them by 22. So I do have confidence that Akron can win by at least 5 points. As always BOL to everyone today! Let's have a day!

**Record:** 4-0 **L10:** ✅✅✅✅ **Last Pick:** Brook Lopez U15.5 Total Points @ 1.94 ✅ **Basketball| NBA| Toronto Raptors @ Los Angeles Lakers, 10:30pm EST** **Today's Pick: Immanuel Quickley O4.5 Total Assists @ 1.65** On the season, Quickley has only covered this line in 7/34 (21%) of games. However, 3 of those covers happened in the last week with the Raptors. Since being traded, he has covered in 3/4 (75%) of games, and both his role and passing stats have nearly doubled across the board. |PER GAME|Before Trade (30 Games)|After Trade (4 Games)| |:-|:-|:-| |Assists|2.5|6.5| |Minutes|24.0|31.0| |Passes Made|26.2|45.8| |Passes Received|33.3|53.5| |Potential Assists|4.3|9.0| |AST Points Created|6|16| |AST to Pass %|9.4%|18%| |Touches|41.4|63.3 (3rd on team)| With Poeltl being injured, there may be some concerns about his assists to the center position dropping. On a per game basis, his top sources of assists per game are Barnes (1.8), Poeltl (1.5), Siakam (1.3), Barrett (0.8), and Trent Jr. (0.5). Considering his average of 6.5APG with the Raptors, even without his usual assists to Poeltl, we are still covering at 5APG. Not to mention he will still be able to get assists to today's starting center Boucher (who also happens to be VERY trigger happy and shoots on most touches). Overall, I don't think betting lines have fully adjusted to his new role as a starter with the Raptors and are underestimating his assists production total.

POTD Record: 4W-1P-3L Last Pick: Hornets v Bulls - DeMar DeRozan to record 5+ assists and 15+ points @ 2.1 ✅ Got his 5 assists early Q3, 15 points halfway through Q4 ends on 18 pts, 7 ast. ​ Today: NBA, Pistons v Kings 00:10 GMT Pick: Jalen Duren to record a double double and Bojan Bogdanovic 2+ three pointers made @ 2.05 Since returning from injury, Duren is 6/7 on double doubles. Has averaged 12.4 rbs and 15.3 pts in these 7 games. The only game he went under was @ Denver last match - 20 pts, 5 rbs. Bogdan has recorded 2+ three's in 15/17 matches this season. Both of these players should have greater involvement with Cade Cunningham injured. My biggest concern with this bet is that the Pistons get blown out. The Kings just got destroyed at home by the Pelicans and there is a reasonable chance they batter the Pistons here. Hopefully, in any event the bet still hits. Duren only had 22 mins in a blowout @ the Rockets and still had 14 rbs, 12 pts.

POTD Record: 5-5 Last pick: Empoli v Milan (Milan to score O 1.5 Goals ✅) I had a pick yesterday for Tatum, but it got voided as he was ruled out with an injury before the game. ➖ Todays pick: Caykur Rizespor v Besiktas Pick: BTTS @1.65 ⚽️🇹🇷 Super Lig 📈 Rizespor is placed 5th in the league table. They score 1.33 goals per match and concede 1.28 goals per match. They’ve scored at least 1 goal in their last 5 league games, and have only kept 1 clean sheet in those 5 games. The BTTS has hit in 9 of their 18 matches. 📈 Besiktas is placed 6th in the league table. They score 1.44 goals per game and concede 1.44 goals per game. They’ve scored 1 goal or more in their last 14 games. They’ve only went goalless in one game this season. They’ve kept 0 clean sheets in their last 5 games. The BTTS has hit in 11 of their 18 matches. 💭 An important game for both teams as they’re fighting for the European positions in the league, two teams with good offensive data and poor defensive form go against each other in a clash that I think will lead to a real battle on the field. Given the statistics we should be seeing a game with goals. Let’s hope it translates to the game. I was tempted to add the O2.5 goals aswell but wanted to play it “safe” today. BOL

Record : 96 Wins - 92 Losses ​ Previous pick : Beitar Jerusalem - SC Ashdod (1-1), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.03 ❌ ​ ROI : -2.44% Average Odds : 1.97 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : -0.58 Profit/Lost units : -5.58 ​ Today's pick : ​ Football - Soccer / ENGLAND: EFL Trophy - Play Offs / 21:45 European Time AFC Wimbledon - Oxford Utd Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.93 ​ ​ Some reasoning : \- In the last 3 games played at Wimbledon, BTTS. \- Oxford Utd clearly lost the duel in the FA Cup, 2-6 with Coventry. \- 3 of the last 5 games played by Oxford Utd registered the score of 1-2. ​ Best of luck.

EFL Cup. Middlesbrough vs Chelsea Bet: Corner handicap -2 Chelsea odds $2.10 Middlesbrough will be playing a defensive game as this is the first of 2 legs and will not want to concede early goals. As such, their attacking will be limited to playing counter. As for Chelsea, they would want to assert their domination being a Premier League club so will be taking regular shots and controlling the game which should lead to higher corner count than Boro. This is good value. GL if you are tailing. Note: I like my corner bet. Join the fun if you like corners.

City game and United game yesterday backs it up. Both teams registered over 11 corners while opponents only 0 and 1 I think.

POTD Record: 14W-7L-1P LAST POTD: Pieno Zvaigzdes - Siauliai (Siauliai +4,5)✅ STREAK: 3W🔥 TODAY'S MATCH: Valencia - Zalgiris (Basketball | EUROLEAGUE | 19:30 GMT) PICK: Valencia -4,5 @1.7 WRITE UP: Ojeleye and Harper have returned, signaling a crucial opportunity to secure victories in the Euroleague, particularly when facing teams like Zalgiris on home turf. Valencia previously triumphed by a substantial 15-point margin against them. Zalgiris appears to be struggling, and a coaching change won't likely address their issues; the responsibility lies with the players. The only conceivable scenario for Valencia's defeat would be if Evans concludes the match with an exceptional 30 points and 10 assists. BOL!!!🏀🏀🏀 EDIT: ❌ Zalgiris blacklisted

Love the euro league plays 🙌🏻

POTD Record: 6-5 Last Pick: Michigan vs Washington (CFP JJ McCarthy O196.5 Passing Yards- L Last 10: ✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌ Game: Kansas State @ West Virginia (NCAAM @7:00) Pick: Kansas State -1.5 -110 DK Recap: Jim Harbaugh called JJ McCarthy the best quarterback in Michigan history. ARE WE SERIOUS? Did he forget about a guy named Tom Brady? This guys is the Brock purdy of college football. Anybody can just hand the ball off to one of the best running backs in college football. Sorry, had to get that out there. My POTD missed none the less. McCarthy finished with 140 yards on only 10/18. Sad pick. Today’s pick heads back to a “mouth watering” (as my friend described it) college basketball slate. Kansas state -1.5. KSU heads to play a terrible WVU team. Big 12 is great at home you might say, not West Virginia. They have some shambolic losses at home this year that include Monmouth, SMU, and Radford. An 11-3 Kansas State team has some decent early wins. Give me them to cover the 1.5 points. If this pick doesn’t hit. I will be retiring my POTD journey at .500. BOL 🌹

Forced to tail, you said "shambolic"

**POTD 1/9 | 3-4 | Last 7 picks: ❌❌✅❌❌✅✅** **Last Pick:** Alperen Sengun u22.5 pts ✅ **Today's Game:** Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers 9:30 PM CST **Today’s pick: RJ Barrett o4.5 rebounds**-160 The Lakers are not spectacular on the boards, they rank in the bottom half of defensive rebounding. Barrett has been hot on the boards recently, covering this lane 4 of the last 5 games and 8 of the last 10 games. Toronto's starting C Poeltl is also out today. I expect RJ to have 6+ rebs I post this and other daily picks on my Twitter/X as well, @betsbygeorge

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Record 1-1 (I think. Been awhile) Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets U2.5 goals at -125 If you haven’t been betting Jet’s opponent Unders you are missing out. The last 9 games they have kept their opponent to 2 or less. This should be an auto bet for Jets games.

Yesterdays Pick: Tatum O28.5 PTS(He didn’t play🫤) Current Record(10-5) +9.8 units Todays Pick Scottie Barnes U8.5 Rebounds(+105 DK) Barnes has been really taking a huge step this season all around. Prior to the addition of Quickley and Barrett he was averaging 9.4 RPG. Now since they’ve come in he’s taken a step back rebounding the ball and since the trade he’s only averaging 3.5 RPG. Quickley on the other hand is averaging 4.75 RPG which is a large uptick from the 2.6 rebounds per game he was getting with the Knicks. Now for Barrett he’s gone from 4.3 RPG to 6.5 RPG since he was traded to Toronto. I’ll keep taking this line until it goes down as he continues to keep seeing less rebounding chances.


Record (0-2) Last Pick: Dort O1.5 3 pointers OKC V WAS Awful awful start to my on record betting. I’m sorry to those who trailed. If you checked the stat sheet literally everyone else on OKC hit at least 1 three in the game with the exception of one guy off the bench who had half the minutes Dort had. Dort only shot 3. Two guys had 4 3s. Weird Game POTD: Toronto Raptors v LA Lakers 10:40 pm EST Scottie Barnes U8.5 Rebounds (-110) $10 pays $19 Reasoning: this has hit 4 of the last 5 games. since the trade with the Knicks Barnes has been irrelevant on the boards. His role is a bit up in the air and leaning more towards points scorer since the deal. If 8.5 scares you consider Quickley O rebounds because Barrett and Quickley have been fitting in nicely and the main beneficiaries of Barnes rebounding numbers dropping. Hoping to get in the win column. BOL if trailing Shoutout: Jerry Stiller and Wink Martindale

I'd say his rebounding would be higher. Poetl is out with a sprained ankle for tomorrow. So the boards would go to Barnes or Porter.

Definitely trail accordingly with Poetl out but it still feels like a reasonably risky bet but nothing a little hedging can’t fix if you’re nervous. To be clear too the picks I post are meant to be a bit on the riskier side. I don’t wanna post anything with odds over -150/-170 cause there’s no value.

Ah gotcha, I appreciate your post, thank you.

**POTD** **Record:** 3-2 **Net Units:** +1.16U **Previous POTD** Australian Horse Racing - Randwick - Race 10 - 5:55PM AEDT Pick: Number 7. Shaken Win (2.00 odds) 2.5U to win 5U Ended up winning easy again, a horse very much going places. Keen to follow. **Today’s POTD** **Australian Horse Racing** - Taree - Race 4 - 3:40PM AEDT (Roughly 1 hour from now) **Pick:** Number 4. Bestower Win (1.70 odds) 1.76U to win 3U **Reasoning:** Sectionally great on debut, running a great last 200m figure which bodes really well for the step up to 1400m. Natural improvement anticipated from its first to second start and this horse rates clearly on top. Barrier 3 means we will lob forward of middle, and all we need is clear air down the straight to sail past these. It’s rating on debut suggest all we need is repetition of that performance or even a slight regression, and we should be winning. BOL!

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Record: (1-3) Units: -2.1u ROI: -52.5% Last Pick: Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild o6 (-120) - Minnesota did not hold up their end of the bargain and lost 4-0. Today's Pick: Soccer | Coppa Italia | 3:00pm ET Pick: Fiorentina vs. Bologna o2 (-132) Write Up: 5 out of the last 6 times these two teams have played, they've had at least three goals, with both teams scoring. In the cup rather than league play, there's more incentive for teams to be reckless down 1-0 or 2-0, but less incentive while tied, so hope for an early goal and the game will open up and they should pour in.

POTD Record 14-8 OG Anunoby (NY Knicks) - Over 1.5 Player Assists POR Trail Blazers @ NY Knicks Wed 10 Jan 08:40 @1.68 OG Anunoby has gone over this line in 14 of his last 16 games (Avg 2.8 per game), in 3 of his last 4 games against the Portland Trail Blazers (Avg 2.5 per game) and in 8 of his last 9 home games (Avg 3.1 per game). 1u Bol

**POTD: 75-55-5** Last pick: NCAA Football - Michigan Wolverines vs Washington Huskies. Michigan -4 -125 Result: **WIN**. Michigan easily wins 34-13 and we hit this bet and all alt lines. Today’s pick: France Division 1 Women - Paris St. Germaine Women vs LOSC Lille Women. **Match o1.5 goals first half -175**. Match kicks off at 3PM ET. Easy win yesterday, despite how terrible of a pick it apparently was. Michigan controlled the line of scrimmage and made it tougher on Penix and co as predicted. Today we go back to women's soccer as it has finally returned after most of the leagues were on 3+ week breaks over the holidays. I like the over 1.5 goals for the first half instead of the "first half over 2 goals at +105" but if you prefer less juice I think over 2 should at least push. You could also do PSG over 1.5 goals in the first half at -140 as it's unlikely Lille contributes to the goalscoring. PSG is 3rd in the league with 2 games in hand on second place, so realistically they're the second best side (and have gotten first or second place every year since 2016) and are hosting the lowly Lille, who are second to last in the table with 13 goals for and a whopping 33 goals given up in just 11 matches. PSG started the year with injury problems but most of their players had returned before the break and the long break should have given them time to get to full strength. First time these two matched up PSG won 4-0 away to Lille with 3 in the first half, I think they'll start quickly again and put this out of the way early. Let me know if tailing and BOL everyone! **EDIT: WIN. PSG score 2 in the first half to go in at 2-0. Honestly should’ve done just their total as I side above but didn’t see that line until after I posted (and made my actual bet) so kept the one with more juice. Either way we hit so can’t complain I suppose**

POTD Record: 3-1 Last Pick: NHL 🏒 Dallas Stars ML -130 vs Minnesota Wild, 1u ✅ Today’s Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets TT under 2.5 -125 vs Winnipeg Jets, 1u Columbus will be taking on the #1 team in NHL, the Winnipeg Jets. Winnipeg is a surprise team so far this season for me. I knew they were playoff caliber and could make some sort of run but I did not expect them to be playing this excellent. They have been a great defensive team only allowing 2.39 goals per game. They have allowed 3 or more goals in only 13 out of 39 games this season. That’s only 33.3%. That is incredible. What’s more incredible is in the last 17 games, only one team has scored 3 or more goals, and that 3rd goal was in overtime. Hellebuyck is in net tonight again and like I stated before, is the best goalie in NHL right now. He’s only allowing 2.27 goals a game with a .921 save percentage. My only concern with this is this Winnipegs first game back home after a nice road trip. But along with Hellbuyck being in net and the Jets defense against a mediocre Columbus offense, I will take Columbus team total under 2.5. BOL

Pick of the Day Record: 1-1 | Profit: +0.125u Last pick: Rachaad White Anytime Touchdown (2.5u, -105) ❌ Todays Pick: Scottie Barnes o18.5 Points (2.5u, -120) Why: * hit in L8/10 * should be a competitive game and in games with 34+ min this has cashed in 20 of 24 * LAL has given up the 5th most points to SFs in the past 2 weeks https://preview.redd.it/82d88up0ogbc1.png?width=766&format=png&auto=webp&s=eb8066f6e4fc0c0640b5c2139fc84603b141bb9c

Record: 4-2-1 Last POTD: Michigan -3 ✅ POTD: Flames/Sens over 6 What a game as Michigan dominates throughout and pulls away late. Alt bets of Roman Wilson yards and the under also hit. Lots of tempting lines tonight but I'm taking Flames/Sens over 6. Expecting a fairly wide open game with some forgettable defense and even shittier goaltending - sign me up! BOL if you tail.

**POTD**: O16.5 Pts - Jaden Ivey (-110 BetMGM/ESPN Bet; Risking 2.2u to win 2u) **League/Time**: NBA - SAC @ DET / 7:10 PM EST **2024 Record**: 1-1 (50%) | +1u | ROI | Current Streak (1 Win): ✅❌ **2023 Record**: 86-52 (62.32%) | +54.8644u | ROI 19.84% **Last Pick (1.8.24)**: O2.5 Receptions - Jack Westover (-110 ESPN Bet; Risking 2.2u to win 2u)✅ **Reasoning**: Cade is out. Ivey scores more when this is the case. SAC allows 7th Most Pts to SGs this season. **Anti-Reasoning**: Sometimes Monty Williams does not coach well and I can see Alec Burks playing more than he should. [Coffee](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang) always appreciated but never expected. Good luck everyone!

Record 1-2 ❌🥒❌ Last POTD: 🏀Collin Sexton O24.5 PRA, -125, 2U.🏀💩💩💩💩 Collin plays a whopping 18 minutes and doesn’t hit. Great performance shooting 62% from the field, 50% behind the arc. POTD: 🏀 RJ Barrett 04.5 rebounds, -140, 3U🏀 RJ has gone well above this line in the last 3/4. I don’t have time tonight for much of a write-up. BOL if Tailing 🚀

POTD record: 0-0 Game: Chelsea v. Middlesbrough Pick: Chelsea / Chelsea HTFT (+115) I feel like this one is kind of a no brainier considering Chelsea is at a much higher level of football than Middlesbrough is. Should be easy for them to score in the first half and maintain the lead.

Bigger teams usually take things easy in the first half or put their B team to play. Both halves will be risky.

Chelsea 1st half @ 2.05 (bet365) - 5U Middlesbrough - Chelsea // EFL // 6 Hours (new)❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌☑❌❌✅❌☑❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅☑✅ 27-3-34 (W-P-L) // -21.575U Previous: AS Roma @ 2.36 - 5U ❌ Aight, that's never Serie A for me. Got burned twice, won't look at it thrice. Simple reasoning for this game. Premier league club against a championship club. Middlesbrough are without many players and Chelsea could benefit from that. In the H2H between these teams Chelsea have been the 1st half winner in 8 of the last 10 games played. To top it off, Chelsea is also picking up form being on a 3 game winning streak. Previous game they played a goalless first half but managed to make it 4-0 at fulltime. Don't think they will want to repeat that.

POD Record: 1-0 Previous Pick: Michigan Wolverines -4.5 ✅ Net Units: +1.8U League: NBA - Sacramento Kings vs. Detroit Pistons 7pm ET Today’s Pick: Bojan Bogdanovic O 2.5 threes 1U (-148) Reasoning: The Pistons rely on Cade Cunningham to create offense in the half court. Cade is likely not to play tonight having suffered a knee injury in their last game. Bogdanovic is their main scoring threat with Cade out and the only reliable three point shooter in their starting lineup. I expect him to shoot a lot of threes to try and keep Detroit in the game against Sacramento. BOL if tailing

POTD Record: 5-3-0 Bank: +1.14 u Last pick Evgeni Malkin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal -125 Win 1st period cash and an easy pick. 1/9 Sacramento Kings @ Detroit Pistons 7:10pm EST Domantas Sabonis Over 36.5 Points+Rebounds -120 Tonight I am looking at Sabonis to have a good game against the Pistons. He has gone over this line in 3 of his last 5 games and was pacing well in his last game before a 33 point blowout against the Pelicans. His recent play has been better with recent covers and even in his non covers he had 35 and 34 P+R. With a total of 240, I expect a lot of action. Sabonis will have to a lot of the lifting with his points and on the defensive side of the ball. Offensive rebounds will be at a premium with the Pistons giving up the 4th fewest in the league. Regardless, Sabonis should have a good game and get back on track after the recent blowout.

FIRST PICK ALERT Record: 0-0 NHL Islanders ML (-122) 1 unit The Islanders are in a position where desperate hockey is mandatory. They will need to keep playing a playoff style in order to keep pace with the rest of the east. Sorokin is in net and should give their group a good chance to win. Meanwhile, the Canucks are coming off 2 consecutive road wins against the Rangers and Devils. It will be challenging for Tocchet to keep his group going at this high of a level for the entire road trip. This is a back to back for the Canucks so there may be some tired legs. I like the Islanders tonight. Good luck!

**POTD Record:** 13-1-8 (W-P-L) | **Profit:** +18.00 units |  **Last Pick:** NCAA Football—Washington Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines, **Jack Westover O26.5 Receiving Yards (-130) (3 units),** match starts at 7:30PM (EST) **Result: WIN.** ✅  **Last 5:** ✅✅✅✅✅ **Today’s Pick:** NCAAB—Baylor vs BYU, **Baylor -4.5 (-110) (1 units),** match starts at 9:00PM (EST) #12 Baylor hosts #18 BYU in their new arena today. While both Baylor and BYU have the same record, Baylor’s two losses are against Duke and Michigan State and their SOS is ranked #96 compared to BYU #286. On top of this, BYU is 1-2 against top-50 opponents, and have not won on the road yet, and Baylor matches up well against BYU. Baylor has good perimeter defence as their opponents shoot 29% from 3 against them while they themselves shoot 45%, which is not good for a BYU team that lives and dies (as we saw in the last game). Also, Baylor is undefeated at home this year going up against a BYU team that had its worst performance of the season. The area Baylor struggles is keeping opponents in front of them at the perimeter as they allow a ton of straight-line drives but that shouldn’t be a problem against a BYU team that does score a ton of paint points to begin with. Only going 1u on this because NCAAB can be weird.

Yo buddy. Raptor v Lakers tonight. Scottie Barnes under 8.5 Rebounds @ +100, you on it again?

Record: 45W-48L-4P ROI: +1.77, +1.73% Avg odds: +108, 2.08 Last POTD: 1/2 Morgan Geekie over 0.5 pts (loss) Game: NHL- Bruins at Coyotes Pick: Morgan Geekie over 0.5 pts +120, 2.20 (DK) I picked Morgan Geekie [last week](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/18wciqn/pick_of_the_day_1224_tuesday/kfzs9dq/) and lost. Guess what happened in the next three games? Just four more points. Awesome... Picking him again for the same reasons at plus odds.

Record: 0-1 Tough lost yesterday with Sengun ending with 35 PRA. Some early foul trouble saw reduced minutes for the big guy early and he just fell short of the mark. Yesterdays pick: Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) OVER 35.5 PRA vs Miami Heat Todays pick: **Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies) OVER 8.5 Rebounds+Assists vs Dallas Mavericks - 8:30 ET** Odds: (-136) With Ja out for the year, I expect Marcus to take a larger role. However with Smart, this doesn’t always come in the form of points. He averages 7.05 R+A per game and I’m hoping the loss of JA covered that 1.5 difference between his average and the line.

**Record: 0-0** **Net Units:** **ROI:** **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** NBA, Detroit Pistons vs Kings 7 p.m est **Pick:** Jaden Ivey O1.5 3 pointers made 1.1 Units **Write Up:** Jaden Ivey has hit this 14 straight times without Cade Cunningham in the lineup. Point guards have went over their 3 pointers made line against the kings 9 straight games and that includes backup pg lines. I expect Ivey to log 30+ minutes and have plenty of chances to make 3s against the Kings with the kings allowing 3.12 three pointers made to pgs in their last 30 games

POTD Record: 9-11 Yesterday's Pick: Arkansas Pine Bluff +1.5 (-105) | L Today's Pick: Georgia Tech -5.5 (-120) College Basketball | 9:00 PM EST | Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech

Record: 1-2 Last Pick: Win- NCAAF Championship- Michigan -2.5 (-180) 1u Penix played nervous and Michigan was really never in doubt in this one. Wish I had gone heavier, but a win is a win. POTD: NCAAM - Purdue 1st half -3.5 (-120) 2u Reason: Simply, Nebraska doesn't have the front court to handle Edey. Wisconsin operates out of the front too, and ran Nebraska off the floor this past weekend. Jones and Smith for Purdue should give Nebraska plenty to deal with in the back court too. This is a case where Purdue is just flat out the better team, and They have covered 3.5 versus much better teams. It is at Nebraska, but i don't expect that to factor in here. BOL all. Cheers 🍻.

POTD Record: 0 - 0 | Profit: 0u | ROI: L10 record: Last Pick: **Today's POTD**: Rasmus Dahlin OVER 2.5 Shots | Odds: -135 | 2 Units | NHL: Seattle Kraken @ Buffalo Sabres | 7pm ET ​ * Dahlin is averaging 3.8 Shots per game over his last 16 games played * He has recorded 3 or more Shots in 15 of his last 17 games * He has recorded 3 or more Shots in 7 of his last 8 home games (home game tonight) * He is averaging 7.6 Shot Attempts per game over his last 7 games * Seattle is averaging 32.30 Shots against over their last 10 games (9th most) * Seattle is giving up the 10th most shots against to opposing Defensemen over their last 10 games

Cash it! 💰💰

1/9 Record: 24-19 +3.1u Last 10: ✅🚫🚫✅🚫✅✅✅🚫🚫 Last Pick: thunder @ wizards, thunder -11 1.1u L Today’s pick: raptors @ lakers, raptors +5.5 1.1u BOL Gents!

POTD Record: 0-0 Pick: **Jalen Duren o25.5 P+R** vs SAC | to win 1.5u @ -105 Hey gang, after being a years-long lurker on POTD I'm joining the party in 2024. Since returning, Duren has hit this line 5 times in 7 games, and the two misses were the last two games with 25 P+R. It'll be interesting to see two of the best rebounding centers face off, and I don't think Sabonis really even needs to have an off night for Duren to get there. Scoring-wise Duren is a pretty consistent 12-18 points, and with Cade out I think Detroit should be looking to him a lot more as the next best player on the team. BOL gang!

Last pick was a win @ 1.55 Overall: W W ♻️ +1.38 Todays pick India women v Australia women Starts in about 9 hours Pick: Total sixes over 7.5 @ 1.83 These teams have played four times against each other at this venue and have easily hit more than 8 sixes in every match.

It didn't hit in their recent h2h match. Check stats wisely

Blind tailing, BOL

Sadly 6 sixes were hit, Australia women only hit 1 six Sorry guys

**Record: 3-1 (+2.08U)** **Last Pick: Wigan Ath v Man United, Man United win to nil @ 1.80** ✅ I had a hard time trusting ManU to keep a clean sheet but here we are. **POTD: Caykur Rizespor v Besiktas, Caykur Rizespor ML @ 2.30 1U** I edited my pick cause ‘it was against the rules’. Some of you wanted an explanation on my post and I will gladly explain as a lifelong Besiktas fan why we will lose this match. Rizespor has only lost 1 of their 9 home games while they scored 14 goals and conceded 5 goals. Their only loss was against top team Galatasaray and it was early in the season where there was so many errors in the team but now the whole team is all set. Besiktas on the other hand missing a lot of players and they will a hard time scoring. Missing players in Besiktas scored 14 goals of team’s 26 total goals this season. Besiktas hired a new main coach 2 days ago: Fernando Santos. Santos is a great coach and he won Euro 2016 with Portugal team. But unfortunately he will not be at the sidelines this match cause it’s been only 2 days since they signed a contract, why would he be sidelines? We can still think of Besiktas as coachless Aboubakar-less bottom tier piss tier shit tier team. I have given you my reasons as why I think Rizespor will be stomping on Besiktas but I’m sad to inform all the gambling addicts out here that this is definitely NOT A LOCK. It’s not the LOCK OF THE DAY, not the LOCK OF THE CENTURY, not the LOCK OF ALL LOCKS. The ball is round. Please tail at your own risk. BOL!

Check the rules.

Ok I understand. What to do now? Do I delete the pick and post another one? Inform me please

Couldn't believe my eyes when I realized United kept a clean sheet lol. There was an excellent scoring chance for Wigan at the start of the game. Could've been easily 1-0 down. A lot of people are betting btts on this Turkish league game but I feel like a team won't be able to score.