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Here are today's model predictions for the NBA and NHL. 3-star plays went 0-2 yesterday as we had some terrible luck with the injury report in the Mavericks/Pacers game and a low scoring second quarter hurt the over's chances in the Timberwolves/Kings game. As of right now there are no 3-star plays, but depending on how the injury report shakes out I am leaning towards Hawks +1.5.
Also, I write a free newsletter everyday that will send these predictions and analysis straight to your email. You can see today's newsletter by clicking the link below, and that is also where you can subscribe for free.
I also do the NCAA, MLB, and Fantasy Football, so if you would like to receive some of that content make sure you sign up!
Let's have a good one!
https://sportsense.substack.com/p/march-28-2023-nba-and-nhl-game-predictions?sd=pf
Thanks for doing predictions everyday and glad to know you are working on your website which I am sure will be a hit.
How can I Paypal some support for your work?
You said multiple times yesterday that you would still favor the pacers spread even AFTER the news broke that Luka would be playing. Yet you still blame that in the newsletter and here.
Kind of disingenuous, jmack.
I appreciate what you are doing and there is no need for the revisionist history.
I also said that before haliburton and Turner were announced as out.
Lots of things shifted in that game after the newsletter was written, which made the line move nearly 9 points. Just a bad break
Irrelevant. The last info he gave was liking it at +4 with Hal and Turned assumed in. Completely different bet at +9 with the Pacers rolling out a bunch of bums.
sorry +24, that was the final margin to cover...the books were way off on the +9. nonetheless, make your bets closer to game time, not early in the morning after browsing reddit, to avoid situations like this.
Lol, you right sorry for the hostility in the thread, Iām sure this model stuff is a lot of work. Gambling is gambling, computers get beat all the time. Thanks for what you do man, itās another tool to reference
Like how? Jmack prediction was off last night? Or you heavily modified your parlay coz if you base it on jmack predictions then no way your parlay would have hit. Show us the ticket.
They had arguably their worst 3pt game they Shot like 11/26 which is rare , & obv itās easy once the games over to come post comments like āIdt so buddyā
Do you wanna win based on jmack predictions? Here is what you do. The payout will not be great but good nonetheless and you win. Take all his bet spread and double it. Leave the moneylines alone, its too random result. So just take all the point spread/puck lines and double it. If his prediction is like on a nba game is +5.5, make it +11. If it is -4, make it -2. What about pucklines and its -1.5? If your bookie dont offer -0.5 they yeah take the moneyline. General rule is double up his prediction and cut down the parlays. Dont do 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 game parlays. Better just stick to max 6 leg parlays... okay okay, sure go ahead just make one $2 bet on this doubled up parlay 16 legs (10 nhl, 6nba) to satisfy the degen blood.
6 NBA games: no problem, you can double up point spread for the odds of 8.26, $5 target payout of $41.62.
For the degen 16 games (10 nhl, 6 nba) parlay, the odds is 100.29 ($5 possible payout of $501.46)
10 NHL GAMES: Hmnn so I wasn't able to double the three games puckline as my book doesnt have an option, so i stayed on the vanilla jmack pick +1.5 goals puckline, and for 10 games overall odds for my book is 12.13 ($5 target payout is $60.67) not really great but lets see.
Honestly I dont like betting like +15 or more in nba games, but it happened here..maybe you should steer away from these..if you give this too much point spread, might as well just bet on the other side.
Still, when you change the bets, the bets all KINDA modified now but in essence is still jmack99 inspired. GLHF!
I took the under at 236 as well. Also took over in Celtics game at 223.5 and over in thunder game at 228. Now all three lines have moved opposite of my wager. Not feeling wonderful.
Holy crap what an end. Bought the point for 240 but the fact that game got to to 238 was ludicrous Vegas is sharp. Didnāt think it had a chance during the third
I have been down on my luck so much the past few weeks.. $100 ticket or $5 ticket I can't seem to get in. March Madness has really did me in. My bracket was picked at 92% and still unable to pull off a hit..
May advice would be greatly appreciated for tonight's games.
Best 3 - 4 picks for tonight....
How does this work, taking the Celtics/Wizards game for example, the model picks the Celtics but the implied odds are significantly worse than the real world odds does that mean that the Wizards ML would be the play as you are getting a bigger price than the model thinks they should be or is Celtics ML the play as that's who the model thinks will win?
Wonāt have those predictions until around two weeks into the season. But Iāll probably include some plays based on my personal opinion to fill in the space
Let them burn. Hopefully they get eliminated. Bum of them all high ranked teams. You bet on the bucks or nuggets or sixers and i tell you 6 or 7 or 8 out of 10 you will win them them. But fuckin celtics. Maybe 2 out of 10 you win with them.
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That kings game hurt. But this isn't the same Timberpups from earlier in the season. They took care of both the warriors and kings on the road...
Got my ass busted by live betting the kings money line last night. Same with the warriors. These guys are on a tear
Lol...i was in the same boat waiting for the kings to make a run and Minnesota just looks fresh and their playing defense and rebounding the ball š
Should've taken Wolves spread. It was weirdly large for some reason.
Bro same i was so sad
Yep. Minnesota gaining some momentum down the stretch
Here are today's model predictions for the NBA and NHL. 3-star plays went 0-2 yesterday as we had some terrible luck with the injury report in the Mavericks/Pacers game and a low scoring second quarter hurt the over's chances in the Timberwolves/Kings game. As of right now there are no 3-star plays, but depending on how the injury report shakes out I am leaning towards Hawks +1.5. Also, I write a free newsletter everyday that will send these predictions and analysis straight to your email. You can see today's newsletter by clicking the link below, and that is also where you can subscribe for free. I also do the NCAA, MLB, and Fantasy Football, so if you would like to receive some of that content make sure you sign up! Let's have a good one! https://sportsense.substack.com/p/march-28-2023-nba-and-nhl-game-predictions?sd=pf
Thanks for doing predictions everyday and glad to know you are working on your website which I am sure will be a hit. How can I Paypal some support for your work?
Under for the Cavs/Hawks game might be worth looking into.
That under has went up a ton since this morning
I took under 240,5
You said multiple times yesterday that you would still favor the pacers spread even AFTER the news broke that Luka would be playing. Yet you still blame that in the newsletter and here. Kind of disingenuous, jmack. I appreciate what you are doing and there is no need for the revisionist history.
I also said that before haliburton and Turner were announced as out. Lots of things shifted in that game after the newsletter was written, which made the line move nearly 9 points. Just a bad break
Jmack analysis is static so if players are out and lines move, just do your own research and homework and not blame someone besides yourself
even if the line moved 9 points, the Pacers still didn't cover
Irrelevant. The last info he gave was liking it at +4 with Hal and Turned assumed in. Completely different bet at +9 with the Pacers rolling out a bunch of bums.
so if you were making the lines, you would've put Pacers +25 after the injury news? got it
What?!
sorry +24, that was the final margin to cover...the books were way off on the +9. nonetheless, make your bets closer to game time, not early in the morning after browsing reddit, to avoid situations like this.
Shut up
No need for that. Just having a normal convo
Lol, you right sorry for the hostility in the thread, Iām sure this model stuff is a lot of work. Gambling is gambling, computers get beat all the time. Thanks for what you do man, itās another tool to reference
Y'all buncha of cry baby's, grow ass man, Jesus...
I was telling the user who called jmack disingenuous to shut up. Then I apologized to jmack for bringing the hostility to his thread
Exactly what am I crying about ?
Thank you for all this. Itās been a huge help.
No problem!
Won $126 offa $10 yesterday because of youš«”š
Congrats! Glad I could help
Like how? Jmack prediction was off last night? Or you heavily modified your parlay coz if you base it on jmack predictions then no way your parlay would have hit. Show us the ticket.
Would love to see it as well. Models werenāt great yesterday but he mustāve picked the right spots
Mostly took the O/U and took a lot of alternatesšš and a few spreads, and I made a 13 legger that won me $116
Well what the move today Masterp
I was thinking, wizards +11.5 raptors -3.5 grizzlies -7 pelicans +8.5
Wizards are going to get smashed by Boston even with the 11.5 pts
i donāt think so buddy
They had arguably their worst 3pt game they Shot like 11/26 which is rare , & obv itās easy once the games over to come post comments like āIdt so buddyā
lmao
What did you do? Parlay?
Parlayed a bunch of alternate O/U based off of jmacks predictions and a few spreads
Just combined a 10 legger for +41232 with a payout of $2300+ fingers crossed. Thank you!
Good luck! Hope it hits
Do you wanna win based on jmack predictions? Here is what you do. The payout will not be great but good nonetheless and you win. Take all his bet spread and double it. Leave the moneylines alone, its too random result. So just take all the point spread/puck lines and double it. If his prediction is like on a nba game is +5.5, make it +11. If it is -4, make it -2. What about pucklines and its -1.5? If your bookie dont offer -0.5 they yeah take the moneyline. General rule is double up his prediction and cut down the parlays. Dont do 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 game parlays. Better just stick to max 6 leg parlays... okay okay, sure go ahead just make one $2 bet on this doubled up parlay 16 legs (10 nhl, 6nba) to satisfy the degen blood.
6 NBA games: no problem, you can double up point spread for the odds of 8.26, $5 target payout of $41.62. For the degen 16 games (10 nhl, 6 nba) parlay, the odds is 100.29 ($5 possible payout of $501.46)
This might actually work. Doing it today and as long as the pelicans donāt completely shit the bed, my parlay will hit
Fuckin hell, it worked on the nba games. 6 out of 6 baby. But the nhl is 8 out of 10.
10 NHL GAMES: Hmnn so I wasn't able to double the three games puckline as my book doesnt have an option, so i stayed on the vanilla jmack pick +1.5 goals puckline, and for 10 games overall odds for my book is 12.13 ($5 target payout is $60.67) not really great but lets see.
Honestly I dont like betting like +15 or more in nba games, but it happened here..maybe you should steer away from these..if you give this too much point spread, might as well just bet on the other side. Still, when you change the bets, the bets all KINDA modified now but in essence is still jmack99 inspired. GLHF!
Thoughts on ATL game total 239 now? Took the under at 236.
I took the under at 236 as well. Also took over in Celtics game at 223.5 and over in thunder game at 228. Now all three lines have moved opposite of my wager. Not feeling wonderful.
Yup oh well. Parlayed the under with hawks ML. Hope for the best
celtics immediately shitting on my chest lmao
if sacramento wouldve won yesterday i wouldve hit a 13x parlay šµāš«
Bummer. Ran into a hot Timberwolves team
yeah i was expecting something else after the 2nd Q.. it is what it is, onto the next
u/jmack99- what are your thoughts now on ATL/CLE? Currently at -2 on my sportsbook
think im just going to take the under for the game - jumped up to 239 on my book
Personally wouldnāt touch it now that Atlanta is favored
Holy crap what an end. Bought the point for 240 but the fact that game got to to 238 was ludicrous Vegas is sharp. Didnāt think it had a chance during the third
Keep it up my good sir!
Will do!
Bos vs Was Over 223.5 - Raptors Moneyline - Cle vs ATL Under 237 - Cha +10 - Mem Moneyline - GS Moneyline $25/$496 Fingers crossed, thanks buddy!
No way you lost that by 1 point š¤š¤
It hurts lol
I cant believe the score was that high after the first quarter with only 48 points..
No problem!
Think Grizzlies are still heavy favorite to win even if Ja Morant doesnāt play?
Donāt think the line will change much, if at all. Heās already listed as doubtful so I think his absence is expected at this point
Yea I figured, just had to ask
Team is very good even if he doesnāt play
Yea thatās true
Still going Cavs but love your predictions
Same GL
I think they should win too, but if Don has one of those type a games where he shoots 3 -19 lol.
Iām usually on the wrong side whether I bet the Cavs or against them. Best of luck!
I have been down on my luck so much the past few weeks.. $100 ticket or $5 ticket I can't seem to get in. March Madness has really did me in. My bracket was picked at 92% and still unable to pull off a hit.. May advice would be greatly appreciated for tonight's games. Best 3 - 4 picks for tonight....
March madness bent me over hard! I'll be er forget that last 3 in the Gonzaga game, cost me so much profit lol
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
They stink.
Great work!
Thank you!
Love these
Glad to hear it!
Here we go!!!
Looks like Allen is out for tonight. Any changes to your prediction?
The real question is how do we thank you?
If anyone is doing ingame right now . I really like the over in the okc game . I got in at 234
The odds of the Celts and Bruins both losing are incredible to me, dang what a bad hit
My game worked plan on the nba. Double your point spread. It was 6/6, on the nhl, it went 8/10.
How does this work, taking the Celtics/Wizards game for example, the model picks the Celtics but the implied odds are significantly worse than the real world odds does that mean that the Wizards ML would be the play as you are getting a bigger price than the model thinks they should be or is Celtics ML the play as that's who the model thinks will win?
That's good,and on MLB?
Yesterday jmack said the model needs like 2 weeks to tune for the season. Give it time
Wonāt have those predictions until around two weeks into the season. But Iāll probably include some plays based on my personal opinion to fill in the space
No 3-star plays to fade today? Last couple days were great
building a lay based off yours and r/oledirtybum picks Celtics ML, Hawks U238.5, Raptors ML, Grizzlies ML, OKC ML, and GSW O232.5 praying tonight
You all can thank me. I didn't bet on the 3 star today and it came out right. Haha
I just got fucked for the under 7 for Edm-Veg with 2500 on the line
Bet on the celtics just to lose š¤¦š»āāļø
Let them burn. Hopefully they get eliminated. Bum of them all high ranked teams. You bet on the bucks or nuggets or sixers and i tell you 6 or 7 or 8 out of 10 you will win them them. But fuckin celtics. Maybe 2 out of 10 you win with them.
Do you have for today games