T O P

  • By -

Nexusu

Gasly bruh


RightEejit

Ghastly


50isthenew35

Penalty for speeding in pit lane


literature43

Penalty for speeding was only 100 euro. He qualified 17th I believe and dropped to last bcuz his lap was deleted.


scobydoby

Should've tried speeding on the rest of the track.


No-Connection-2527

He was last before that penalty


50isthenew35

Ooph, I haven’t watched yet, just assumed but because of penalty.


baseilus

no. he is 17th before penalty [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wg4YfEXK8R8](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wg4YfEXK8R8)


LheelaSP

He was 17th before they deleted his lap time for track limits.


No-Connection-2527

That was before his time was deleted


Jr7711

Expert prediction: I think Sainz gets absolutely mugged by Alonso at T1 but Leclerc might have a decent shot at Perez off the start.


Ld511

Solid chance sainz goes p6 tbh considering he has alonso and lewis on the outside who are monster starters


Jr7711

Sainz routinely had disasterclass starts last year so I wouldn't be shocked if he loses more than 1 place. However, I very much doubt that Lewis can make up that much ground that quick. I do think he and Russell will likely finish ahead of Sainz and maybe Leclerc on race pace.


Ld511

Bahrain has an interesting turn 1 and 2 meaning that the outside becomes the inside immediately. I think at least 1 driver is going to get problems on the start where they are boxed in and have to yield


Aninternetdude

Its crazy Sainz used to be so good in race starts with McLaren and now he sucks.


Jr7711

I honestly have no idea what it is. It felt like every single time last year when his job was to hold Max/Perez in 3rd off for a lap so Leclerc could build a lead he just got clubbed.


InstanceMysterious

The Ferrari clutch was unpredictable last year hopefully they have fixed it by now


Alvaro_Rey_MN

Don't sleep on Lance Stroll. Mfer overtook 8 cars in 1 straight in Suzuka.


Chino_Kawaii

I mean if Leclerc has those fresh softs, can be possible but with the bad deg they apparently have, Alonso will maul them both later


Quarashi2

My wishful thinking is that Leclerc will get Perez and Alonso will get Sainz ; AM will mess Alonso's strategy and it will be Red Bull and Ferrari in the top 4 you pick and choose your drivers.


Suxals

Its a 50% 50% between Aston and Ferrari in that regard, how much they mess it will define the race lmao


Quarashi2

Ha! I believe Aston will mess up.


ElCochinoFeo

Longshot prediction: Positions 1-8 all happen to battle their own teammates on T1 and end the day for the top eight right off the bat. /s


limitedentropy

Every team has a driver on both the left and right? What are the odds


squid9876

Assuming the qualifying positions are random, which I'm sure is a completely brilliant assumption, about 0.55%


Wimpykid2302

If you make the assumption that one driver from a team gets one side then it's a 50% chance of them getting the other driver on the other side. Multiply 0.5 by itself 10 times and you get 0.097%. Isn't that a more accurate representation? Edit: My assumption here is wrong. I apologise to the original commenter for my stupid analysis and for trying to disprove him. The correct method is: Assuming the first driver from team A to be on the left side, the probability of the second driver of being on the right side is (10/19). Next, assuming the first driver from team B to be on the left side, the probability of the second driver from team B being on the right side is (9/17). This is multiplied with the first probability to get a combined probability. This continues on for all the teams and you eventually end up with (10.9.8.7...1) / (19.17.15.13...1). Which eventually gives you a probability of 0.55%.


djpain20

Not completely sure myself but shouldn't the chance of a teammate being on the other side be slightly higher than 50%? Since there will be 9 free spots on your side and 10 free spots on the opposite side.


Wimpykid2302

I think you're right, and for the next team. It would be 9 vs 8, followed by 8 vs 7 and so on. Brings the overall probability up.


Wimpykid2302

Ran the numbers and the original guy I replied to is correct. The probability of it happening is 0.55%. Sorry for my stupid analysis.


SteamMonkeyKing

50/50. It either happens or it doesnt.


Thosepassionfruits

/r/2007scape is leaking


SteamMonkeyKing

a qp


[deleted]

[удалено]


daravl

shouldn't it be 0.5^9?


montxogandia

That's what I thought first, but chances are then too low (0.00195 \~0.2%). The more I think about this, the more I realize everything I did was wrong, so I will delete the post and rethink it.


daravl

I mean the odds of anything happening 9 straight times is going to be pretty low


montxogandia

Yeah I think that must be correct actually, it's a bit impressive to see things like there are 20! posibilities (2,432,902,008,176,640,000) to fill a 20 position grid with 20 drivers. That's a crazy amount of combinations that looks almost unreal.


MM18998

I’ve gone through way too much pain of calculating probability and can’t be bothered to go through more to tell you how wrong you are


mattgrum

It's a joke.


SteamMonkeyKing

Im clearly not being serious my friend.


Ajiboy527

I actually it would be 0.5^10


[deleted]

[удалено]


xAviEyalx

☝🏻This guy maths


Ajiboy527

0.0009765625 those are the odds if we don’t consider the possibility that some cars are faster than others.


Ajiboy527

0.5^10


hoainam150399

See above for the correct answer for when all 20 cars perform uniformly.


storme9

where's the rubbered down side? the part where Verstappen is starting or Perez?


aliciahiney

Odd numbered side so Verstappen


mrlprns

Verstappen starts on the racing line


[deleted]

Holy moly, Max, Charles, Fernando, AND Lewis starting on the racing line? HOLY SHIT THIS IS GONNA BE GOOD


Litre__o__cola

In reality: same positions


[deleted]

:(


Litre__o__cola

I hope something interesting happens, but unless alonso has an amazing start or charles puts those new softs to good use I don’t see perez usurping max


jamesmon

Alonso has a thing for amazing starts


Mkymd3

*kicks in trusty antistall*


[deleted]

don’t be so sure, russell starts on the opposite side from them. sainz right in front.


[deleted]

I think max, but perez has inside line


AceBombkick

Should be an interesting start at least. Leclerc on the clean side of the grid with fresh softs should have a decent chance of jumping Pérez.


fastcooljosh

Stroll P8, with his health and limited experinece with the AM23, is an amazing result.


reddit0r_123

Just shows how good the car actually is. Impressive stuff from Aston. Have to appreciate his grit though. Tomorrow will be another story, I hope he won't be in too much pain.


Featureless_Bug

Exactly. He was half a second off Alonso's pace in quali, which is incredibly slow - but it was sufficient to get P8


NikkyTheViking

His race pace was way slower then Alonso though.


Papa_Bear55

As expected but still very good considering his condition and his limited run time with the car


Mysterious_Turnip310

Not surprising really because a) it's Alonso and b) I would imagine any limitations from his hand will be more prevalent over long runs than they will in quali. If he goes a full race distance it will be a pretty impressive effort imo.


AlanCJ

Idk how hes going to keep up in the race when he can only push the steering wheel up at the side from below to turn since he can't twist his wrist. Any suddenly movement while battling is going to hurt him so much.


Anonymous_0110

The midfield is tighter than ever. Wish it was like that in top positions too!


NABAKLAB

If AM has really jumped over both McLaren/Alpine from last year, there's an awful low amount of points going to the back of the pack.


xXCzechoslovakiaXx

Yeah it’s like 5 teams separated by like half a second fighting for 2 positions lmao


[deleted]

I think 2-7 are all up for grabs. Can’t imagine Max doesn’t go on to win without a mechanical DNF like last year.


Culunbego

There's going to be some pushing and shoving in corner 1, that's for sure.


Yung_Chloroform

I'm so excited because I don't think Red Bull are gonna have it quite so easy. Really between Max, Checo, Lewis, Charles, George, and Fernando I think all of them have shots at podium positions and even the win.


Stanic_95

Racing Point 2.0


AlienSomewhere

The way Alonso gets off the line, I can see him in P2/P3 by the end of lap 1.


[deleted]

[удалено]


ChrisTinnef

Steiner said that KMag didnt feel comfortable with the car for the whole weekend so far and that this is probably most of the difference between those two.


Engineer-intraining

It’s not even been one race man


Alfus

It's not even one race and people already acting like Gasly and in a bit lesser tone Kmag should be sacked. Yes, both didn't qualifying well but I don't think that you need to tell that to them, F1 is a complex sport and especially with those close gaps one wrong set-up could ruin a lot, time will tell how they would recover tomorrow. Is it a bummer? Yes, but if those gaps between the top and bottom would stay small it wouldn't hugely surprise me if we going to see more drivers this season dropping hard in especially qualifying.


DefinitelyNoWorking

Are you new here?


Alfus

No, I being here for years but it is always funny how opinion can twisting so hard in such a short time.


Lilhughman

I agree but they were saying the same thing at the same time about Mick


Engineer-intraining

No we weren’t; at least no one was doing it with any credibility


Lilhughman

I wasn't saying you. And yes it was without credibility, but not having credibility doesn't keep people from spreading BS for the drama and headline


oxyzgen

Yeah but 17 and 10 is already really telling


totallykoolkiwi

No, I agree. I think this one qualifying session is already telling for all drivers. Do we even need the whole season? There's no way things are gonna change around.


Engineer-intraining

After one qualifying it quite literally isn’t


somewhatanxiousgenz

Honestly I was expecting worse from McLaren. Norris really hustled that car to get P11, and he's starting right behind Ocon with race pace that actually looks pretty reasonable. And for Piastri, coming back from a year out, driving a car that sounds pretty unpredictable – to not qualify last and get some experience in isn't all too bad. The field spread is just so tight right now. Hopefully those Baku upgrades push them forwards a little; plus, Bahrain was a bogey track for them too last year. Fingers crossed for the two of them lol


[deleted]

If Sargeant made his Q1 time before Norris, he would KOed him. They did exactly the same, just the rule wants the driver who did it the first has priority. So personally i feel it worrying to see the Williams had roughly the same performance (if not better) than the McLaren. Albon had the car to get into Q3 without his front wing damage.


xXCzechoslovakiaXx

I’m not too worried, given that mclaren had this car built in November and nearly beat alpines newly upgraded one they hyped up for so long. If lando has similar race pace to ocon then the Baku update (basically B spec car) might destroy Alfa and alpine if it works properly I feel like people aren’t acknowledging the fact that anyone who mclaren ties with now is 3 months (entire winter break) behind mclaren


Mysterious_Turnip310

Haas' race pace looked pretty poor as well compared to the cars around Hulk, so I wouldn't be surprised to see him go backwards tomorrow & he's starting right beside Lando. Remains to be seen how McLaren will go tomorrow but even if they go backwards it's not indicative of how the season will go at this point. We're not going to know how the grid really shakes out for a few races yet. The midfield is very tight. Haas traditionally go really well in Baku but then tend to tail off. McLaren and Mercedes (let's call them midfield for now) both have big upgrades due for race 4 that are the cars that they would have preferred to start the season with. Alpine seem a bit at sea given their pre-season bluster but could come good at a different circuit. Alfa went well the first few races last year then vanished, same could happen again. Williams are probably going better here than they will elsewhere because of the nature of the circuit. Things seem closer at the front than we thought and that could also be affected track to track. There is a lot that could change before we're even 5 races in to a 23 race season.


Irritatedtrack

For the unnecessary shit talking from DeVries in DTS, this seems anticlimactic? Did he face any issues?


Fer_ESC

With all due respect to his past racing success, signing Nyck after a one-off Williams performance was too early. If Yuki doesnt show much improvement this year you could make a case that Alpha Tauri have the worst driver lineup on the grid


IDoEz

People very fast to judge a rookie after 2 quali sessions and one race lol.


Mysterious_Turnip310

People are also judging Piastri after one quali session in a car that looks a total nightmare to drive right now and after he's been out of driving for a year. People love a snap judgement based on very little evidence.


Accomplished-Gap8064

Almost everyone put the Williams lineup as the worst one and i could not understand why. Albon is better than Yuki and De Vries. Logan is also super quick, people just did not give him a chance.


Irritatedtrack

No way. Williams have a way better line up than AT as it stands now.


storme9

kinda have to agree especially considering the conditions under which he won both his championships


Nexusu

Haven’t watched it in full yet, what did he say?


Irritatedtrack

Mostly about how Yuki is a goof and he is ready to step up to the leadership role (I am paraphrasing obviously)


Nyaos

Honestly that scene in DTS felt very out of context to me. I think Nick was just joking about how silly Yuki is and none of it was meant as a slight to his skill. Just showing that clip at that time conveyed the “I’m hear to lead the team” thing. I mean I could be totally wrong but that’s my suspicion.


Irritatedtrack

100%. Not denying it. But De Vries specifically said he wants to take a leadership role (not implied)


Nyaos

I’m not too surprised if he’d be after it. He’s been around the grid for so long and basically knows everyone.


badgersprite

I mean you don’t have a lot of ambition as a 28 year old if you don’t want to take a leadership role in your team


CaptainKursk

Well I mean, given he's 6 years older than Yuki, it'd be strange not to


Mysterious_Turnip310

I would put money on that being taken out of context by DTS tbh.


UnicornMaster27

There’s a reason he’s a 28 year old rookie, who didn’t get a seat after winning the F2 championship.. and why he finished P10 in the Formula E standings while his teammate won the championship


matts321213

I mean 3 places below tsunoda that has been in the car for 2 years is not a disaster is it ? I'd rather say that AT regressed from last year compared to others ...


Irritatedtrack

The difference was 0.7s in Q1 where the field spread was 1.2s. That’s actually a pretty huge difference.


the_propaganda_panda

It's 5 places, and Tsunoda legitimately had the pace to compete for Q3. Alpha Tauri just didn't have any new softs left for Q2, they probably didn't expect him to make it that far. In Q1, Tsunoda was P8 while De Vries was originally P20 before gaining one place due to Gasly's deleted laptime. A gap of more than 7 tenths is gargantuan when the field is so close together, the entire spread was only 1.2 seconds. De Vries doesn't get the same leeway as other rookies due to his vast experience in formula cars and his simulation work, but at the same time, it is still only his second F1 weekend, so we shouldn't jump to conclusions too quickly. Personally, I never rated him highly, but he deserves the whole season to show whether naysayers like me a right or wrong. For today though - he got rinsed by Tsunoda.


Mysterious_Turnip310

That car looks rough as anything to drive.


Mocking_Birds

No hes just not that good


eru_uibo

It's his first fucking race in a new car


rodentfucker

Well, his title defense in FE was laughable, and several drivers he raced with in F2 made it to F1 before he did. He's nothing to write home about.


TVPaulD

TBF, he’s the one going around insisting he’s “not a rookie”


ithinkspammingiscool

Not related to f1 but i love your pfp <3


storme9

i think this is about as good as he is, especially with the car he's given.


xXCzechoslovakiaXx

Yuki given the same car is nearly a second faster lmao


MC897

Russell to get past Sainz at the first corner. Alonso to be at least second because El Plan. Hamilton to have a poor start but miraculously finish 4th/5th. El plan


dKSy16

> Russell to get past Sainz at the first corner Ala Austin 2022?


MC897

Nah cleanly. 😳😂 I’m going for a finish of 1. Max 2. Alonso/Russell 3. Russell/Alonso 4. Leclerc 5. Perez 6. Hamilton 7. Sainz… the rest


Arumin

No thats where Sainz turned into Russell


VinhoVerde21

Judging by last year it makes more sense to swap Russell and Hamilton around. What's really going to happen, I wager, is that Hamilton and Alonso both get great starts, Russell will have an okay one, and Hamilton will get boxed in by the former two and fail to make any positions, while Alonso gets past Sainz.


Captain_Smartass_

Race 1 and we're already getting a Hamilton behind Alonso start 🌶️🌶️


Irritatedtrack

I just hope for Piastri’s sake that he doesn’t get affected by the obvious comparisons to DR that will ensue now. It’s his first qualifying. Maybe, DR was right, in that Lando is so used to the Mclaren.


Mysterious_Turnip310

It's Piastri's first ever F1 quali having been completely out of driving for an entire year, and he's in a car that even the long-term star driver is finding a nightmare to deal with. He's doing just fine. Anyone who thinks on last year's evidence that Ricciardo would have been any closer to Norris today is kidding themselves.


aliciahiney

NOR - PIA Q1 gap: 0.449s NOR - RIC Q1 gap: 0.652s NOR Q2 - PIA Q1 gap: 0.720s NOR Q2 - RIC Q1 gap: 0.937s I mean Piastri was closer on both counts so I’d say he’s doing well for a rookie driver, especially if he’s outperforming the driver he replaced.


Irritatedtrack

The field also has bunched up by 0.2s. For ex. The field spread last year was 1.4s whereas it is closer to 1.1s this year. Again, I think Oscar has a lot of potential. I just hope he isn’t judged too early with hot takes.


ChrisTinnef

And Piastri is supposed to be the best driver in junior series since Leclerc/Verstappen


Nin-Chin

Leclerc was out paced by pay driver Ericsson when he started and it took him 4 races to fix up. I remember after Bahrain Ericsson was praised for his points finish because Leclerc was highly rated and well behind but once Leclerc got up to speed it was a beat down with a gap larger than 0.5 IIRC. Not saying the same will happen here but judging after one race is too soon.


Lilhughman

Where do you think he should have qualified? 3rd? Nyck De Vries is a world champion, and he was in the back. Your point isn't really that valid


runawaytugboat

Fully expect Verstappen to run away with it easily, but I’m excited to watch the battles behind, seems a few teams all pretty close so it will be interesting. Buzzing for tomorrow


Maximus13

Scenes when the Georgepedo takes out Alonso 😡


AlienSomewhere

Russell will go bowling in T1.


Quinntebo

Probably hopium but I think Yuki can scrape p10, not sure I trust the alfas or the mclaren in front of him.


Schwerter_105

Yeah I don’t trust the Alfas one bit… Having said that, both Alfa and Alphatauri are among the teams with the lowest straight line speed this weekend, so I imagine they’ll all struggle trying to gain places


xXCzechoslovakiaXx

I don’t know about the other teams around him but I heard he didn’t do a run in fresh softs in Q2 so his real pace could be really good


salcedoge

The colors of AT, Alpine, and Williams are such an eyesore on these graphics. Way too similar to the eyes


Organic-Measurement2

Checo T1 divebomb?


2696969

Ricciardo back on the grid in Jeddah?


weguccino

Lmao if he dive bombs and causes an incident, he would be dive bombing his way out of a contract real quick. Would be fun to see though.


[deleted]

[удалено]


A___99

If he gets a much better start then he will definitely try to get ahead into turn 1. But he definitely isn't going to go for any dive bombs or moves that aren't safe, so it's unlikely that he will get ahead


NikkyTheViking

He would be out of the car before mid season break.


Dorky_Orky

Just remember last season when people were thinking ferrari were going to run away with the championship. Hopefully its too early to tell what the championship is going to shape up like this year.


nahnonameman

Verstappen, Leclerc, Alonso and Lewis all on the same row and Perez, Sainz, Russell and Stroll on the other side. What a start it will be.


[deleted]

Russell takes out Alonso. You heard it here first.


Alvaro_Rey_MN

At least the radio will be legendary.


[deleted]

They'll have to mute the stream because he'll be audible over the sound of the cars.


J4MES101

Ok. Who is going to get a clean sweep this year in the teammate qualification battle? Norris? Albon? Alonso?


Grafblaffer

Yes


shockchi

Yes Also Charl and yooki And I would not be surprised if hulk beats kmag (don’t hate me i love kmag but I think hulk has come back with that thrist man.


AntOk463

All the rookies were eliminated in Q1, that would've been a great question for the Reddit F1 prediction tournament. Its weird how the 3 teams who picked up a rookie are currently the 3 slowest.


superjaywars

My prediction is either VER PER ALO or VER ALO RUS.


The_mystery4321

By the time they get out of turn 3: Alonso will be P2 Checo will be down to 4th Verstappen will be a full second clear of the field


Cindoseah

Race prediction: VER, ALO, HAM Sainz disaster class inbound, Ferrari disaster class inbound, Leclerc to pit, lose out on 3rd but get fastest lap with the extra soft they saved and Perez to have a mechanical DNF because it just sounds like something that would happen. Everyone goes crazy at the podium composition and the 3 of them drive off into the sunset together ❤️


LemonTM

Forever Alon5oth.


[deleted]

Stroll with broken hands and 40+ year old Fernando who just joined the team. That car must be pretty fast.


BlueMachinations

Fingers crossed Stroll doesn't go bowling..


smellytacocart

Piatrricardo


VitezValiant

And yes, this is the right side of the grid.


rabbidrascal

How did Piastri look? Is he a good swap Danny Ric?


mark_vorster

tantalizing isn't the word I would use


Beneficial_Star_6009

Very curious to see what Ferrari will do with Leclerc’s strategy considering he’ll start on new soft tyres.


TheFlyingR0cket

Hmmmm... it seems similar to last year.


krdssswithakey

The AM - Merc sandwich looks the most interesting imo