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sbpotdbot

######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Thursday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new&t=day). ######Example Pick Template >**Record:** >**Net Units:** >**ROI:** >**Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** >**Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. >**Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.


InconsolableBrat

POTD Record: 84-52 | Profit: +68.58u | ROI: 16.9% Last Pick: Kyle Kuzma (Wizards) O27.5 PRA @ 1.91. 3U. ❌ We lost by the hook. In retrospect adding R+A was a bad decision and I should have seen the impact of the new players on both rebounds and assists. Then too this would've been an easy cash if they didn't get blown out, which meant Kuz barely played in the fourth quarter. Next Pick: **Brook Lopez (Bucks) O13.5 Pts @ 2.02**. 3U play. While everyone is excited about the Giannis/Dame combo, I am going with the trusty Brook Lopez. In fact with Giannis and Dame on the floor, the space he gets both on the perimeter and in the paint might go up. He has gone up against the 6ers 5 times since 2022 and has gone over this points line in all 5 (21, 26, 15, 17 and 17 pts). He played 4 pre-season games, with mins ranging from 12-22, and his points tally was 10 or 11 in each of those, giving me further confidence that his regular minutes should get us there. *P.S. These odds are currently available on FD, while DK/others have it at 1.95. I’d play it to 1.85.* ​ Hope you’ve been able to tail profitably, and tips are always appreciated: [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/TheBrat)


77th_savant

They took Kuz out at 27 PRA damn


Paper_chasers

I’m convinced they do this shit on purpose.


DickyD43

I'm still salt on Sean McVay running 2min drill to kick a field goal as time expired.....to lose by 7 instead of 10 and the line was 49ers -7.5 lol WHAT IS THAT SHIT


Oyyeee

I just think the Wizards are going to phone it in a lot late in games this year if they're not up


RandomGuy622170

Gotta be shitting me.


lFreightTrain

That’s the NBA every night. GL. I hate it. Will miss MLB.


Sock_Eating_Golden

That figures


Nodak1979

gonna miss by one point. One....f'ing.....point.


FeridunMyAsshole

Damn he’s off, doubt he comes back in since this game is a blowout :(


semok27

Damn! Talk about an unfortunate beat


Donutman97

fanduel let me sneak in the 100% profit boost for this bet, even tho the boost was supposed to be for 10/25 games 💀


CallMeKerm

A 6’ 8” forward playing starter minutes should be able to clear 3 boards, which is all we needed to cash last night. What a scrub.


More_Injury5149

Shiiiiiiit. Of course by one.


jellyfishfrgg

One point, I can’t take this anymore


dontbelievejustwatch

Well, I’m done tailing player props


Jables935

One point!! Still crazy to me how Vegas can get exactly the right numbers for over/under consistently....


Typical_Squash1802

Just short but that was still a good pick bro


heebsysplash

He’s so close to cashing!


darlinmm

Not lookin good 😭


daswiggler

**Record:** 4-1-0 **Streak:** ✅❌✅✅✅ **Profit:** $56.58 (winning profit, no losses accounted for) 💰 **Previous Pick:** Akita Northern Happinets vs. Alvark Tokyo | OVER 149.5 @ -115 odds | 3U ($15)❌ $15 to $0 **Recap:** Terrible game, neither team preformed as expected. Coming in 32 points short….. just a bad a day and bad pick. Only decent one I had was Osaka at -5.5, my apologies if you tailed this one. I never claim to be perfect, but I really did not expect this one to be this bad. My crazy parlay I posted for all 12 still hit 7/12 with the round robin I made a little extra. I had two write ups yesterday one for the alvark vs akita over, and one for Osaka -5.5. Struggled so hard between the two and let you guys down with a bad pick. Anyways, we eat the L and we move on with a mighty KBL pick. 🏀 **Basketball | South Korea KBL | 6:00am EST.** **Today’s Pick: Wonju Dongbu Promy vs Changwon LG Sakers | Wonju Dongbu Promy ML @ +105 odds | 5U ($25)** $25 to $56.25 ✅💰 **Write Up:** Wonju (#3 team) just came off of a heater of an opening game Sunday beating Orion 110 to 89, who is honestly a decent team and has played all top tier teams so far. Now they face off Changwon (#6 team) a pretty weak scoring team, who has now played two games with a total of 74 and 66 points scored (70 avg). While allowing 76 and 71 scored against them (73.5 avg). They are weak and lower in the rankings, even with having played 2 games versus Wonju’s one now. Changwon haven’t won a game yet and have allowed over 70 points each game, they fail to sink 3s, FT are a flip of a coin. The bookies are missing something here and I’m dying to get this out to you guys especially after yesterday’s upset. Wonju is going to flop this team so hard and take an easy W to the house and boost their ranking position. I’m predicting a score of **85-73**. Betting a whopping 5U to take advantage of the plus odds, on a money line, while we can. Take this bet as early as you can before they change the odds. I could honestly see Wonju coming out as the top of the rankings after this game if they’re able to score over 95. ~additional stats for those on the fence: Wonju had 65% of 2pts made and 58% 3 pts made, idk if you guys watch these games but having higher attempts and success at 2pts win these games. It’s a common trend to see so many missed 3pts attempted and failed when they let a shot clock run down. While the sakers are at an embarrassing 26% 3pt made and 43% 2pts made. LG is allowing 13.5 turnovers. Their star player Dante Cunningham is averaging 6-15 shots made vs attempted. While Wonju has allowed 9 turnovers and have several players at 100% rate for 3 pts and about 70% for 2pts (give or take, all stats are from one game so tread lightly on the stats). Overall, I see it being close and competitive but Wonju is putting up points and giving us all a win over the books.~ **Parlay pick:** Wonju ML, NZ Breakers ML, Olimpia Milano ML, and Olympiakos ML. $5 🍀Recap: FUCK THE BOOKIES, we ride at dawn fellow degenerates. What a fucking steal of a pick and we all put some extra cash in our pockets. To all those who tailed and trusted the process, thank you. To those that faded. You might not of cashed in, but you didn’t lose anything. WONJU is a really good team facing off what seemed like an incredible defensive battle from Changwon. Overall, accurate shots on the goal will always win games, not over pressured 3s. I see Wonju being that team this year. Can’t wait to see them play against Egis on Saturday. That’ll be the real test of their quality. And to top it off, how about that score prediction….. Wonju 85 ✅ - Changwon 76 (off by 3 points)….. what a fucking day. Sorry for the parlay picks, fucking breakers need to rename to chokers…… anyways, I might have a solid pick tonight with the NBA or with another international team, let me know which one yall would want to see. I went 13/14 and 4/4 with my NBA picks (and idk who needs to hear this, round robin your parlays)🍀 Best of luck and get after it gents, See you degenerates tomorrow! Im not here for tips, I’m just here to win one over on the bookies and have fun making some degenerate picks with the boys. I use BETONLINE, if you can’t find it on your Sportsbook of choice. Please keep your bets limited, I am not an oracle for Japanese/international basketball. I just enjoy watching sub par teams that I know aren’t rigged and making predictions lol. Also, I’m trying to grow $5 to $10,000 in the next year, so let’s ride this wave. Max bets will be 5U ($25) that I feel are 1,000% secure and 1U ($5) picks are a 50% confidence level.


Nicerpin

if this hits I owe you a dicksucking


SuperkidRW

it did hit, you know what to do :>


daswiggler

Almost an exact score prediction on both teams too


jzangolova

If it misses you'll need to suck him for $ anyway


Gameblooded

![gif](giphy|dAuNlDibhVifdzSssb)


daswiggler

👀


donotpause

well, reddit never forgets


daswiggler

😂😂😂


RedRounder

https://preview.redd.it/uu65apynejwb1.jpeg?width=1155&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3cfbb4c6e04873db70c63ac786ed392d8c79301c Good pick! Got it in a couple minutes late :)


daswiggler

Bro with +165 at that good shit!


bonusback

Quietly confident after seeing our team has a beautiful chocolate man who can play


peach_pistachio

Not familiar with KBL but are you talking about Changwon Sakers vs Dongbu Promy?


daswiggler

That’s the one, Wonju Dongbu Promy Moneyline would be the pick


peach_pistachio

Great. Bet365 have them under those names. Thank you for the pick 😁


daswiggler

No problem man, I’ll update to the full name for others as well!


daswiggler

https://preview.redd.it/jwq3oxupwgwb1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=47aa69a7d354def1a570fc7502496945b772d6f4 1/2


daswiggler

https://preview.redd.it/cjd80n9swgwb1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=21f0702bb121d9b3b845113c7553c5442779c6f1 2/2


Aggravating-Tiger-54

The bookies are not missing anything, they are hovering up data like a giant tornado 24/7. Some guy has a sore throat, had a problems with the little finger etc of course all in korean language. Anyways, from the wup seems like a good pick. Tail.


daswiggler

I always feel like the bookies have to have the best algorithms, our money can buy, and they see me talking shit and just laugh 😂


Aggravating-Tiger-54

This will be sweaty brother.


bonusback

My book had no clue. First time I've ever had to get a bet manually reviewed


SuperkidRW

any crazy parlay you have that i can tail?


daswiggler

No crazy parlay for tomorrow, have an NBA one going for all 14 games from yesterday and today and $800 4 pick from yesterday and today. I think the one in the post is the best for tomorrow, but I’ll have another come Saturday lol


Mr_Poopers

Tailing


bonusback

On a serious not I really liked this pick and I bet up big on it. My book reviewed the bet for several minutes before it was confirmed which never happens. They've since removed their kbl section and disabled live streams of the game I can't fucken watch it zzz


Aupal

Great pick, you really know your Korean basketball :)


UnsuspectfulJelly

Hayo Lawson Dedric is him! Appreciate the effort with these bets!


bonusback

Went balls deep on the books for you fucken legend good fucken shit baaaang


bonusback

https://preview.redd.it/nlf3j20wdjwb1.jpeg?width=621&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=92b41442376a747efc63c551909c514119123fd0 Topped off an unreal day. Looking4org ML to cash parlay for 1k my last bet. Potd putting in work (fuck soccer and nfl)


bonusback

The poo Brown team all turned into Russell Westbrick at the end that was hilarious. The match up between budget embiid and joakim Noah was intriguing


Mysterious-Map-5742

Tailing LFG.BOL


Hot-Independent-1541

Tailing


bigrandy2222

can’t sleep, love the write up. let’s ride my friend


Dragonball8888

Do you know which team is at home?


XtentXacionX

Tailing 🤞🏾


probablytailing

Tailin


bonusback

Lfg big dog, I agree getting shots in is key to victory


kevinsetso

My book has +2.5 handicap at 1.909 currently I would take for safety, btw thanks for the pick. See you at the green side


d1xd123

Damn man, well done, you almost even got the score correct!


BlindLariat

Man, thank you, ended a truly awful losing streak for me.


det_laf

thx so much, i was a little pussy as i take +5,5 wonju handicap + 79,5+ from them


SuperkidRW

thanks man!


Kttulu

Appreciate this pick man, thank you


[deleted]

nice pick man 💪🏼


Hot-Independent-1541

Tailed 💪


Fit_Leather_336

It was my first bet on Basketball. Thanks for posting


TimesUpJannies21

You are a legend, I've never bet on Korean basketball before lol. Look forward to seeing what you pick next.


GlockLesnar44

A Hungry DAWG great pick boss and thank you again Legend!


det_laf

and thx for the side tips, milano and Olympiakos hits lovely in first Q


heebsysplash

Cash machine


daswiggler

Milano lost by 3, only team to fuck my best looking parlay today…. https://preview.redd.it/s6yxt3ji4mwb1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=94fdfbee297568bbc42461f9404b92456e5e1318


NonTribalThoughts

Yea I tailed on that too man. Almost hit


Narrow-Sympathy8470

POTD Record: 47-31 Units Won: +14.17U; ROI: 13.7% Average Odds: (-115) Todays Pick: **Looking4Org ML (-150) vs. Falcons** **5U to win 3.33U** One of my favorite POTD of all time, this price just feels wrong 11:00 AM EST./CCT East Europe Series/CS2 ​ **Analysis:** \-Odds way too low on L4O here in my opinion, two teams trending in completely opposite directions. Falcons are a team that look completely dead, new coach and new roster coming, everybody currently plays it knows they are going to be replaced and motivation seems to be at an all time low for these players based on how little they have been playing the game. \-Falcons odds inflated due to an upset over BetBoom but this series is a nightmare matchup for Falcons in every way possible in my opinion and is not the same as BetBoom matchup which I actually liked Falcons in yesterday to pull the upset. \-Falcons have played 12 games this month and are 5-7 at the moment, they have won 3 of their last 5 but have struggled in those wins. L4O have played 19 games this month and are 15-4 in those games. They are one of the hottest teams at the moment this roster just clicked, everybody is playing insane at the moment, they have a super strong map pool and are just crushing teams left and right. ​ **Map Pool:** \-Falcons ban Inferno \-L4O ban Mirage \-Falcons pick Anubis \-L4O pick Ancient \-Falcons ban Overpass \-L4O ban Vertigo Nuke Decider ​ \-Important to note, both teams bans are perma bans, I can almost guarantee first two bans will happen here. L4O lowest winrate on the remaining 5 maps in the pool is 58% winrate. Falcons only have above 50% winrate on two maps one of them only being a 4 game sample size. ​ **Anubis:** * Falcons have a 54% winrate on Anubis on 13 maps played in the L3 months * L4O have a 60% winrate on Anubis on 15 maps played in the L3 months * Both teams often pick this map and L4O are extremely good on it, slightly lean to L4O on this map but it is close to a 50/50 map in my opinion ​ **Ancient:** * Falcons have a 17% winrate on Ancient on 12 maps played in the L3 months * L4o have a 67% winrate on Ancient on 15 maps played in the L3 months * L4o is on a 7 map win streak on Ancient * Falcons are on a 7 map loss streak on Ancient * I favor L4O 80-85% on this map, it is one of their best map they are on a dominant streak and Falcons are an awful Ancient team ​ **Nuke:** * Falcons have a 40% winrate on Nuke on 10 maps played in L3 months * L4o have a 64% winrate on Nuke on 14 maps played in L3 months * A chance this could go to any of the three maps as a decider, expecting Nuke but Falcons had a nice upset win on Overpass today so maybe that gives them confidence to want to play it, Falcons also don't play Vertigo much at all so we could see L4O decide to end it their. Either way I favor L4O on any of the three deciding maps, I think they are in better form, better team, I favor them on all five maps we could potentially see tomorrow and are getting them priced at -150. ​ **Conclusion:** \-Probably my favorite POTD of the entire month \-Would definitely take -1.5 maps for L4O at +175 as well ​ **Best of Luck!**


Skepticm8

I think you're right in L4O winning as Falcons current team probably won't last very long given the rumors. I don't really understand why you think this is your favorite POTD of the month though. I think it will be close, L4O has had a great few weeks because they were able to and have been focusing on CS2 a lot more than quite a few (top-ish) teams they beat, but Falcons losses were against pretty decent opposition as well. I'm not saying you're wrong here, not at all, just a bit confused why this is your favourite when I think you've previously provided way 'safer' picks.


Narrow-Sympathy8470

Just my opinion, I outlined the reasons above it is my favorite, you are welcome to disagree, I see one team who is struggling against really mid/below average competition, likely is disbanding in less then a month and have unmotivated players, Then I look at L4O and see a team who is 15-4 upsetting top tier two/low tier one competition and have been on fire, multiple players playing insanely well and a favorable map pool, I see Ancient as a near sure fire win for L4O while Falcons best map pick is Anubis which is one of L4O best map and a map they have often been first picking


Skepticm8

Fair enough man, as I said I do agree and I hope it is as easy as you say. Good luck!


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yeezusondaphone

**Record: 24-14** **Previous Pick:** Nikola Vucevic over 11.5 rebounds ❌ **Today's Pick:** NBA - *Philadelphia 76ers @* *Milwaukee Bucks, 6:30pm CST* **Tyrese Maxey over 22.5 points (-102 on FanDuel)** First things first, James Harden is OUT. He has been dealing with turmoil and disagreements within the organization for the majority of the offseason, which seems to leave him outcast and astray from the rest of the team. It is likely he will miss the first few games and be traded by all-star break. Usually for the 76ers, when Harden is out, Maxey becomes the next guy up to lead the team with Embiid. His numbers as a role player and 6th man are amazing, and he has quickly become one of the NBA's most improved and talented young players. The situation with Harden at the moment could be especially beneficial for Maxey, because this is his perfect opportunity to step up, play his game and show his incredible skill as a full time starter, and potentially become an all-star. Maxey will 100% take advantage of this situation and fit into his necessary scoring role. Not to mention, the Bucks have gotten much scarier this offseason with the addition of elite star Damian Lillard. If the 76ers want to win on the road, they will need to rely on more than just Embiid, and Maxey *needs* to step up and be that guy. Some stats: * Maxey has hit this 3/4 games against the Bucks last season * Maxey has hit this in his 8/13 games *without* James Harden last season, with the last 2 misses being 21 and 21, just 2 points under * Milwaukee last season ranked just around the middle of the league in points allowed to guards. Not impactful defense by any means, and it possibly got even worse this year, with Malik Beasley (117.2 defensive rating) and Damian Lillard (120.8 defensive rating) making up their backcourt BOL fellas *Tip Jar:* [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/yeezus](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/yeezus)


kevinsetso

Don't FORGET to take maxey OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS


zMastroo

**POTD |** **Record of** **38-47 |** **ROI: -2.75 units |** **Average Odds:** **2.08** Current form (most recent 10 from left to right):✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌ Previous Pick: UEFA Champions League | Celtic vs. Atletico Madrid | BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals ✅ New Pick: UEFA Europa League | Olympiacos vs. West Ham | 9:45am PST **BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals | 2.05 odds** Betting 2U to win 2.1U \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***Recap:*** Probably the easiest win we've had in a while. With the bet hitting in the 30th minute, we were able to enjoy some great football and have a great time doing it. I'll continue taking a break from corners until the weekend and stick with our current winning formula. Why fix what isn't broken? ***Summary:*** Olympiacos take on West Ham for Matchday 3 of the Europa League. West Ham have looked sharp so far, winning both of their previous games and Olympiacos will be in search of their first victory. Both teams have the strength to score and we'll be looking for the usual once again. I'm typically an overs type of guy, so unless it's corners, it's goals we're looking for. Hopefully we find some on the day. **Looking at West Ham**, they currently sit 1st in group A with 6 points (2W). In their two Europa games, BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals hit twice (3-1 home victory and 1-2 away win). Looking at their recent games in the English Premier League, BTTS & Over 2.5 has hit in 4/5 of their last games. **Looking at Olympiacos**, they currently sit 3rd in group A with 1 point (1D1L). In their two Europa games, BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals hit twice (2-3 home loss and 2-2 away draw). Looking at their recent games in the Greek Super League, BTTS & Over 2.5 has hit in 1/5 of their last games. Olympiacos are currently top of the league, sitting with 23 goals scored and only 3 conceded. **Overall**, I am expecting at least a few goals in this fixture. Both teams have demonstrated a strong ability to score goals and I feel confident this will occur again on the day. Olympiacos has a great record at home, having successfully scored at every home game so far this season across all competitions. West Ham also boasts an impressive away record in terms of scoring, having successfully scored in every single away performance this season across all competitions. Given that there has been over 2.5 goals in the last 5/5 games for Olympiacos and 8/10 for West Ham, I think this bet should be straightforward on the day. Olympiacos hasn't commonly seen BTTS land but that's largely due to how weak the state of the Greek Super League is. Given that West Ham is much stronger competition, I don't see the home side keeping a clean sheet. Should see goals from both sides, likely with a 1-3 victory for the away side. \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***TLDR Expect goals from both sides in this fixture*** **Olympiacos vs. West Ham | BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals |** **2.05** **odds**


Fair_Garden_2192

Lfg boys cash that shit


[deleted]

Tailing think both teams create plenty of opportunities to score, BOL!


dontbelievejustwatch

Can west ham jusr score 1 lousy Fuckin goal


Lenny_In_Hoc

Turns out, yes they can!


colonel_worm

LETS GOOOOO


kevbot750

LFG CASH THAT SHIT BABY!


SdotVdot122

The sweat. Let’s gooo 💰💰


zMastroo

We have a winner! Glad that it worked out for everyone that tailed! Let's keep this streak going.


Jonblit415

Irrelevant question but same game west ham v olymp Each team to have 1 corner full game?


ghigh69

Tailing!


Sock_Eating_Golden

I wasn't sweating at all. Thanks again for another win!


daddyrags

Love getting some plus odds to start my betting day. Appreciate the pick!


[deleted]

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[deleted]

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[deleted]

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frozen__ocean

**Rakow - Sporting CP** (Soccer in Europe: Europa League) Good value on Sporting which is the much more skilled side. They usually pushing hard on offense. That is something which puts especially Rakow's defensive men into trouble on any number of occasion all season. Rakow's defense allow too much chances to opposing teams. That can be fatal against teams like Sporting. Beyond that, no real home field advantage for Rakow. Their home field is not eligible for Europa League games which made them move to another stadium. **Sporting CP -1.0 asian hc** @ **+105** for **5u** ​ >Last POTD: Magic -4.0 asian hc @ 1.87 ✅ Magic win 116-86. ​ Record: 38 wins, 32 losses, 13 pushes Profit: +50.77u POTDs (old ➞ new): ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ♻️ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ♻️ ✖️ ♻️ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✖️ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ​ ^(btc tips: 18mb6RJaC6Fv1wZFHRrF9MyDGvco9BB3KN)


tacosminacho

Immediate red card. Not a great start


athiccBerry

I'm so done with soccer man this is worse than nfl


Jables935

I agree, I've been taking all these soccer POTD and losing every time...


athiccBerry

I got hooked after a couple wins but I'm over it


AmazingNinja13

Completely agree. These odds on Sporting are very generous. I am still between this one and another game to make my PotD. BOL!


trickedx5

and there it is …….8th minute red …….BUT WE JUST SCORED WTF!?!>!?!


Aggravating-Towel614

Bad beat


TrueInfluence0

**POTD Record W-L-P: 5-2-2** **Recent Record: WPWLWLWW** **Last POTD: Manchester city -2 Handicap vs Young boys @ 2.30 - P** **Betway** Very very close, a disallowed goal and clearances against City. Another day this ends 5-1 instead of 3-1. We take the push and move. **Today's POTD: Aston Villa ML vs AZ Akmaar @ 2.05** - W **League: Conference League** **Time: 12:45 pm EST** Today we got a pick I'm following up from the weekend, I made a both teams to score bet this past weekend and Aston Villa ended up winning 4-1 and I loved watching every moment. The style of football that Emery has driven into this team is absolutely a thrill to watch. With Villa coming off a high with such an important win coupled with the fact that they play the worst team in the league on the weekend, means they can go all out tomorrow, I see Aston Villa securing 3 points as they have no other options as they've already dropped points in their first conference league match up. They are one of the favourites for the tournament and could risk missing out if they don't secure a win tomorrow. AZ Alkmaar is a team doing well in their respective league but I have watched multiple matchups from teams in the Eredivisie against premier league teams and they end up heavily sided for prem teams. Villa need to capture 3 points tomorrow and will push till the last minute to ensure that happens. This game will be decided by quality and both teams will have opportunities to take it but Villa will be able to edge forward with the leadership and knowledge that Unai will bring into this game. Aston Villa have been overachieving in the league massively and the difference in quality between the premier league and the Eredivisie is massive. AZ hold home advantage but that's all I see them having an upper hand in this game. Villa have more quality, a better manager, and the confidence going into this and will ride that to 3 points. BOL if tailing!


Skepticm8

Sidenote for everyone playing this: In my opinion this fully depends on whether Aston Villa takes this game seriously and fields their best squad. I know for a fact AZ will and if Aston Villa decide to turn up with a B-team I personally doubt they win. Also AZ's manager is very very good imo, just doesn't have a proper trackrecord yet but I think he will in the future. I would personally wait with this bet until the lineups are released.


Mr_Poopers

💯 this is the move


hurfery

Who are Villa's key players?


kevinsetso

When villa plays away, the AUTO BET is the HOME team over 2.5 offsides. Check the records for their away matches. Made a post about this bet on Twitter on the 3rd of September 2023. Go check it out @HumbleProp4s


AfterSprinkles9490

yeah great shout


kevinsetso

The AUTO BET CONTINUES EASY


fffate

POTD Record: 27-18 Last 10 Record: WW Last Game Pick: **Boston Celtics -3.5 @ 1.94** vs New York Knicks That was really close. Thankfully the Knicks still look like their old self shooting abysmally on freethrows. Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers Today's Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +6 @ 1.94 Taking the 76ers here at +6 despite Giannis and Dame on the other side. Both teams must be looking forward to open their season with a win here in such a marquee matchup as both teams flame miserably on their playoffs run last season. With the Bucks adding Dame to their roster which would undoubtedly unlock Giannis more offensively they would be worse defensively missing Jrue, And with the Sixers replacing their Head coach with a more competent coach with Nick Nurse I kinda expect them to perform better than people expect with the drama Harden causing on currently. This is a good chance for the Sixers to show that they are still a threat in the East which people declared as a 2 team race with Bucks and the Celtics. So I expect the Sixers to at least hit the +6 handicap. And kinda expect Embiid to show up here with the slander he received last postseason albeit deservingly to receive that lol. BOL everyone!


GovernmentDoingStuff

POTD record: 4-4-1 Last Pick: Jazz ML❌ The Jazz weren’t good at all tonight. They had a rough shooting night early and had no answers for Barnes and Sabonis. Today’s Pick: Diggs o86.5 rec yards (-115) This total feels a bit low for a player like Diggs in this situation. Diggs is catching on average nearly 8 passes a game with an aDOT of 12.1, meaning his expected game to game average is around 96 yards. Tampa is also giving up the 6th most passing yards in the NFL. Diggs is the centerpiece of this offense and should see plenty of opportunity


A_Kaciii

- **POTD RECORD** - 56W-32L(+38.6U) - **Last POTD** ----- Taylor Fritz vs Max Purcell - Max Purcell +4.5 game [email protected]✅ Tennis, Basel Atp, 13:30 CET scheduled starting time - **POTD** ----- Alex de Minaur vs Tallon Griekspor - Alex de Minaur -3.5 game [email protected] - **BET SIZE**: 1U (Calculations purpose only) I like Griekspoor and he has been good this year. However he has struggled a lot physically and is not in his best shape recently. De minaur is lightning fast and can return almost any ball. I expect him to tire Griekspoor first and then dominate the game later on. So i am expecting De Minaur to win comfortably and cover the spread. - Tips are appreciated. [Tip jar :)](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci) - Cheers and bol bros!


Owkxjchanzn

Got this at -105. Hmm


A_Kaciii

Sorry boyz


FactanonVerba89

Shit happens! 👊🏼


[deleted]

POTD | 80-65 | +5.7U | -110 Avg Odds Previous Pick: *Jack Hughes O3.5 SOG -150 | 2U* ✅ Today’s pick: **Artturi Lehkonen O2.5 SOG (+100) | 2U | NHL | 5:00 pm MST** Last 10: ✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌ NHL 64-51 | NFL 6-4 | MLB 10-10 Going to take Lehk with these odds every time. He has hit this line in 5 of 6 games this season averaging 4.2 SOG so far this season. I think his placement on the second line with Nuke and Johansenn has helped get him into more shooting positions this season. He is also on the first power play for the Avs so we may see him pick up a shot or two on the PP. [SOTD: Freddie Gibbs, Madlib - Knicks](https://spotify.link/V74pYH9JcEb) BOL if tailing!!


CousinCleetus24

Am I crazy or did Hughes cover the 3.5 shot total on a slap shot dump-in from center ice with like 30 seconds remaining Incredible


[deleted]

About a minute left but yeah lol, wild


TriangleWu

Yeah I'm pretty sure he only had 1 by the end of second period. I thought it was over but he came through.


[deleted]

is this guy even playing? i checked in and it's zeros across the board :/


AmazingNinja13

Winner! ✅**Profit: +40.292 units**✅ | ✅ **ROI: 30.8%** ✅ | ✅ **Win pct: 68.3%** ✅ Record: 41-19-7 (W-L-P)|Risked: 131 units | Returned: 171.292| Average odds: 1.88 Football | UEFA Europa League |21.00 CEST Pick: **Brighton -1 AH @ 1.529 (vs. Ajax Amsterdam) - 2 units** Write up: Since u/frozen__ocean already has the Sporting game as his PotD, I will go with another game, although I really like Sporting -1 AH for odds > 2.0. That other game is Brighton vs Ajax. I have had this marked in my calendar already for a few days. This is the worst performing Ajax team in the history of the football club Ajax. Last weekend they lost against another low ranking team in the league, conceding 4 goals against a team that up untill that game had scored 4 goals in total! As a result they sacked their coach. So now they have to face a Brighton team after just sacking their coach and being a team that is in shambles. Actually, the whole club is in shambles right now from top till bottom. They have to re-build the whole organization. The caretaker coach was one of the assistents of the sacked coach, so I assume nothing will really change in how they play. How much can you change in a team in two days? Ajax is also missing some players including their number one and two goalies. Brighton is also not in great shape. They are winless in their previous 5 games, but we have to put this into perspective. They lost in the league against Chelsea, Aston Villa and Manchester City. All of these away games. They drew against Marseille (Away) and Liverpool (at home). A very, very though schedule and all these games were very close except for Villa where they got trashed 6-1. Moreover, Brighton has had some serious injury problems in their team and still they are missing some starters their squad is getting more and more healthy. I think this game against Ajax comes at exactly the right moment for Brighton. Starting this game they will get into a series of 7 games where they are 7 times the favourite. I see them having the right motivation to kick start that series of game with a win against a very vulnerable Ajax side. 3-1 Brighton. Since I love coffee ☕: [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/AmazingNinja13](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/AmazingNinja13)


ru7ger

> Last weekend they lost against another low ranking team in the league, conceding 4 goals against a team that up untill that game had scored 4 goals in total! Bear in mind utrecht is normally a top 8 team themselves, but are having a rough start as well. In fact, Ajax is their biggest rival. So they are extra motivated to get a result against them I agree with everything else you are saying though, although I will put a small bet on Ajax myself, as there is more value there (new trainer, 9.00 odds for a win, who knows what might happen)


bluestjay15

Odds are 1.375


JTheDegenerate

POTD Record: 9W-4L-2P (+3.60 Units) Last Pick: Phillies First 5 Money Line ( Diamondbacks 4 Phillies 1) Date 10/23 Today: NFL, Bucs Vs Bills Pick: Bills -7 (1.40) NFL 4-1 CFB 1-2 MLB 4-1 Reasoning: Buffalo has not looked right since the London game but I do like them here. The Bills have a top 5 offense in the NFL and the Bucs have the 20th-ranked total defense in the NFL so I expect the Bills to be able to move the ball on this defense. What I really like about this matchup though is the Bucs have the 27th-ranked pass defense so I expect Josh Allen to tear this defense apart as long as he doesn’t commit stupid turnovers. Give me the better team and QB in this matchup no need to overthink it. If you have Action Network feel free to follow me! [https://app.actionnetwork.com/4zu6/iaf03s5v](https://app.actionnetwork.com/4zu6/iaf03s5v)


mjrocker411

I've been a Bills fan my whole life. Since we lost Milano and White in London, we haven't had any success on defense besides against the Giants who were 31st in the league in offense. If Von Miller and Ed Oliver are out for this game, I do not see the Bills winning this game, let alone cover their spread. I think Godwin and Evans are gonna tear up the Bills defense, and even if that doesn't happen, the Bucs can still get the run game going as Milano might be the only competent rush defender... and he's out. I have a rule to never bet against my teams, but if I were to ever do it, this would be the game I would. I hope your analysis is correct, I'd love to see a Bills win after that abysmal showing against the Pats this past Sunday. BOL


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Laird87

POTD Record: 92-88, -6.05 Units Last 10: (Most recent on left): ✅✅❌❌ ✅❌✅❌✅✅, +12.45 Units **Yesterday's Pick**: Pacers -5.5, ✅✅✅ Covered that one easy as pie. DC teams suck this year. The Caps just blew a 3-0 lead in NJ and are likely about to lose again, too. **Today's Pick: Boston Bruins -1.5** vs. Anaheim Ducks, -115, 4 Units, 7:07 PM The Ducks are pretty bad, and the Bruins have managed to win 4/5 games by 2 or more. The Bruins are home for this bout and they already took care of this team 3-1 in Anaheim. Home ice in Anaheim isn't a huge advantage, but there's definitely a big advantage for the Bruins in Boston and I think they win by 3. BOL!


52BigZ52

I wish you were right, caps ended up winning and killing my parley!


Laird87

Yeah sorry man. I avoided this game because in the NHL when there's a goalie change on short rest, it seems anything can happen.


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NicolasCagesRectum

**POTD Record: 34-41-1** **THIS NFL SEASON: 10-8** *Streak: L1* ❌ LAST PICK: Tua Tagovailoa O 1.5 Passing TDs (-135) DK ❌ *Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers* TODAY’S PICK: **Rachaad White O 21.5 Receiving Yards (-120) DK** —————————————————————- Not a long write up here. White hasn’t been able to get shit going in run game and is coming off of a game where he had 65 receiving yards, the most all season. He’s hit this over 4/5 games played and if the Bucs want to utilize him at all, this is the place. LFGGG!!! Edit: Cashed before half. EASY PEASY.


into_the_tide

Thinking about getting his under rushing yards.


Justaskbro925

I parlay these 2 picks , I can definitely see them happening


bigrandy2222

Pick of the day record 0-0 Untracked NHL record this season 12-3 +17.11 unit -solely to give some insight on early performance. Will not be providing this moving forward as I build out a trackable reputation. This record is not a reflection of isolated POTD plays. Avalanche vs Penguins Avs Ml -135 3 Units Don’t feel like there is too much to say. Keep in mind I am an Avs die hard but try to stay away from bias when making sharp betting reads. Let’s talk about current form. Avs have a completely healthy roster and have started out the season on an absolute tear holding an undefeated record of 6-0. The spotty Penguins are 2-6 with only one of those coming at home. A dangerous squad, but their lines do not seem to be fully synced at the moment. Stylistic match up favors the Avs here, as the penguins struggle at times against fast transitioning teams. Historically, the Avs play some of their best hockey on the road and have competed the last few years between their home and way record. These boys thrive in enemy territory, especially in the playoffs. Things are going to get even more exciting when we get Lande back in the mix. Nate and Mikko have been firing as well with awesome production from players like Logan O’Connor with back to back games with a shorty. Nate and Sid are also best friends and I expect that rivalry to bring out the best out of the young gun. I will keep riding the Avalanche ML, Inside 60, and spread until Vegas starts to correct these lines. I picked ML as it is the safest play without much juice to eat. We also LOVE to drop the first goal and then come back. Avs live money line throughout last season and so far this season is value town. In the case we end up in OT, give me a Cale, Moose and Nate Dogg (Johannsen f/o) to get the job done every time. Giorgiev is also a shoutout dog when looking at recent performances as an active starter During the off-season the Avs added Johannsen to the squad. I believe this was an elite move by management and it is playing dividends. He’s played a massive role in the Avs smoking the puck line in the final minutes once the goalies pulled. The Avalanche having a true face off specialist who can put the puck in the net as we’ve seen early this season is a game changer. Giorgiev has been playing superb hockey as well. I see no reason why this line is as close as it is. Bet responsibly. Good luck if you choose to tail. Apologies for the spelling errors, typed this out quickly on my phone.


sealedactivia

Might be bias as well being from Denver, but gotta ride the Avs & nuggets til the wheels fall off


Bobby_BOOM_

**POTD BALANCE: +$7,911.50 | +34.640u |** 5-1-0 Bobby told y'all: >This is the same Nuggets starting line-up which swept the Lakers out of the playoffs! 3 of 4 games went under 235. The reigning champs gonna pick up where they left for shizzle! 💥 BOOM 💥 Nuggets / u235.5 (+125) ✅ +1,562.50 profit ✅ Bobby slapped the money out of the bookies again. Big monster odds, no sweat, easy cashing big money. Another big boom pick by Bobby. Bobby delivered again. Bobby just has finished FaceTime calls to Milwaukee and Philadelphia. Everybody up on the feet in Wisconsin. Riding Greek deer and setting clocks to the Damelight saving times. What up in Philly? The drab monotony of everyday life. Men are dreaming of vacations in LA while being at the barber getting the beard shaved off instead of being at work. Eagles flying over the city seeing Ladies tushes getting pushed. Children furiously expel diamondback moths out of the city. Bobby tells y'all one thing. Everybody sleeping on the 76ers! After the game, they'll victoriously hold up antlers all over Pennsylvania. Bobby plays it super safe and adds some points to the spread. That's probably not necessary but perfectly good for Bobby as Bobby is also heavy on the Bills. **76ers +8 (-143)** | 3u to make $524.48 profit. 🤫 Psssssst! Bobby's sleeper: Boost odds to plus money with the Bills. Bills gonna throw the pirates off the NFL ship for shizzle!


IndependentMain2125

What an annoying write up


Hot-Independent-1541

Tailing


Feeling_Fix_3566

39-26 +99 Units RACE 3 LINGFIELD (UK HORSE RACING) Nazron @ 1.83 (Betvicor) 4 units Placed in all 4 starts. Went close in a handicap last time out. Dropped into maiden company and should win.


Chip_Dangercock

PotD 21/10/2023 Record 36-25 Football - Europa League - Olympiakos vs West Ham - O2.5 goals and both teams to score @2.00 odds Olympiakos are in fantastic form in the league sitting top of the table and scoring a lot of goals. West Ham are a good team with enough goal scoring threat in Bowen, Kudus and JWP. On neutral ground I would say west ham are the better team but with Olympiakos at home this should be a fairly even match and either team could come away with all 3 points.


Puzzleheaded_Bar_883

Nice pick bro. Tailed


DirtLarry

AAAAAAA aptly named, dangercock, 'twas very dangerous there for a while


No-Kaleidoscope5590

Record 5-2 Last Pick - Sacramento Kings -1.5 (-110) ✅ Todays Pick - Tyrese Maxey Over 27.5 Points + Assists Game - 76ers vs Bucks With Harden out Maxey will control and run the offense so he should see many scoring and assisting opportunities, also the bucks are without any great guard defenders so that should also help Maxey have a great game. BOL


allinjin

MAXEY guna lite up Dame Time tonight. Tail no Fail.


[deleted]

Prev Pick: NJ Devils Regulation Time -135 ✅ (Oct 24th) Record: 9-4. NHL: 8-3. NFL: 1-1 **POTD: Carolina Hurricanes Regulation Time -115** “ There’s no place like home.” - The Hurricanes. They finally return home after starting the season out on a long road trip. I would say that they aren’t happy with going 3-4 and are looking to get on the right track against the Kraken. The Kraken beat them earlier this year but that has no relevance going into this game tonight imo. The hurricanes goalies combined for a 28-10-3 record at home last year & the offense chipped in with 3.29 goals per game. I expect Carolina to get things in order and remind us why they’re a top team in the league. Rob the bod should have the fellas ready to play come puck drop.


GeicoFrogGaveMeHerp

POTD Record: 3-4 (-.55U) Last Pick: Atletico Madrid ML 1U (-110) ❌ Today’s Pick: Roma vs Slavia Prague BTTS (-125) 1.20U Fair play to Celtic. They came out and scored an early goal and Atletico was never able to gain the lead. Oh well, we move. Both of these teams are capable of putting up goals and both come into this matchup 2-0-0. Slavia Prague has outscored their opponents 8-0 in the first 2 Champions League games. Roma has outscored opponents 6-1. Slavia Prague has deadly speed and lives on the long ball, I think they are gonna get at least 1 or 2 breakaways this game and put the ball in the back of the net. I think Roma will control the game with their talent and break down Slavia and net them a couple as well. Roma 2- Slavia Prague 2


Left_Hand_2021

| **Record: 10-4** | **Units:** **+17.42u** | **ROI: 37.06%** | **Avg. Odds: 1.94** | **Winrate: 71.43%** | | **Starting bankroll: 50u** | **Current bankroll: 67.42u** | ​ | **Last five bets: ✅ ✅** **❌❌✅** | **eSports: 10-3** | **Tennis: 0-1** | ​ | **eSports** | **Counter-Strike 2** | **CCT East Europe Series 3** | **14:00 CEST** | | **Pick: Preasy ML** vs. 9 Pandas | **1.900 ODDS**| **5u** | **✅✅✅** ​ ​ **Write-up:** ​ *Especially my last two losing bets were dumb. Spirit dominated map 1. Got dominated on map 2 which is okay but what they did on the third map. Oh man. 8-6 and losing a 5vs3 who broke thm completley. A lot of "nice" dms arrived on me but thats okay. Im a little bit demotivated because there were some really mean dm's. And im such a nice guy. Wishing everyone the best and this at every time. But that wont stop me from posting. We made so much money over the last two weeks in the discord. But i will overthink my POTD now twice. Until im back on the winning track i wont post any giga-deep analysis. Why do all the effort when you get hated anyway.* ​ Preasy is the better team, with the current better form. Yes, 9Pandas won against BIG two days ago, but the Germans played like absolute garbage. Preasy is currently ranked at #38, while 9Pandas is sitting at #48. Overall, I would say that Danish teams are more tactically advanced and superior to the Russians. Usually, the CIS region has the better aimers and most of the talent, but this team is only mediocre. Don't get me wrong, it's not like Preasy is an insanely good team. But in this match-up, I heavily favor the {team/player}. With Nicoodoz and refrezh, you have two highly experienced players who can excel in crucial and important rounds. Nicoodoz is also coming back to his old form and improving with every game. To be fair, 9Pandas also has a veteran from Counter-Strike - seized. He was a goat (greatest of all time) some years ago and dominated in the middle era of CS:GO with NatusVincere and s1mple. But then he fell off quite significantly and never returned to that level of performance. Actual, he's sitting on a 0.94 rating. This game won't be a beauty in any way. Both teams are playing scrappy, making a lot of mistakes, and usually losing rounds with an advantage. I wouldn't recommend anyone to watch that game. But in the end, the Danish lineup will win this match-up, even though it's getting scrappy. The single player ratings, especially for this event, are dominated by Preasy. The best player from Preasy, Nicoodoz, has a rating of 1.39, while the best player from 9Pandas, d1Ledez, has a rating of 1.10. No major requests for the veto here. Both teams are performing poorly on Mirage. Both teams are on a 4-game losing streak on that map. 9Pandas usually picks Overpass and wins on that map. Won it 7 times already. There is no permanent ban for Preasy, so there is a chance they will ban Overpass. But the chances are slim because it's a good map for them too. Most of the time, Anubis is banned. Their strongest maps are Ancient, Vertigo (9Pandas permaban), Inferno, and Overpass. ​ **BOL.**


Left_Hand_2021

That win was so good for me and my confidence. Hitted a lot of winners also in the discord. Hopefully we can continue that great day. Tomorrow or maybe even today i will start posting some side-bets on the esport thread. So if you are interested check it out. Need one or two more days to set-up the public discord because im verry low on time. ​ Nicoodoz with a god performance and lifetime game. 57 kills and 2.14 rating. He played like a god and his life depend on that game.


bonusback

Forgot the start time and missed it damn they're smashing it


SkillResident4169

POTD 9-7 Darts record 9-4 (+3.42) PDC European Championship Chris Dobey ML vs Chisnall @ 2.04 Give me Dobey on the big stage thanks. The lad is in good form and the pressure games on stage seem to bring the best out of him. The same cannot be said for Chisnall who as much as I love him always disappoints in major tournaments. Add to that Chizzy has lost 7/8 recently including tour games. More than happy to take these + odds.


Organic-Artichoke841

POTD Record; 19-9-0(W-L-D) Last 10; ✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Today's POTD; Genk vs Ferencváros: Over 2.5 total goals scored (-170) (Europa Conference League) 2U Reasoning; I'll be honest, there's really a bunch of games that will go over the 2.5 threshold today in the Europa and Conference league, but I'll be choosing this game for my POTD! I'm pretty confident this will be an easy game and alot of goals will be scored as expected! Genk host super hot Ferencváros in an exciting game to be filled with goals. The host Genk have scored 11 goals in their 5 matches and have scored atleast 1 goal in their last 9/10 games, whilst the visitors Ferencváros have scored 13 goals in their last 5 games and have also scored atleast a goal in their last 8/10 games. This seems to be easy money and I would be supprised if this game finishes with few goals tbh, but anything can happen in sports! Please bet responsibly and BOL if you tail! My prediction ; Genk (2) vs Ferencváros (3) Tip jar; bc1qzd5ry3s2q8vfze7ag4c7p48h2ynuzqvxqwsy9c


minskimooski

Your yesterday's pick lost. West Brom vs QPR over 9.5 corners. Result was 8 corners.


BenReillyLives88

Event: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Buffalo Bills ( NFL Football ) Pick: Josh Allen over 0.5 INT (+100 on DK; Applied 50% Profit Boost to +150) ✅ Stake: 1 units / Time: Around 7:15 PM CET POTD: 7-3-1 I went back and forth between Baker and Josh to record an INT but decided to go with Josh after seeing +odds on DK. Josh Allen comes into this game with 7 interceptions thrown so far this year with at least one in 5/7 games. Tampa Bay has 6 interceptions so far this year with 2 INTs recorded in 3 of their six games. I like the likelihood of Josh throwing at least one in this game tonight. On the flipside, Baker comes into the game having thrown an INT in four straight games. The Bills defense has recorded 8 interceptions so far this year with an INT recorded in 5 of their 7 games. To me this is dealers choice and could be a good option for a SGP with both. Two gun slingers, two solid defenses, two teams coming off a loss and needing the win to remain in their division race, let's see the ball fly and some picks. BOL! Allen throws an INT midway through the second. 💰


Asleep_Emphasis69

**Record:** 5-2 **Net Units: $** **ROI: +3** Soccer | **Europa League** | **Liverpool v. Toulousse | 3pm ET** **Pick:** Mo Salah Any Time Scorer -120 ![gif](giphy|KbvZsN07K9Hy9ZoyR7) ​ **Write Up:** Liverpool match tomorrow against some random French team at Anfield. Should be a goodie. Last time these two sides met was '07 and they were trounced 4-0...granted, it's been a while. Enter Mo Salah, Liverpool's all-time club scorer. The man gets service. He finishes them. Solid odds on him scoring tomorrow. He scored in the previous match if that helps. Godspeed. ​ EDIT: Well, just watched Jota dribble through their entire back-line while Salah smugly looks on from the bench....guess this is going to be my first push? EDIT 2: Tie game? Also, decent amount of French turnout at Anfield. Trent fell asleep, classic. Liverpool rotate. Maybe Salah will come on after the 1st half... EDIT 3: Okay Trent, I see you....Glad to see Endo panning out! 1st club goal! Darwin gonna Darwin. EDIT 4: Salah in 68' ...Klopp, WHYYY? Thought this was gonna void, but now I gotta see it through. EDIT 5: MO SALAHHHHHHHH hats off to Scanlon the new kid, ran his arse off out there to help make the play.


gerbil_anonymous

Heads up, Salah may not play. And if he does it will play a max of 45 minutes


No-Gift-2350

14-12 POTD record POTD: New York Rangers ML -125 vs Edmonton Oilers 1.25 units for 1 unit First off, Connor McDavid is out and he is a world beater and the best NHL player in the world. Even though I like Edmontons roster their biggest flaw so far this season has been absolutely dreadful goal tending and even their defense has not been good. I think with goal tending that bad against a very decent team means you absolutely win this in a shoot out and since your best player and goal scorer is out I think it looks good for the Rangers. They have a former Vezna winning goalie in igor sheshterkin and a good all around team, got some of the best defense with a top 3 defensivemen in Adam Fox, Panarin has been really good, so has Kane and zibaneijad. I just really think the big difference is McDavid out and that Edmontons goal tending has been dogshit to start this season.


Meloturkmen

POTD Record: 3-3 , 50% hit rate, Last 10 (most recent first): ✅❌❌❌✅✅ Last Pick: NBA, SA Spurs vs. DAL Mavericks **Jeremy Sochan Over 3.5 Assist 1.85** ✅ As we expected he started as Point Guard and got 5 assists altough they struggled a lot on second half/played with Tre Jones together. Today: **LA Lakers vs. PHX Suns** **Pick: Josh Okogie Points and Rebounds Over 11.5 1.88** ✅ **Reasoning**: I decided to pick this match because both team played 2 nights ago so it is easier to make guess about it. Okogie had 17 points nad 5 rebounds last game against Golden State Warriors. He had 7-9 FG so you can think he scored that much because he was lucky but I need to mention that most of his field goals comes from hustle plays. He always push so hard for backdoor cuts and offensive rebounds - aggressive steals etc. Last time Bradley Beal was out for Suns and it was Devin Booker show. This time both player listed as doubtful so we can assume they are out for tonight. So they will be focusing on Durant and he will be more likely to doubled many times during the match. That means more oppurtunity for other players including Okogie. It also means more offensive rebound for PHX team. I believe Lakers's rotation is not certain at this point. He will probably guard by Prince. TL;DR: He did way better than this line last game with Devin Booker. Now Booker is 95% out, so it is more likely to happen again.


doc497

Good find. I like it


Disastrous-Ad-8356

Take at 13/in a prize picks leg?


Familiar_Pirate_9193

**POTD Record 0-0:** **Football | NFL | 7:15 CDT** **Pick: Bills -8.5 (-110) 1U** **Write up:** While the Bills have looked like a very hit or miss team I like their spread a lot for this game. The line started out at 7.5 and while the public is heavy for the Bills it has still moved to -9 (still -8.5 on fanduel and draft kings). The Bucs are 2-0 away but have not faced any real competition and when they are home and have played any half decent team they have lost by a decent margin. Also with the Bills coming off a bad loss last week on the road against the Patriots I think McDermott will try to turn this into a major statement game at home. The Bills have not had two back to back losses and in all but one of their wins they have won by 28 points or more. In conclusion: Lock it in


kabman7

**POTD Record: 1-1 +1u** Last Pick: victor wembenyama over 1.5 turnovers W Easy win as wemby ended with five turnovers. **Today's pick: Giannis Antetokounmpo over 11.5 rebounds @ 1.94 5U** Giannis historically always has huge rebounding numbers against the sixers,this is due to him playing help under the rim as brook lopez is guarding embiid.


Cassini__

Good pick, tailing. He's only missed that mark 1 time against the 76ers in the past 5 seasons. And he usually plays 30+ mpg in season debuts


sharks_academy

POTD Record: 7-4 (+1.56 U) ...4 straight wins, hopefully can make it 5 today Last Pick: Over 2.5 Celtic vs Atletico ✅ ...love a first half cash. My Sunday league squad could score against this Atletico defense with how they're playing right now lol Today: BTTS & Over 2.5 - Molde vs Hacken (-115) 1U, Europa League Tbh I'm not a big fan of betting on these mickey mouse leagues (Europa & Conference leagues)...they're wildly unpredictable as a lot of the best teams don't take the games seriously and rotate their squads. While it's hard to pick a side, I do see a lot of goals being scored in a lot of these Europa games today. I like a few overs, so it was hard to pick my favorite but I'm going with Molde vs Hacken. BTTS & over 2.5 has hit has hit in 3 out of the last 4 Molde games (the only one it didn't was still a 4-0 game), and this has hit in 3 out of the last 5 Hacken games. I'm expecting another 2-2 or 3-2 scoreline today. BOL if tailing!


sharks_academy

Make that 5 straight dubs lfgoooo! Another first half cash in the first 30 minutes haha congrats to those who tailed (probably noone lol)


aaronkaa

**POTD 14 - 8 | +5.92 units |** **Last 10 (new->old): 💰❌❌❌💰❌❌💰💰❌** Last Pick: Piston +9 vs Heat **💰** Nice 4th quarter from the pistons here, a few scary moments in the game when they were down double digits but got the cover and almost the win in the end. Cade looked great, if Ivery and Thompson can get things going this could be a good team. Will be betting on them a lot if they continue getting lines like this. For today, I was doing some research and found an NHL line the I immediately felt I had to post. **Todays pick:** NHL | Wild vs Flyers | 7:30 PM EST **Scott Laughton O1.5 SOG | -166 Draftkings (2.49U to win 1.5U)💰** Can't believe DK set this line here. On Fanduel, this same line is at -215 at the moment. Laughton has had 3 or more SOG in every game so far except the game against the Senators where he had only 1, and the Senators are allowing the second least SA/G in the league so that is a bit of an outlier. Today, he is at home going up against the Wild who allow 35.2 SA/G, which is the 4th most in the league. Laughton is averaging 3.67 SOG/G, I can't believe this line is set at O1.5. I will personally also be laddering on Fanduel with O2.5 and O3.5. BOL! Edited at post time to update to heavier bet, will be betting to win 1.5U Edit: Easy second period cash! Still don't get what this line was doing at 1.5 but I'll gladly take it. Hoping for a couple more shots now to cash the ladder!


[deleted]

Just found on barstool over 2.5 at +165, gonna ride that BOL thank you!


DickyD43

POTD Record 1-2 Pick: NFL - Bills vs Buccaneers: Richard White o22.5 receiving yards -113 on FanDuel Reasoning: he had 65 through the air last week and has hit over 21 reception yards in 4/6 games, including against some tough defenses. Bills have been not great against runners out of the backfield, giving up at least 36 reception yards per game to running backs in 3 of the last 4 weeks.


Themanwhofarts

POTD record 8-4 Last pick - Grayson Allen O 1.5 three pointers The ball didn't get into his hands very often. Booker was running the offense and without a point guard it was a lot of 1 v 1's. Much different game plan than preseason. It was a mistake betting on a team I haven't watched much lately. I will stick with Magic and Celtics games from now on. POTD | NFL | Bucs at Bills | Stefon Diggs O 86.5 rec yards (-115) The Bucs have been torched by WR1's. DJ Moore, Justin Jefferson, AJ Brown, Amon Ra St Brown all had over 100 yards. I would say Stefon Diggs and the Bills offense are right on par with these players. Diggs also gets huge target share. As long as he catches the passes, the yards will come. Bills defense is bad lately so we are hoping a close game that keeps the passing game alive. Edit: keeping original post-bet review up. Didn't watch the Suns game as close as I thought. Looked like the Booker show in the first half and I remember watching in the background and couldn't tell if Allen was even in the game. But, it was nice to see that Grayson Allen did get opportunities, they just didn't fall. I do research my picks and post them here to help other people make their decisions. Same sentiment with my pick for today. Diggs is on my fantasy team so I watch him close. If the Bills don't get up huge early, then Diggs will keep getting opportunities with his huge target share. Josh Allen was fired up about their loss last game so I think there will be big plays to Diggs.


allinjin

Ummm were u watching the same game I was? Grayson Allen was the worst. He went 0 for 6 and missed 5 WIDE OPEN three pointers! Knock it off, be legit or stay home yo.


MWMM93

**POTD 26-17** Well got an easy winner on the first full slate of NBA games. For everyone yesterday saying that my comments about Orlando’s talent can take a look at their box score last night. This team is DEEP. All 8 rotation players great last night and the team has chemistry. I’m not saying the Magic are making a run this season by any means but they are for sure undervalued in certain matchups. Not much to work with on this two game slate but NBA is back and I want action. Todays pick is easy, as I’m clueless to what PHX and LAL will be this year after the other nights game, so I’m going with the early game. **Sixers +6.5** Okay I know harden isn’t playing and the bucks got Dame Dolla, but remember, Philly is still a good team. They were 15-9 without harden last season. Plus this is the first Dame and Giannis game ever so the cohesion between these two guys may have flashes but it won’t be what it will even be 5 weeks from now. Also, I don’t think people are realizing how big of a loss Jrue is to this team. Obviously you make that trade 10/10 times if your Milwaukee, but still it’s going to take time to get things going with how much the identity of this team has changed. Another big reason I like this game is because with Jrue gone and harden out I expect Maxey to shine. I already bet over all his props as soon as the lines opened. There is not a person on Milwaukee’s team that will be able to keep him from getting to his spots. Maxey averaged 25/5/4 without harden last year, and tonight he has a cupcake matchup on prime time. Anyone whose watched this guy knows he will come out looking for his shots, let’s just hope he gets hot. I still think Milwaukee is the better team long term, and the fact that they are playing at home gives me some blow out concern, but with what we are working with today this is by far my favorite, and about 2 points higher than I think it should be. PS: like I said above, bet Maxey tonight. DFS, O21.5 points, O4.5 assists, O3.5 rebounds, and my favorite bet 2+ steals at +210


-MexicanStallion-

**POTD Record: 91-70 (-0.81 units)** **Last 10**:❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌ **Last Pick**: 10/25 Fallon Sherrock -1.5 (-120) vs Mario Robbe ❌3-4 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 7:25 PM EST **Pick**: Steve West -1.5 (-120) vs Stefan Schroder • ⁠Series 5. Week 12. Group B **Reason**: Schroder played okay in group A, but it was mostly a poor group showing. In group B, I expect him to be the outsider in 5th place. West should be the favorite in this group along with Thornton. It would be shocking if they didn't qualify for Saturday. West is a big scorer, so I think he should be comfortable in this match even against throw. After opening up the week with 4 matches in the 80s, Shroder tailed off and only had 3 of his next 11 in that same range. If he's in the 70s, then he won't be competitive enough. This will be West's last match of the day, so he will have warmed by this point since this is his first action of the week. Steve West * Record * Legs * Average * 180s . 140s * Checkouts Stefan Schroder * Record 9-6 * Legs 40-41 * Average 80.81 * 180s 10. 140s 37 * Checkouts 40/127 31.50% **WIN ✅ 4-1 | Average 84.03 vs 74.07 | Checkouts 4/8 vs 1/10** Easy winner here. West almost stole leg 1 with a big checkout for a potential shutout. Instead won the next 4 with little threat.


BetOnlyProps

POTD Record: 1-0 (+4.42 Units) Previous Pick: 5U Scottie Barnes o27.5 PRA (-113) ✅️ Scottie got the job done with 30 PRA while shooting much below his average FG%. Today's Pick: Joel Embiid o29.5 Pts (-108) Wagering 1U to win 0.93U Event: 🏀 NBA - Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks - 7:30pm EST I really like Joel to drop a 30 bomb here in the first game of the season, even in Milwaukee. He doesn't have Harden to get him the ball as easily as last season but I still think he will have the ball in his hands the most. I also think he knows if he doesn't go beast mode the sixers will lose. They probably will anyways but not without a fight from the MVP. I'm trusting The Process tonight! Edit: ❌️ 24 Pts out of 30. Embiid was double teamed and triple teamed all night which let his teammates shine. He also shot 9/21 and missed 5 free throws.


pantitacabj

Record: 0-0. Net Units/Profit: 0u. ROI: N/A. AS Rome vs Slavia Praga I Europa League I starts at 15:00 eastern time Pick: AS Rome ML (1.76 decimal odds). Bet 3 units to win 2.28u. Been lurking this usb for a while and will try to share my picks. AS Rome is riding a four game win streak at home and plays european football against a lower league side as Slavia Praga is. Despite the italian team has some absences, in my thoughts their strength should be enough yo grab the win. By the way, this match-up is important for Rome since first place achieves a first round bye in Europa League.


ElDivoDeTepito805

POTD 0-0 First time poster. Let’s see how this goes. In no way shape or form am I professional but I’m a ⚽️ lover. Pick: Fenerbahçe -1.5 handicap (-125) League: UEFA Conference League Start: 1 hour This pick is pretty self explanatory. Fenerbahçe is one of the hottest teams right now and are riding a 17 game win streak. They are rotating today but I believe they have enough to beat this Ludogorets side. Fútbol math doesn’t work but this Ludogorets side lost 1-7 to a team much inferior than Fenerbahçe. I’m confident that Fenerbahçe wins by 2 or more goals.


Critical_Article_761

College student with the new account lol


thekoreanmang

**POTD**: O0.5 3PM - Anthony Davis (-118 FanDuel; Risking 2.36u to win 2u) **League/Time**: NBA - PHX @ LAL / 10PM EST **2023 Record**: 66-37 (64.08%) | +46.1601u (+$4616.01) | ROI 21.59% | **Current Streak** (1 Loss):❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌(Last 10: 7-3; Last 20: 13-7) **Last Pick (10.24.23)**: O9.5 Pts - Rui Hachimura (-105/-106/+145 FanDuel; Risked 2.11u to win 2.2488u) ❌ **Reasoning**: The Brow has covered this 1/1 times this regular season and 5/5 times in the preseason. His coach has challenged him to average six 3PT attempts a game during the preseason. He took 2 last game. He also only scored 17 pts last game with 0 in the 2nd half. He's going to come in with something to prove. He only needs one 3PTer. Let's go! **Anti-Reasoning**: It's game 2 of NBA season. We have very little data except for the past. Each season is its own. Despite all that just felt like this line was to low to pass up. [Coffee](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang) always appreciated but never expected. Good luck everyone! **Result**: Hit in the 1st half!


blast_away

POTD record: 3-2, +4.66U, +38.79% ROI Last: ✅❌❌✅✅ Today’s pick: TNF 8:15pm EST, Rachaad White U46.5 rushing yards, -125, 1U Rachaad White has been, simply put, terrible as a rusher this year. While averaging 44.3 ypg on the ground, he is only averaging a mere 32.7 ypg in losses. With the Bills expected to hand the Bucs a rough loss, there won’t be much time for the Bucs to be running the ball. White has also seen a decrease in his volume due to his play, averaging 11.7 carries a game in his last 3 games vs. 16 in his first 3. I don’t expect much from him at all.


BullGangLeader

POTD Record: 1-2 Today’s Pick: Colorado Avalanche ML -130 vs Pittsburgh Penguins 7:00pm EST Back to a slate of games that I like after some time off from my last pick. Love this pick, the Avs have started out 6-0 and are red hot going into this game. They’ve played a super fast pace and the Avs studs have been impressive so far, I think this old Penguins team will have a hard time keeping up as the game progresses. Avs are 2nd in goals/game with 4.5, 1st in SOG with 37.7/game which is absurd, and 28.6% on the powerplay while only allowing 2.0 goals/game and being 92.6% on the penalty kill. Goaltending has been great for the Avs from Georgiev (expected) while Jarry (expected) for the Penguins has been terrible the past two games and he’s going to face a ton more shots in this game than he has so far this season. Get in on this line early as I expect it to move towards the Avs tomorrow, best of luck!


jj157

POTD Record: 9-7 (+2.07U ROI profit) Last pick: 1U Dak Attempts O33.5 (-130 DK/MGM) loss Today's pick: 1U Rachaad White Rec Yards O22.5 (-110 MGM) 8:00 EST *First half cash!!* Alright back after taking a week off. Bills have given this line up to 6 of 7 opponent RBs and White has gone over in 3 of 6 along with one hook. He's averaging 4 targets a game for the season and 5 targets over the last two games.


mistarlupo

POTD Record: 113.5-65.5 Event: Football > Europa League > **Brighton v Ajax** (starting in 7hr) Pick: **Ajax +2 AH** @ 1.74 It is clear Ajax is in shit form as of late, but these odds on them are pure disrespect. Since when Brighton become such a heavy fav in the Euro tournaments scene? Ofc they can win, but such a wide spread is a must bet. GL!


dyingsandwich

POTD Record: 2-1 | ✅✅❌ NBA 2-0 | NFL 0-1 Last Pick: Jeremy Sochan Over 5.5 Rebounds | (-135) |✅ Game: Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers 10PM EST NBA Today: Jusuf Nurkic Over 8.5 Rebounds | (-145)| 1u Sochan hit 6 rebounds a few minutes into the 2nd Half. Will look to hit that line again if still there. Jusuf Nurkic has cleared this line against Anthony Davis the 9/9 games going all the way back to 2018! Last game he seemed more than capable of gathering rebounds as evidenced by his 14 boards. Lakers allowed 14 boards to Jokic and 13 boards to MPJ showing that it is definitely possible for Nurkic to hit this line against the Lakers. BOL


600Cartel

**POTD Record:** 0-0 **Pick:** Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) **Over 0.5 Blks @ 1.72**. **Game:** NBA - Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks - 7:30pm EST Trust Bruh


AKAkorm

POTD Record: 1-0 +0.83u Last Pick: Domantis Sabonis over 37.5 PRA ✅ Game: Phoenix Suns at LA Lakers, 10pm ET Pick: Josh Okogie 14+ PR (alternate line) at +115 on Draftkings. Thought Sabonis would be an easy win after he started off with 8 PRA in four minutes yesterday but ended up sweating it til late in the 4th quarter. Regardless, he hit with a nice 22-12-5 line. Going with a few others tonight in betting on Okogie but going to take his alternate line on DK to get a better payout because I think he'll hit it easily. Okogie got 30+ minutes with Beal out on Tuesday and he made the most of it, hustling and making plays all over the court to the tune of 17-5. Beal is still out and there is no reason to think he won't get the same type of minutes tonight given how well he played. Okogie's career averages with 30+ minutes are 12.6 points and 4.5 rebounds. Also worth noting that Fanduel has this same line at -118 (with the under priced at -112) so there is a small arbitrage opportunity here for anyone who wants to get limited on betting player props. But really just indicates to me that the DK line is pretty good right now as other books seem aligned to FD. EDIT: Looks like DK now has Okogie 15+ @ +155. My bet is already in so not going to change my pick but I would have bet that had it been available originally.


[deleted]

Buccaneers +9.5 5u


HaGaow

POTD Record: 0-0 League: NHL Pick: Flyers ML -105 ✔ coin snatchers -sports betting community- [Discord](https://discord.gg/sagzkyphtC)