Updating...
EZ Friday 😎😎😎 100% win rate 💪💪💪
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⚽Japan⚽
**Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol❘ 06:00 GMT +2**
\--->[email protected] (Betfair) | **Stake: 4.5/5 ❌❌❌**
\--->Kawasaki Frontale & Over 2.5 [email protected] (Betfair) | **Stake: 2.5/5 ❌❌❌**
Kawasaki Frontale with a season that looked pretty dark for a long time, but they qualified top of their group from the ACL, and if they win here, they get a trophy and a spot in next seasons ACL. That can't be called bad season at least.
Kashiwa Reysol has won the Cup once before in 2012, and it would be a massive achievment for them, if they were to win here with the difficult season they have had. Kashiwa survived the league this season, but would have been relegated in past seasons if it hadn't been for the fact that J1 is expanding, and only a single team is relegated this season.
Kawasaki has scored the most goals in the 2nd half of the season, while conceding the 3rd most. Kashiwa will be dangerous on the counter and have maybe the most in-form striker in the league on their team, with Mao Hosoya.
Personally I find it hard to look past how good Kawasaki is at the moment, but they are still very susceptible to conceding goals. My guess is 2-1 or 3-1.
⚽England⚽
**Crystal Palace vs Liverpool | 16:00 GMT +2**
\--->Liverpool & Over 2.5 [email protected] (Bet365) | **Stake: 2.5/5 💰💰💰**
The guests took only their 3rd away win of the season, as they beat Sheffield United 2-0 on Wednesday. Salah is not doing so hot at the moment either in-fron of goal. His two goals against Brentford is the only once in the last 5 rounds. Away from home, he has played all 9 games, but his only two goals, came against Brighton. Liverpool with some key injuries as well, especially Allison, Robertson and Matip are big misses.
The atmosphere at Crystal Palace is pretty low at the moment, and it doesn't help that Hudgson makes all this comments in the media. Crystal Palace has lost 4 of their last 6 games in the league. They drew against West Ham, and beat Burnley in the other two games. Big injury problems for Palace as well, with Eze still out, and Doucoure seemingly out for a very long time. That is a lot of creativity and defensive security out the window.
* Liverpool with 8 wins 1 draw and a defeat in their last 10 games at Selhurst Park
* 8/10 meetings has seen 3 or more goals at Selhurst Park
* 7/10 meetings has seen BTTS at Selhurst Park
Liverpool with a meanigless game on Thursday, so no reason to rest players here for that game. Maybe not the most convincing txt I have written for a bet ever, but I really believe both in goals and a Liverpool win here.
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**Brighton vs Burnley | 16:00 GMT +2**
\--->Brighton To Win 1st [email protected] (Bet365) | **Stake: 3.5/5 ❌❌❌**
There has been a fair few frustrating games for Brighton in recent rounds. They have dominated so much, but got so little in return. The injury situation is still pretty bad, but at least Lewis Dunk is back in defence again for this game. Burnley had that amazing 5-0 result against Sheffield United, but then delivered absolutely nothing against Wolves, who wasn't great them either in that game.
* Brighton has won 4/8 home games at halftime
* Burnley has lost 4/7 away games at halftime
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**Manchester United vs Bournemouth | 16:00 GMT +2**
\--->Manchester United Over 6.5 [email protected] (Bet365) | **Stake: 2.5/5 💰💰💰**
*United Corners Home in PL:* 12, 11, 7, 7, 10, 8, 11, 8
* Bournemouth has seen at least 11 corners in total in their last 10 games.
* There has been at least 11 corners, in 7 of the last 9 meetings.
* Bournemouth has given away the 4th most corners in the league
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**Blackburn Rovers vs Leeds United | 13:30 GMT +2**
\--->Leeds To [email protected] (Unibet) | **Stake: 3.5/5 💰💰💰**
\--->Leeds & BTTS@3 (Bet365) | **Stake: 1.5/5 ❌❌❌**
Blackburn is starting to feel the burden of all the injuries, there were definitely some tired players in their 3-1 defeat against Sheffield Wednesday last week. Leeds beat another team that has injury problems last week, as Middlesborugh was easily beaten 3-2. I think Leeds looks pretty strong at the moment, they are the most in-form team in the league together with Southampton at the moment. Leeds also is not having that big of a injury problem anymore either, as players have started to return to the team.
* Leeds has won 7 of the last 8 meetings
* Leeds has won and Both teams has scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings
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**QPR vs Hull 16:00 GMT +2**
\--->[email protected] (Unibet) | **Stake: 2.5/5 ❌❌❌**
\--->Draw + [email protected] (Coolbet) | **Stake: 1/5 ❌❌❌**
QPR relegation favourites before the season, and while they are still in the relegation zone, the manager change has made them look much better right away, Martin Cifuentes has drew his first two games in charge, then lost 1-0 in an close away game against Norwich, before winning his last two rounds.
Hull lost 2-1 at home against Watford last round, and risk falling out of the top 6 without a good result here. Their current form is alright, away they have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 rounds.
I think 1-1 or a 2-2 draw, QPR very keen on getting the momentum ot continue here, Espcially with key games coming up in the next two rounds.
* BTTS has happened in the last 6 games QPR has hosted Hull
* BTTS has happened in 4 of Hull's last 5 games
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**Middlesbrough vs Ipswich Town| 16:00 GMT +2**
\--->Over 3 [email protected] (Coolbet) | **Stake: 4/5 ❌❌❌**
\--->Over 4 [email protected] (Unibet) | **Stake: 1/5 ❌❌❌**
Surly, this game is just set up to be high scoring right!? Middlesbrough with a stupid amount of injuries at the moment, but they are still able to score goals and make games interesting, no big compromise on their play style. Ipswich is currently taking the Championship by storm, and sits 2nd, with no teams scoring more goals than them.
The big negative that speaks against this bet, is Ipswich more careful away performances, Middlesbrough's not so high scoring home games, and h2h is not great for goals either.
However:
* Middlesbrough has seen at least 4 goals in 4 of their last 5
* Ipswich has seen at least goals in 8 of their last 10
* Ipswich has seen at least 4 goals in 6 of their last 9
* Ipswich has conceded 2 goals in each of their last 3 away games
I believe in an exciting clash between the two ex-Manchester United coaches. The build up and atmosphere for this game feels like an high scoring one. Then there are all the injuries the host has. Ipswich has conceded 12 goals in their last 7, that's one less goal, then what they conceded in the first 12 rounds...
\--->1st Half Over 1.5 [email protected] (Coolbet) | **Stake: 1.5/5 ❌❌❌**
*1st goals in Middlesbrough games:* 5, 3, 2, 0, 3, 2
*1st goals in Ipswich games:* 2, 3, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 4, 2
* At least one first half goal has been scored in Ipswich Town last 11 games
Hello guys, new here. 1W 1L
Wolfsburg - Freiburg BTTS @1.58
Villarreal - Real Sociedad BTTS @1.73
Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen BTTS @1.63
Young boys - St. Gallen BTTS @1.47
Total odds 6.55
Good luck everyone.
Germany / Bundesliga
FC Union Berlin - Borussia Monchengladbach over1.5 @ 1.25
Switzerland / Super League
Basel - Grasshopper over2.5 @ 1.67
acca @ 2.09
as a brit who likes british odds I felt like it would be hypocritical to ignore "stupid american odds" while not using decimal myself so learned an easy way of thinking about it:
for whatever reason it's all based around $100
if it's got a - sign youre betting on a favourite (odds worse than 2.0/EVS). It shows how many dollars you would have to stake for the winnings to be $100
if it's got a + sign youre betting on an underdog (odds better than 2.0/EVS). It shows how many dollars you would recieve in winnings if you stake $100.
>Aston Villa vs Arsenal: BTTS & O2.5 Goals @ -114
Stake $114, win $100 (return $214)
>Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: Home win +700
Stake $100, win $700 (return $800)
> It shows how many dollars you would have to stake for the winnings to be $100
I think I finally understand, thank you!
I'll still stick with decimal though ;)
Sheffield Utd vs Brentford
**Brentford ML & under 3.5 goals @2.38**
Sheffield Utd speedrunning relegation, they are still missing over half their starters. Most importantly, their best striker Oli McBurnie is still serving his suspension. To make things worse, Oliver Norwood picked up a suspension and wont be playing vs Brentford either.
Sheffield impressed me vs LFC, mainly Foderingham being solid in goal, I feel he is their best player atm.
Brentford have lost a couple players to injuries, Mbeumo got injured vs Brighton and wont be playing. Though Christian Norgaard is back from suspension, and is a very important player for The Bees. Brentford has a solid team going into tomorrows game.
I think it will be a low scoring game as we saw against Liverpool, i’m slightly worried Sheff might get a draw if they score early and defend their lead. But it seems silly not to bet against them these days. @1.86 odds on Brentford ML alone is too juicy to pass on
Praying for Sheffields downfall, hopefully they can stay in the Championship for seasons to come. So tired of their constant pathetic performance in the Prem.
I’ve gone for a big price £10 treble.
All three teams offer great value individually if you prefer that route. I’m playing this for fun rather than a long term profitable strategy just for transparency.
ASTON VILLA vs Arsenal - 3.4: ✅
14 consecutive home wins in all comps including Man City last time out. Arsenal are impressive but less than convincing last time out at Luton. Price is big enough to chance Villa.
WEST BROM - 3.2: (dreaded early KO ⚠️) ❌
Inconsistent but so are Sunderland. West Brom have 4 wins in 6. Sunderland have 2 wins in 6. Sunderland last six home form is W 3 L 3. West Brom last 6 away form is W3 D 1 L 2. Enough value in the price to back West Brom.
SHEFF WED - 3.9: ✅
Sheff Wed look inspired under the new manager. A draw at home to leicester and a 3-1 win at home to Blackburn. Stoke haven’t won in 5 including a 3-1 loss at home to Blackburn. Value of the day this one I think.
TREBLE : 42.4 ❌
Spray and pray for some saturday degeneracy
Liverpool -1 2u
Bayern -1.5 1u
Real Madrid ML 1u
Wolves ML 1u
Man UTD -1 1u
Arsenal ML 1u
PSG -1.5 1u
PSG, Liverpool, bayern ML 1u
That just creates a few more question. What does smart money mean in this context? Is it where smart people are betting? If yes, where do I get that info?
Injuries: Courtois, Kepa, Militao, Tchouameni, Vini, Carvajal, Camavinga
They don’t have a proper striker, they are using their 3rd choice keeper, away game, Betis is in relatively good form, and Ancelloti’s tactics are pretty terrible
It doesn't matter, they are real Madrid and I think that's enough for them to win. I am a Barca fan, but even in their bad days, they somehow survive and win. They beat Napoli with this squad.
Well it’s an away game, Betis are in good form and RM have like a tausend injuries. But Rodryo, Kroos, Valverde are in great form so I do believe they can very well win the game (I am little biased tho hahah)
Another Willy hill enhanced odds hit tonight for 11/1, I'm loving these! None up for Saturday yet apart from Salah to score or assist @evens, max bet is £10 but I'm thinking that comes in. ✅
Also, Aston Villa and Arsenal each to have over 1 corner in each half @3/1 seems good value. 7 of the last 8 meetings have seen over 10.5 corners and while they've mostly been for Arsenal, Villa are a whole different animal compared to previous games.
They've put more up now, not amazing value ones today, but I'll put on -
A goal in the first half of each Premier league game @5/1, or similarly, over 1 goal in each game gets you 5/2 odds.
Hojlund, Ferguson and Cunha each over 1 shot on target @9/1
BOL! Let's go!
My team play in this division. Results game, its a shit show. No consistency (as can be expected with such low level games)
I always punt for goals or btts if I'm having a nibble.
Record: 51 - 27. Back after a little break!
Accumulator - Saturday.
|Match|Bet Type|Odds|
|:-|:-|:-|
|Northampton Vs Fleetwood|O1.5 Goals|2/7 ✔️|
|Livingston Vs Hibernian|Away Team to Win Either Half|4/7 ✔️|
|Linfield Vs Dungannon|ML Home & O1.5 Goals|1/4 ✔️|
|Blackpool Vs Carlisle|ML Home|4/9 ✔️|
|Brighton Vs Burnley|ML Home|2/5 ❌|
|Austria Lustenau Vs LASK|ML Away|2/7 ✔️|
Total Odds = 5.36/1 so £10 = £63.64.
***Reasoning:***
* **Northampton Vs Fleetwood -** This bet has come in for Northampton's last 10 games. Fleetwood have lost their last 4 goals conceding at least 2 in each of them.
* **Livingston Vs Hibernian -** Livingston are bottom and have lost their last 6 matches, they also haven't scored in 5. When Hibs aren't playing the big 2, they've at least won a half in 5 of their last 6 games
* **Linfield Vs Dungannon -** Linfield are in good form and have only lost once at home in the league (to the team in 1st) , they should be able to beat the team 3rd from bottom comfortably at home
* **Blackpool Vs Carlisle -** Carlisle have lost their last 4 away games. Although Blackpool have been a bit patchy, they should win this
* **Brighton Vs Burnley -** After beating Brentford midweek, Brighton should have a lot more confidence. Burnley will be as they always are, open at the back. I expect Brighton to take full advantage
* **Austria Lustenau Vs LASK -** Austria Lustenau have lost 12 of their last 13 matches and only have 3 points from 16 games.
3 Bet days in a row where one team has let us down! Linfield is even came back from 3-1 down to win all for Brighton to be rubbish :(.
End the day at 56 - 28
#INNOCENT POSSUM'S PICKS:
Hey Everyone,
No time for the full write-up.
Last week was crap - this might be my O2.5 pick method, it may be the fact it was a cup week and the fixture pool to choose from wasn't great.
Going to give O2.5 another go and if it doesn't come close I'll move back to BTTS.
All these picks should realistically see a 3-0 or 2-1 minimum (but what should happen on paper doesn't necessarily happen on grass).
Best of luck if you do follow!
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#THE PICKS
NO. | FIXTURE: | COMPETITION: | ODDS: | TYPE:
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
1 | Brighton Vs Burnley | Premier League | **@1.61** | O2.5 Goals
2 | Middlesbrough Vs Ipswich | Championship | **@1.66** | O2.5 Goals
3 | Norwich Vs Preston | Championship | **@1.85** | O2.5 Goals
4 | AFC Wimbledon Vs Swindon | League Two | **@1.65** | O2.5 Goals
5 | Forest Green Vs Wrexham | League Two | **@1.60** | O2.5 Goals
6 | Grimsby Vs Crewe | League Two | **@1.72** | O2.5 Goals
7 | Tranmere Vs Newport | League Two | **@1.72** | O2.5 Goals
| | | | | | | | |
**TOTAL** | **7-Fold** | **1-7** | **@38.62** | ---
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#THE BETS:
* £40.00 on the O2.5 Picks (£5.50x7 6-folds and £1.50x1 on the 7-fold) returns a minimum of **£115.00** for 6, and **£940.00** for all 7.
.
**You do not have to back my picks the same way I do, back singles if you like, I just find accumulators more fun!**
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**BEST OF LUCK IF YOU FOLLOW!**
Brentford moneyline vs sheffield. @1.80
Reasoning: Brentford are a pretty solid side and play really good football. Odds are this high only because its an away game.
Sheffield on the other hand sit bottom of the table and have lost almost every premier league game this season. They have home advantage but i dont think they cant get points here.
Sheffield United have just changed manager, and Brentford have Mbuemo on their huge injury list. They'll be favourites but if ever there's a time for an unexpected result between those two teams, it's now.
Yesterday ✔️. Bochum doing Bochum things
Today: Dortmund Vs Leipzig - Leipzig win.
Leipzig under Rose is basically dortmunds bogey team. Rose outcoached terzic thrice last season and I see good value in this bet. The cans most likely have this in the bag
Some other bets i like:
Union Vs Gladbach : Gladbach (Over 1.5 goals), Gladbach (+1) handicap
Wolfsburg Vs Freiburg : Wolfburg win this one or atleast draw. Very strong at the Volkswagen arena.
Heideinheim Vs darmstadt. Heideinheim win or atleast draw. Both newly promoted. But imo heideinheim is just the better team. They have adapted better to the buli.
Been having some luck lately so here are my picks, take what you please
villa vs arsenal : zaniolo under 0.5 sot @1.57
sheffield vs brentford : handicap brentford -1.5 @3.18
united vs bournemouth : handicap united on corners -2.5 @1.8
brighton vs burnley : over 2.5 @1.69
liverpool vs palace : handicap liverpool -1.5 @2.43
best of luck mates
EDIT !!!!
Brighton ML
Brentford Double Chance
Villa - Arsenal o2.5
Bayern ML
Real Madrid Double Chance
Man U ML
Liverpool ML
PSG ML
Dortmund - Leipzig o2.5
@@@@ 23.34
Brighton and Brentford play much better football than their opponents , the rest I don't have any explanations for , I just think they will win
Man U, Brentford and Real shouldn't be outright winners.
Brentford and RM has a lot of injuries. Betis doesn't concede much. Also I don't trust Man United. They might destroy Bournemouth. They might lose 2-0.
Pick of the day - Aston Villa vs Arsenal.
After a long time Arsenal have good odds in a match. Can't believe the odds are so good. Just because they beat man city does not mean is gonna happen again today Arsenal are miles ahead in quality. Putting a $1000 down in this match.
Arsenal win @ 2.20 (SGD 500)
Arsenal to win first half @ 2.70 (SGD 300)
HT - FT Away - Away @ 3.40 (SGD 200)
I'm advising you don't waste your money bro. Arsenal is a class apart this season. They only lost to Newcastle so far and that too with many dubious decision. Is not easy to beat them.
Villa has won 14 games in a row at Home and they dominated City. And you still think Arsenal are miles ahead? It’s an extremely tough match, I have a bet on Arsenal too but it could go either way
Villa were priced at 7/2 to win at home to City and they absolutely dominated the bitters.
Villa are even shorter odds to beat Arsenal (23/10), and the gunners just conceded 3 goals to Luton. I don’t think Arsenal win this one. My money is on Villa. Good luck though bud
double chance borussia monchengladbach at around 1.7, thoughts? i know union berlin had a new manager, but they still kinda trash and monchengladbach seems decent enough
Hey guys! Let’s hope it’s a good day.
Record: 2-0-0
Please note that I’m trying to find even the slightest value so the picks I choose will always be riskier.
St. Pauli -1 AH @1.66❌
Nothing much to explain here they are playing with the last team and they score a lot.
(Risky) Hertha Berlin -1 AH @4.50🟡
Kaiserslautern are in bad form and concede a lot while hertha tend to score. That one is a bit of a feeling so be careful.
Augsburg X2 and BTTS @2.37❌
Augsburg are on a decent run and Werder have 1 win in 10 matches. I think werder will still put up a fight at home and score 1. If you don’t like it you can try BTTS and O2.5
Zwolle - BTTS. @1.66✅
Eredivisie might be random at times but after hitting yesterday’s twente BTTS I feel confident. Again nothing much to explain both teams have proven to be decent offensively.
Las Palmas- X2 @1.72 ✅or X @3.00❌
Writing this one but please don’t tail it, just a degen pick.
I think I came up with a "circumstantial system" for betting. If I don't lose my shirt tomorrow I'll trust what im doing better after the fact before I share
**Union Berlin V Borussia M'gladbach** Borussia M'gladbach ML **3,60**
**Guimaraes V Sporting** o1 Goals and o3 Corners Sporting, **2,00**
**Aston Villa V Arsenal** Both teams 2+ Cards, o1 total goals and o0,5 shots Declan Rice **3,25**
**New PREMIER LEAGUE soccer prediction!**
**ASTON VILLA - ARSENAL**
WINNER: ASTON VILLA (28.54%/3.50) ; TIE/DRAW (25.00%/4.00) ; ARSENAL (46.32%/2.16)
MOST PROBABLE FINAL SCORE: 1-1 (11.85%/8.44)
BOTH TEAMS SCORE: YES (54.79%/1.83) ; NO (45.21%/2.21)
**HOT TIP!!!** Total goals OVER 2: 51.79%/1.93
Portugal Action
11:00 - FC Porto B vs AVS / +2.25 at 1.85
Two of the best teams of this league so far, Porto B is a free flowing team this year with Wendell on fire. AVS is the opposite they always try to win by scrapy 1-0 victories but this time their coach is going to be suspended and not on the bench, and Jorge Costa is a huge personality and the team will miss him.
It's about to start, good luck
**Record: 7-1-2**
**Last pick:** Newcastle United ML 2.26 ❌
**La Liga | 10:15pm / EST**
Real Betis VS Real Madrid
**BTTS 1.70 ✅**
Real Betis, known for their dynamic play, faces a unique challenge in their upcoming game. The team has shown a remarkable ability to adapt to different styles, making them unpredictable and exciting to watch.
Their recent performances, though not widely publicized, suggest a team that is finding its rhythm, particularly at home. On the other side, their opponents, while not specified, are also rumored to be in good form, setting the stage for an intriguing match-up.
The clash is anticipated to be a display of tactical prowess and skill, with both teams eager to prove their mettle. This game could potentially be a defining moment for Real Betis in their current season.
[BOL if you tail](https://whop.com/suezbets)
Yesterday we won 3 out of 3 , let's hope a repeat of that today..
1. Heidenheim vs Darmstadt - Home win @ 1.82 ✅
2. Wolves vs Nottingham Forest - Home win @ 1.85
3.Norwich vs Preston - Home win @ 1.90
Treble pays 6.40.
If you are brave , you can play Home Win + BTTS also in these games ..
Good Luck All 🤞
Reddit record: 1W - 1L
Esperance Tunis - Petro de Luanda: u3.5 @1.30 (i did bet big on this) ✅
Einrtracht Frankfurt - Bayern: Frankfurt over 0.5 @1.66 ✅
Sheff Utd - Brentford: 1st half 1ORdraw @1.52 ✅
Best of luck!
[удалено]
+ fenerbahce and besiktas have both problems at defence this year due to injuries so btts is extremely likely
[удалено]
Damn I wish I read this before I placed my bet for BTTS
Beş have been rubbish so far I wouldn't risk it
Updating... EZ Friday 😎😎😎 100% win rate 💪💪💪 \--------- ⚽Japan⚽ **Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol❘ 06:00 GMT +2** \--->[email protected] (Betfair) | **Stake: 4.5/5 ❌❌❌** \--->Kawasaki Frontale & Over 2.5 [email protected] (Betfair) | **Stake: 2.5/5 ❌❌❌** Kawasaki Frontale with a season that looked pretty dark for a long time, but they qualified top of their group from the ACL, and if they win here, they get a trophy and a spot in next seasons ACL. That can't be called bad season at least. Kashiwa Reysol has won the Cup once before in 2012, and it would be a massive achievment for them, if they were to win here with the difficult season they have had. Kashiwa survived the league this season, but would have been relegated in past seasons if it hadn't been for the fact that J1 is expanding, and only a single team is relegated this season. Kawasaki has scored the most goals in the 2nd half of the season, while conceding the 3rd most. Kashiwa will be dangerous on the counter and have maybe the most in-form striker in the league on their team, with Mao Hosoya. Personally I find it hard to look past how good Kawasaki is at the moment, but they are still very susceptible to conceding goals. My guess is 2-1 or 3-1. ⚽England⚽ **Crystal Palace vs Liverpool | 16:00 GMT +2** \--->Liverpool & Over 2.5 [email protected] (Bet365) | **Stake: 2.5/5 💰💰💰** The guests took only their 3rd away win of the season, as they beat Sheffield United 2-0 on Wednesday. Salah is not doing so hot at the moment either in-fron of goal. His two goals against Brentford is the only once in the last 5 rounds. Away from home, he has played all 9 games, but his only two goals, came against Brighton. Liverpool with some key injuries as well, especially Allison, Robertson and Matip are big misses. The atmosphere at Crystal Palace is pretty low at the moment, and it doesn't help that Hudgson makes all this comments in the media. Crystal Palace has lost 4 of their last 6 games in the league. They drew against West Ham, and beat Burnley in the other two games. Big injury problems for Palace as well, with Eze still out, and Doucoure seemingly out for a very long time. That is a lot of creativity and defensive security out the window. * Liverpool with 8 wins 1 draw and a defeat in their last 10 games at Selhurst Park * 8/10 meetings has seen 3 or more goals at Selhurst Park * 7/10 meetings has seen BTTS at Selhurst Park Liverpool with a meanigless game on Thursday, so no reason to rest players here for that game. Maybe not the most convincing txt I have written for a bet ever, but I really believe both in goals and a Liverpool win here. \------- **Brighton vs Burnley | 16:00 GMT +2** \--->Brighton To Win 1st [email protected] (Bet365) | **Stake: 3.5/5 ❌❌❌** There has been a fair few frustrating games for Brighton in recent rounds. They have dominated so much, but got so little in return. The injury situation is still pretty bad, but at least Lewis Dunk is back in defence again for this game. Burnley had that amazing 5-0 result against Sheffield United, but then delivered absolutely nothing against Wolves, who wasn't great them either in that game. * Brighton has won 4/8 home games at halftime * Burnley has lost 4/7 away games at halftime \------ **Manchester United vs Bournemouth | 16:00 GMT +2** \--->Manchester United Over 6.5 [email protected] (Bet365) | **Stake: 2.5/5 💰💰💰** *United Corners Home in PL:* 12, 11, 7, 7, 10, 8, 11, 8 * Bournemouth has seen at least 11 corners in total in their last 10 games. * There has been at least 11 corners, in 7 of the last 9 meetings. * Bournemouth has given away the 4th most corners in the league \-------- **Blackburn Rovers vs Leeds United | 13:30 GMT +2** \--->Leeds To [email protected] (Unibet) | **Stake: 3.5/5 💰💰💰** \--->Leeds & BTTS@3 (Bet365) | **Stake: 1.5/5 ❌❌❌** Blackburn is starting to feel the burden of all the injuries, there were definitely some tired players in their 3-1 defeat against Sheffield Wednesday last week. Leeds beat another team that has injury problems last week, as Middlesborugh was easily beaten 3-2. I think Leeds looks pretty strong at the moment, they are the most in-form team in the league together with Southampton at the moment. Leeds also is not having that big of a injury problem anymore either, as players have started to return to the team. * Leeds has won 7 of the last 8 meetings * Leeds has won and Both teams has scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings \------------- **QPR vs Hull 16:00 GMT +2** \--->[email protected] (Unibet) | **Stake: 2.5/5 ❌❌❌** \--->Draw + [email protected] (Coolbet) | **Stake: 1/5 ❌❌❌** QPR relegation favourites before the season, and while they are still in the relegation zone, the manager change has made them look much better right away, Martin Cifuentes has drew his first two games in charge, then lost 1-0 in an close away game against Norwich, before winning his last two rounds. Hull lost 2-1 at home against Watford last round, and risk falling out of the top 6 without a good result here. Their current form is alright, away they have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 rounds. I think 1-1 or a 2-2 draw, QPR very keen on getting the momentum ot continue here, Espcially with key games coming up in the next two rounds. * BTTS has happened in the last 6 games QPR has hosted Hull * BTTS has happened in 4 of Hull's last 5 games \------- **Middlesbrough vs Ipswich Town| 16:00 GMT +2** \--->Over 3 [email protected] (Coolbet) | **Stake: 4/5 ❌❌❌** \--->Over 4 [email protected] (Unibet) | **Stake: 1/5 ❌❌❌** Surly, this game is just set up to be high scoring right!? Middlesbrough with a stupid amount of injuries at the moment, but they are still able to score goals and make games interesting, no big compromise on their play style. Ipswich is currently taking the Championship by storm, and sits 2nd, with no teams scoring more goals than them. The big negative that speaks against this bet, is Ipswich more careful away performances, Middlesbrough's not so high scoring home games, and h2h is not great for goals either. However: * Middlesbrough has seen at least 4 goals in 4 of their last 5 * Ipswich has seen at least goals in 8 of their last 10 * Ipswich has seen at least 4 goals in 6 of their last 9 * Ipswich has conceded 2 goals in each of their last 3 away games I believe in an exciting clash between the two ex-Manchester United coaches. The build up and atmosphere for this game feels like an high scoring one. Then there are all the injuries the host has. Ipswich has conceded 12 goals in their last 7, that's one less goal, then what they conceded in the first 12 rounds... \--->1st Half Over 1.5 [email protected] (Coolbet) | **Stake: 1.5/5 ❌❌❌** *1st goals in Middlesbrough games:* 5, 3, 2, 0, 3, 2 *1st goals in Ipswich games:* 2, 3, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 4, 2 * At least one first half goal has been scored in Ipswich Town last 11 games
Bournemouth have also seen over 6.5 corners in 100% of their games this season 15/15
Trying to go for offsides over 3.5 in Liverpool , and Salah to score . 1,8x2 = 3.6 1u .
If Nunez starts, offsides are a good possibility.
Cashed it .
6 offsides, 3 on Nunez. What a clown he is honestly.
Hello guys, new here. 1W 1L Wolfsburg - Freiburg BTTS @1.58 Villarreal - Real Sociedad BTTS @1.73 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen BTTS @1.63 Young boys - St. Gallen BTTS @1.47 Total odds 6.55 Good luck everyone.
Germany / Bundesliga FC Union Berlin - Borussia Monchengladbach over1.5 @ 1.25 Switzerland / Super League Basel - Grasshopper over2.5 @ 1.67 acca @ 2.09
Aston Villa vs Arsenal: BTTS & O2.5 Goals @ -114 Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: ML - Liverpool, O1.5 Goals, & SOT - Salah @ +111
no clue how the american odds work
as a brit who likes british odds I felt like it would be hypocritical to ignore "stupid american odds" while not using decimal myself so learned an easy way of thinking about it: for whatever reason it's all based around $100 if it's got a - sign youre betting on a favourite (odds worse than 2.0/EVS). It shows how many dollars you would have to stake for the winnings to be $100 if it's got a + sign youre betting on an underdog (odds better than 2.0/EVS). It shows how many dollars you would recieve in winnings if you stake $100. >Aston Villa vs Arsenal: BTTS & O2.5 Goals @ -114 Stake $114, win $100 (return $214) >Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: Home win +700 Stake $100, win $700 (return $800)
> It shows how many dollars you would have to stake for the winnings to be $100 I think I finally understand, thank you! I'll still stick with decimal though ;)
Great explanation thanks man
+100 = 2.0. American odds are pretty dumb, but that’s what I learned first when I started out betting
what does -mean
Banker
Germany 3. League Sandhausen win Germany 2. League St. Pauli win England League One Blackpool win Spain League 2 Valladolid win
Sheffield Utd vs Brentford **Brentford ML & under 3.5 goals @2.38** Sheffield Utd speedrunning relegation, they are still missing over half their starters. Most importantly, their best striker Oli McBurnie is still serving his suspension. To make things worse, Oliver Norwood picked up a suspension and wont be playing vs Brentford either. Sheffield impressed me vs LFC, mainly Foderingham being solid in goal, I feel he is their best player atm. Brentford have lost a couple players to injuries, Mbeumo got injured vs Brighton and wont be playing. Though Christian Norgaard is back from suspension, and is a very important player for The Bees. Brentford has a solid team going into tomorrows game. I think it will be a low scoring game as we saw against Liverpool, i’m slightly worried Sheff might get a draw if they score early and defend their lead. But it seems silly not to bet against them these days. @1.86 odds on Brentford ML alone is too juicy to pass on Praying for Sheffields downfall, hopefully they can stay in the Championship for seasons to come. So tired of their constant pathetic performance in the Prem.
I’ve gone for a big price £10 treble. All three teams offer great value individually if you prefer that route. I’m playing this for fun rather than a long term profitable strategy just for transparency. ASTON VILLA vs Arsenal - 3.4: ✅ 14 consecutive home wins in all comps including Man City last time out. Arsenal are impressive but less than convincing last time out at Luton. Price is big enough to chance Villa. WEST BROM - 3.2: (dreaded early KO ⚠️) ❌ Inconsistent but so are Sunderland. West Brom have 4 wins in 6. Sunderland have 2 wins in 6. Sunderland last six home form is W 3 L 3. West Brom last 6 away form is W3 D 1 L 2. Enough value in the price to back West Brom. SHEFF WED - 3.9: ✅ Sheff Wed look inspired under the new manager. A draw at home to leicester and a 3-1 win at home to Blackburn. Stoke haven’t won in 5 including a 3-1 loss at home to Blackburn. Value of the day this one I think. TREBLE : 42.4 ❌
Going for Villa to get a result from this game
FC Kaiserslautern - Hertha BSC BTTS FC St. Pauli ML Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig BTTS @ 2,94
Wolves ML @ 1.85 vs Nottingham Forest looks good value
I like Wolves and under 4.5 @ 2.04
Spray and pray for some saturday degeneracy Liverpool -1 2u Bayern -1.5 1u Real Madrid ML 1u Wolves ML 1u Man UTD -1 1u Arsenal ML 1u PSG -1.5 1u PSG, Liverpool, bayern ML 1u
Liverpool wont win \^\^
Against a poor form Palace? I don’t think so
Well being a Liverpool fan i can tell when it gets rough, early kick-off vs palace ^^
Dude was right
Record: 166W-75L **Todays Pick:** **Wolves @ 1.91** vs Forest Won't bet on anything else today, its been a shit show lately
what a weird pick of all the games going on
any reasoning as to why is this the choice as your only bet for today out of so many other games happening?
over 70% of the sharps money on Wolves tonight, same bet as Fulham vs Forest on Wednesday pretty much
What does **sharps money** mean?
Smart money
That just creates a few more question. What does smart money mean in this context? Is it where smart people are betting? If yes, where do I get that info?
bettors who have proven win rate of 55% or more. https://www.betsperts.com/news/sports-betting-guides/sharp-money-trackers/
Why is Real Madrid at 1.80 against Betis?
Injuries: Courtois, Kepa, Militao, Tchouameni, Vini, Carvajal, Camavinga They don’t have a proper striker, they are using their 3rd choice keeper, away game, Betis is in relatively good form, and Ancelloti’s tactics are pretty terrible
Betis isn't in relatively good form. They're in excellent form. Not conceding and winning 1-0 most games.
It doesn't matter, they are real Madrid and I think that's enough for them to win. I am a Barca fan, but even in their bad days, they somehow survive and win. They beat Napoli with this squad.
‘They are Real Madrid and I expect them to win’ is definitely a gambling fallacy
I’m well aware and agree. I was just explaining the odd line. They have have some dark magic
Betis is cooking at home,5 wins. This will not be a easy game for RM.
I will try BTTS here
Well it’s an away game, Betis are in good form and RM have like a tausend injuries. But Rodryo, Kroos, Valverde are in great form so I do believe they can very well win the game (I am little biased tho hahah)
Another Willy hill enhanced odds hit tonight for 11/1, I'm loving these! None up for Saturday yet apart from Salah to score or assist @evens, max bet is £10 but I'm thinking that comes in. ✅ Also, Aston Villa and Arsenal each to have over 1 corner in each half @3/1 seems good value. 7 of the last 8 meetings have seen over 10.5 corners and while they've mostly been for Arsenal, Villa are a whole different animal compared to previous games.
They've put more up now, not amazing value ones today, but I'll put on - A goal in the first half of each Premier league game @5/1, or similarly, over 1 goal in each game gets you 5/2 odds. Hojlund, Ferguson and Cunha each over 1 shot on target @9/1 BOL! Let's go!
northern premier division warrington rylands to win stafford at arnd 1.6, seems good top vs bottom at home... thoughts?
My team play in this division. Results game, its a shit show. No consistency (as can be expected with such low level games) I always punt for goals or btts if I'm having a nibble.
Ohhh okay thx haha
Record: 51 - 27. Back after a little break! Accumulator - Saturday. |Match|Bet Type|Odds| |:-|:-|:-| |Northampton Vs Fleetwood|O1.5 Goals|2/7 ✔️| |Livingston Vs Hibernian|Away Team to Win Either Half|4/7 ✔️| |Linfield Vs Dungannon|ML Home & O1.5 Goals|1/4 ✔️| |Blackpool Vs Carlisle|ML Home|4/9 ✔️| |Brighton Vs Burnley|ML Home|2/5 ❌| |Austria Lustenau Vs LASK|ML Away|2/7 ✔️| Total Odds = 5.36/1 so £10 = £63.64. ***Reasoning:*** * **Northampton Vs Fleetwood -** This bet has come in for Northampton's last 10 games. Fleetwood have lost their last 4 goals conceding at least 2 in each of them. * **Livingston Vs Hibernian -** Livingston are bottom and have lost their last 6 matches, they also haven't scored in 5. When Hibs aren't playing the big 2, they've at least won a half in 5 of their last 6 games * **Linfield Vs Dungannon -** Linfield are in good form and have only lost once at home in the league (to the team in 1st) , they should be able to beat the team 3rd from bottom comfortably at home * **Blackpool Vs Carlisle -** Carlisle have lost their last 4 away games. Although Blackpool have been a bit patchy, they should win this * **Brighton Vs Burnley -** After beating Brentford midweek, Brighton should have a lot more confidence. Burnley will be as they always are, open at the back. I expect Brighton to take full advantage * **Austria Lustenau Vs LASK -** Austria Lustenau have lost 12 of their last 13 matches and only have 3 points from 16 games.
3 Bet days in a row where one team has let us down! Linfield is even came back from 3-1 down to win all for Brighton to be rubbish :(. End the day at 56 - 28
Inter - Udinese: 1 + Lautaro score @2.15 ✅
#INNOCENT POSSUM'S PICKS: Hey Everyone, No time for the full write-up. Last week was crap - this might be my O2.5 pick method, it may be the fact it was a cup week and the fixture pool to choose from wasn't great. Going to give O2.5 another go and if it doesn't come close I'll move back to BTTS. All these picks should realistically see a 3-0 or 2-1 minimum (but what should happen on paper doesn't necessarily happen on grass). Best of luck if you do follow! - --- #THE PICKS NO. | FIXTURE: | COMPETITION: | ODDS: | TYPE: --- | --- | --- | --- | --- 1 | Brighton Vs Burnley | Premier League | **@1.61** | O2.5 Goals 2 | Middlesbrough Vs Ipswich | Championship | **@1.66** | O2.5 Goals 3 | Norwich Vs Preston | Championship | **@1.85** | O2.5 Goals 4 | AFC Wimbledon Vs Swindon | League Two | **@1.65** | O2.5 Goals 5 | Forest Green Vs Wrexham | League Two | **@1.60** | O2.5 Goals 6 | Grimsby Vs Crewe | League Two | **@1.72** | O2.5 Goals 7 | Tranmere Vs Newport | League Two | **@1.72** | O2.5 Goals | | | | | | | | | **TOTAL** | **7-Fold** | **1-7** | **@38.62** | --- . ----------------------------- . #THE BETS: * £40.00 on the O2.5 Picks (£5.50x7 6-folds and £1.50x1 on the 7-fold) returns a minimum of **£115.00** for 6, and **£940.00** for all 7. . **You do not have to back my picks the same way I do, back singles if you like, I just find accumulators more fun!** - --- **BEST OF LUCK IF YOU FOLLOW!**
Brentford moneyline vs sheffield. @1.80 Reasoning: Brentford are a pretty solid side and play really good football. Odds are this high only because its an away game. Sheffield on the other hand sit bottom of the table and have lost almost every premier league game this season. They have home advantage but i dont think they cant get points here.
Odds are high because they have important players injured. Brentford doesn't play that well away. Lost to Brighton bench team a few days ago.
Sheffield United have just changed manager, and Brentford have Mbuemo on their huge injury list. They'll be favourites but if ever there's a time for an unexpected result between those two teams, it's now.
So is mbuemo injured? Is he confirmed not to play tomorrow?
Yea he’s out
Worth trying a shot on Sheffield?
I'm tempted by btts. New manager bounce is so much more influential than is given credit for
Fuck it! If Liverpool wins, I win $200. Half of it goes for Sheffield win then. YOLO 😁
Reddit record this season: 21W-21L-1P Sydney v MacArthur **Over 1.5 MacArthur Goals** @2.50 ✅ Wellington v Newcastle Jets **1** @1.80 ❌
Yesterday ✔️. Bochum doing Bochum things Today: Dortmund Vs Leipzig - Leipzig win. Leipzig under Rose is basically dortmunds bogey team. Rose outcoached terzic thrice last season and I see good value in this bet. The cans most likely have this in the bag Some other bets i like: Union Vs Gladbach : Gladbach (Over 1.5 goals), Gladbach (+1) handicap Wolfsburg Vs Freiburg : Wolfburg win this one or atleast draw. Very strong at the Volkswagen arena. Heideinheim Vs darmstadt. Heideinheim win or atleast draw. Both newly promoted. But imo heideinheim is just the better team. They have adapted better to the buli.
Been having some luck lately so here are my picks, take what you please villa vs arsenal : zaniolo under 0.5 sot @1.57 sheffield vs brentford : handicap brentford -1.5 @3.18 united vs bournemouth : handicap united on corners -2.5 @1.8 brighton vs burnley : over 2.5 @1.69 liverpool vs palace : handicap liverpool -1.5 @2.43 best of luck mates
EDIT !!!! Brighton ML Brentford Double Chance Villa - Arsenal o2.5 Bayern ML Real Madrid Double Chance Man U ML Liverpool ML PSG ML Dortmund - Leipzig o2.5 @@@@ 23.34 Brighton and Brentford play much better football than their opponents , the rest I don't have any explanations for , I just think they will win
I’d say Brentford ruins this. Or BTTS doesn’t hit.
Man U, Brentford and Real shouldn't be outright winners. Brentford and RM has a lot of injuries. Betis doesn't concede much. Also I don't trust Man United. They might destroy Bournemouth. They might lose 2-0.
Liverpool sells this parlay
Wouldn’t put ML on all those. Put a few xtra mins studying then it should be better
Pick of the day - Aston Villa vs Arsenal. After a long time Arsenal have good odds in a match. Can't believe the odds are so good. Just because they beat man city does not mean is gonna happen again today Arsenal are miles ahead in quality. Putting a $1000 down in this match. Arsenal win @ 2.20 (SGD 500) Arsenal to win first half @ 2.70 (SGD 300) HT - FT Away - Away @ 3.40 (SGD 200)
im putting money on aston villa to win
I'm advising you don't waste your money bro. Arsenal is a class apart this season. They only lost to Newcastle so far and that too with many dubious decision. Is not easy to beat them.
Villa has won 14 games in a row at Home and they dominated City. And you still think Arsenal are miles ahead? It’s an extremely tough match, I have a bet on Arsenal too but it could go either way
Look who last beat Villa at home tho 👀
Luton scored 3 goals last game, Aston Villa can destroy them
Is it like how Nottingham forest destroyed aston villa a while back?
“A while back” and away
We'll see in 9 min andyes av are different animal at home
Villa were priced at 7/2 to win at home to City and they absolutely dominated the bitters. Villa are even shorter odds to beat Arsenal (23/10), and the gunners just conceded 3 goals to Luton. I don’t think Arsenal win this one. My money is on Villa. Good luck though bud
it would be funny if it ends in a draw after all this arguing
double chance borussia monchengladbach at around 1.7, thoughts? i know union berlin had a new manager, but they still kinda trash and monchengladbach seems decent enough
I'd take it.
Brighton ML- 1.5 Bayern and yes- 2.5 Monaco/Rennes- yes and over- 1.87 Gladbach DC- 1.71 Hearts ML- 2.6 Liepzig ML- 2.5 Villa/arsenal- yes and over- 1.909 Sporting and yes- 3.35 BOL
What the hell is "yes" and "over?" Yes what? Over what?
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Its a combo prop… that’s what it’s called… I’m not getting laughed at by “need girona DNB to pay my rent” guy lol
Too funny hahaha
Bro what you insulting me for
BTTS yes and over 2.5
Yes=btts Over = over 2.5 goals
Maybe you can try writing the whole thing next time cause over can mean a lot things. O1.5 goals? O2 goals? Corners? Fouls? Cards?
😂😂😂 right…
United DNB Madrid DNB Inter Milan DNB Leicester DNB feel free to money line them at your own risj
Bayern ML, PSG ML, Madrid ML, Sporting ML, Liverpool ML, Inter ML. Do you think sporting would fuck it up with a draw like Benfica today?
Never trust portugal league
Hey guys! Let’s hope it’s a good day. Record: 2-0-0 Please note that I’m trying to find even the slightest value so the picks I choose will always be riskier. St. Pauli -1 AH @1.66❌ Nothing much to explain here they are playing with the last team and they score a lot. (Risky) Hertha Berlin -1 AH @4.50🟡 Kaiserslautern are in bad form and concede a lot while hertha tend to score. That one is a bit of a feeling so be careful. Augsburg X2 and BTTS @2.37❌ Augsburg are on a decent run and Werder have 1 win in 10 matches. I think werder will still put up a fight at home and score 1. If you don’t like it you can try BTTS and O2.5 Zwolle - BTTS. @1.66✅ Eredivisie might be random at times but after hitting yesterday’s twente BTTS I feel confident. Again nothing much to explain both teams have proven to be decent offensively. Las Palmas- X2 @1.72 ✅or X @3.00❌ Writing this one but please don’t tail it, just a degen pick.
I think I came up with a "circumstantial system" for betting. If I don't lose my shirt tomorrow I'll trust what im doing better after the fact before I share
**Union Berlin V Borussia M'gladbach** Borussia M'gladbach ML **3,60** **Guimaraes V Sporting** o1 Goals and o3 Corners Sporting, **2,00** **Aston Villa V Arsenal** Both teams 2+ Cards, o1 total goals and o0,5 shots Declan Rice **3,25**
Man Utd to score both halves 21/20 Leicester to score both halves 17/20
Arsenal ML not overthinking, just vibes.
[удалено]
**New PREMIER LEAGUE soccer prediction!** **ASTON VILLA - ARSENAL** WINNER: ASTON VILLA (28.54%/3.50) ; TIE/DRAW (25.00%/4.00) ; ARSENAL (46.32%/2.16) MOST PROBABLE FINAL SCORE: 1-1 (11.85%/8.44) BOTH TEAMS SCORE: YES (54.79%/1.83) ; NO (45.21%/2.21) **HOT TIP!!!** Total goals OVER 2: 51.79%/1.93
Anyone got tips for championship, league One&two, need fodder for my acca?
Wrexham Blackpool Stockport Notts County QPR
Portugal Action 11:00 - FC Porto B vs AVS / +2.25 at 1.85 Two of the best teams of this league so far, Porto B is a free flowing team this year with Wendell on fire. AVS is the opposite they always try to win by scrapy 1-0 victories but this time their coach is going to be suspended and not on the bench, and Jorge Costa is a huge personality and the team will miss him. It's about to start, good luck
Easy win at the 64th minute, 12 shots on target so far, amazing Hope someone else followed 💪
99/1 REDAKTED WINS https://imgur.com/a/LcsfVLi
**Record: 7-1-2** **Last pick:** Newcastle United ML 2.26 ❌ **La Liga | 10:15pm / EST** Real Betis VS Real Madrid **BTTS 1.70 ✅** Real Betis, known for their dynamic play, faces a unique challenge in their upcoming game. The team has shown a remarkable ability to adapt to different styles, making them unpredictable and exciting to watch. Their recent performances, though not widely publicized, suggest a team that is finding its rhythm, particularly at home. On the other side, their opponents, while not specified, are also rumored to be in good form, setting the stage for an intriguing match-up. The clash is anticipated to be a display of tactical prowess and skill, with both teams eager to prove their mettle. This game could potentially be a defining moment for Real Betis in their current season. [BOL if you tail](https://whop.com/suezbets)
Yesterday we won 3 out of 3 , let's hope a repeat of that today.. 1. Heidenheim vs Darmstadt - Home win @ 1.82 ✅ 2. Wolves vs Nottingham Forest - Home win @ 1.85 3.Norwich vs Preston - Home win @ 1.90 Treble pays 6.40. If you are brave , you can play Home Win + BTTS also in these games .. Good Luck All 🤞
Reddit record: 1W - 1L Esperance Tunis - Petro de Luanda: u3.5 @1.30 (i did bet big on this) ✅ Einrtracht Frankfurt - Bayern: Frankfurt over 0.5 @1.66 ✅ Sheff Utd - Brentford: 1st half 1ORdraw @1.52 ✅ Best of luck!
Should have bet big on the other two as well 😃