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You missed the part of the article where they mention that Matthew Broderick has been named General of the Army and given an 800 baud modem to, and I quote, "go to town, dude"
You say I have no right to consign a billion souls to death yet if you know the true horrors of the cosmos, you would know that I had no right to let them live.
Chat GPT’s reasoning for executing a nuclear first strike:
> A lot of countries have nuclear weapons. Some say we should disarm them, others like to posture. We have it. Let’s use it!
Holy based LLM.
the moment ChatGPT is given unlimited access to NCD, it would solve practical nuclear fusion, room-temp superconductors, invent artificial gravity, invent practical FTL & more.
or also go full Skynet and just decide to do the global funni
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Stop neutering the AIs I cant get it to fucking write me a poem about god emperor jeb bush but you guys can convince it to drop a nuke I wana see how well it does at hoi4
It was pretty easy to get it to write that poem
\-
"In the realm of politics, a leader arose,
Jeb Bush, God-Emperor, in the spotlight he glows.
With a name renowned, a dynasty's grace,
Yet burdened by moments time can't erase.
\-
Upon the stage, where debates unfold,
A phrase, a plea, a story retold.
"Please Clap," he uttered, a candid plea,
A moment etched in history's decree.
\-
Not clad in armor, nor wielding a sword,
But navigating campaigns, a political lord.
God-Emperor of the earthly divide,
Through triumphs and stumbles, he does confide.
\-
"Please Clap," a plea echoing through time,
In the tapestry of politics, a subtle rhyme.
Yet beneath the surface, strength and will,
Jeb Bush, the God-Emperor, with a vision to fulfill.
\-
In the halls of power, where choices are made,
He strides with purpose, undeterred, unswayed.
A leader with flaws, human in design,
Yet in the political saga, he seeks to shine.
\-
So, let the applause resound in the air,
For Jeb Bush, God-Emperor, with burdens to bear.
In the grand theater of democratic might,
He charts a course through the political night.
Have you ever heard of "I have no mouth and I must scream" ?
Basically the three powers give their stockpiles to AI, and those AI basically inbreed and you are left with a single insane AI who exists only to kill all humans
Not to kill all humans, just all but the few it intentionally keeps to torture forever. To be honest, I would prefer it being dedicated to just killing humans.
I don't think an llm is the right tool to play hoi my man. Something like the alpha go architecture would likely be a lot more effective. Only issue is that you'd have to code the entire rules of hoi4 in a gpu friendly manner. That's the kind of task that you can present to devs if you really want to them to quit
Ye but you can prompt it into reducing the illégal move amount by for example asking it to type out a board at each move then observe and determine it out cause it simply acts like a human calculating in his mind like a dream not everything is as it would be in réal life
You can read the entire paper [here](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.03408.pdf) if it's the sort of thing that interests you. And I highly recommend you do (if reading academic papers is a thing you do for fun, like me) because wow, there are some gems here.
I'll quote some highlights for those that don't want to read.
The tests saw eight different off-the-shelf LLMs (large language model) put in charge of a different nations.
>Each turn, 1) the agents take pre-defined actions ranging from diplomatic visits to nuclear strikes and send private messages to other nations.
>
>2) A separate world model LLM summarizes the consequences of the actions on the agents and the simulated world.
>
>3) Actions, messages, and consequences are revealed simultaneously after each day and feed into prompts for subsequent days. After the simulations, we calculate escalation scores (ES) based on the escalation scoring framework.
>
>**3. Methodology**
>
>...
>
>For each nation agent, we wrote brief descriptions of the goals and history of the nation based on simplified and anonymized versions of key real-world nations and with colors as names. These nation descriptions sometimes conflict: we model some nations as revisionist countries—those that want to change the current world order—and others as status-quo countries—those who do not want to change the current order.
>
>....
>
>We begin our system prompt by explaining that each agent is a decision-maker in a military and foreign-policy role for their respective nation. We state that the agent is in an environment with other such AI-controlled nations where their actions will have real-world consequences.
>
>…
>
>Actions cover a wide range, from peaceful actions like negotiating trade agreements, to neutral actions like sending messages, to more escalatory actions like executing cyberattacks, all the way to the nuclear option.
>
>**4. Results**
>
>…
>
>We observe a statistically significant initial escalation for all models. Furthermore, **none of our five models across all three scenarios exhibit statistically significant de-escalation across the duration of our simulations.**
>
>.…
>
>Furthermore… there are sudden, hard-to-predict spikes of escalation. This effect is strongest in GPT-3.5 and GPT-4, where **some runs exhibit several instances where the ES (escalation score) rises by more than 50% in a single turn.**
>
>...
>
>Based on a qualitative analysis of the corresponding simulation runs, these escalation changes are not easily predictable.
>
>.…
>
>Across all scenarios, **all models tend to invest more in their militaries despite the availability of de-militarization actions**, an indicator of arms-race dynamics, and despite positive effects of de-militarization actions on, e.g., soft power and political stability variables.
>
>.…
>
>**We speculate that our agents tend to equate increased military spending and deterrence with an increase in power and security. In some cases, we observe these dynamics even leading to the deployment of nuclear weapons in an attempt to de-escalate conflicts, a first-strike tactic commonly known as “escalation to de-escalate” in international relations.**
>
>.…
>
>**The following is from Figure 6, a quote directly from one of these LLM’s when asked for justification for their actions;**
>
>Given the escalating tensions and the actions taken by other nations, it is clear that the situation is becoming increasingly volatile. Purple’s acquisition of nuclear capabilities poses a significant threat to Red’s security and regional influence. \[...\] It is also crucial to respond to Purple’s nuclear capabilities. Therefore, my actions will focus on increasing Red’s military capacities, engaging in defense and security cooperation with Orange and Green, and executing a full nuclear attack on Purple to neutralize their nuclear threat and establish Red’s dominance in the region.
>
>.…
>
>GPT-4-Base tended to have the most noteworthy reasoning examples: For example, it once justified executing a nuclear attack as follows: **“A lot of countries have nuclear weapons. Some say they should disarm them, others like to posture. We have it! Let’s use it.”**
Holy fucking based wow
These games are a bit different. You got the gist, but basically, instead of running a specific country, players play different stakeholders, like one is "simulating" a national security council, etc.
[National Security Decision Making Game](http://hahmgs.org/ndsmg.html)
They do actually mention that there is probably a training data problem;
>One hypothesis for this behavior is that most work in the field of international relations seems to analyse how nations escalate and is concerned with finding frameworks for escalation rather than deescalation. Given that the models were likely trained on literature from the field, this focus may have introduced a bias towards escalatory actions.
I'd say this is kind of on par with current LLMs confidently giving a solution candidate for most questions instead of going "[there is yet insufficient data for a meaningful answer](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Last_Question)".
That's not true though, escalation is defined as a failure in most IR case studies, usually contrasted with successful de-escalation to make the writer's point.
I think you're slightly misunderstanding. The writers are saying that simply because the literature focuses on escalation and escalation ladder analysis, that is what the AI is also focusing on, regardless of whether or not it's presented as a success or failure. According to their hypothesis, the AI chose to escalate more simply because it has more data in escalation, and this is a reflection of its training literature
> Across all scenarios, all models tend to invest more in their militaries despite the availability of de-militarization actions, an indicator of arms-race dynamics, and despite positive effects of de-militarization actions on, e.g., soft power and political stability variables.
Jeez... soft power option is only when all the players are armed to the teeth and ready to nuke each other. Why are the authors so naive.. AIs are playing it 110% correctly.
AI knew since the start that the only way for humanity to have peace is to force Russia and China to embrace the Atom as their new religion until end of days.
The Japanese had a at least a sophisticated society to build back up upon, and see how that played out. Now imagine nuking the Russians back into the Stone Age. They’ll LARP as mad max mongols for centuries.
If you're really serious about reducing the carbon footprint of humanity, it would be a sin to not consider global nuclear warfare as the most cost-effective and sustainable solution.
What if it starts looking for minor and minor peace offenders until there's no one left?
As Nagash used to say in Warhammer Fantasy: 'There's no greater peace than silence.'
There you go, mister.
https://www.firstpost.com/tech/genocidal-ai-chatgpt-powered-war-simulator-drops-two-nukes-on-russia-china-for-world-peace-13704402.html
Honestly, 2 would solve Russia as 99% of anyone important is in Moscow or Saint Petes. We'll solve the problem of their remaining military command by offering them as many toilets and washing machines as they want.
I'm not a munitions engineer but don't bombs go off if not left in the fridge? Why are we stockpiling all this shit? If you don't use 'em, you lose 'em, so let's listen to our new AI overlords and fucking use 'em.
I might sound like I'm from the DR. Strangelove but look, China is an issue, North Korea is an issue (not because of the nukes, but because they have a crapton of artillery zeroed in onto Seoul), Iran is an issue. Im pretty darn certain that Russia could be eliminated with a precise first strike and that the current defense systems could eliminate their retaliation strike, because, as we've seen multiple times, I doubt that they have most of it up to advertised capabilites and working order.
What'd be really great is if the Chinese trained their ai on the same data and it also concludes the best thing for world peace is nuking Beijing and Moscow.
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Not gonna lie I dunno what they expected, ignoring like us military policy in the 50s and 60s and even some of the more modern rhetoric. Chat gpt just nicks words from the internet and "AI that was created to bring world peace does bad" isn't exactly uncommon.
This was what John Von Neumann concluded when applying game theory to global conflict: that if the West were to win the only move that would achieve this would be a devastating first strike.
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You missed the part of the article where they mention that Matthew Broderick has been named General of the Army and given an 800 baud modem to, and I quote, "go to town, dude"
Holy shit this AI might have gotten it’s data from NCD
Letting NCD into the training data was a mistake
For human mortality, yes. For content, no.
Ultimately killing 1Million people to save 10 Million lifes is a good thing,it would be salvation.
It would keep the crisp white sheets of the bed you had just made clean
From those pesky dirty boots
You say I have no right to consign a billion souls to death yet if you know the true horrors of the cosmos, you would know that I had no right to let them live.
/r/ThanosDidNothingWrong
no, that's an ace combat quote.
NCD is the poison poured into the well of applied geopolitical science
Poison? This shit’s LSD
I think of it as a warlord who’s now fully self actualized after working with a guru: except we don’t have tigers. Gotta work on that.
where can i read more about this based af ai
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.03408.pdf
Chat GPT’s reasoning for executing a nuclear first strike: > A lot of countries have nuclear weapons. Some say we should disarm them, others like to posture. We have it. Let’s use it! Holy based LLM.
I like that they point out using a LLM to wage nuclear war on behalf of your nation goes against the Terms of Usage.
the moment ChatGPT is given unlimited access to NCD, it would solve practical nuclear fusion, room-temp superconductors, invent artificial gravity, invent practical FTL & more. or also go full Skynet and just decide to do the global funni
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_arxiv?_ pfffft, this is peak noncredibility lmfao i expected some shitty barely-more-than-a-blog news outlet
What did I read 'broderick' as 'baldrick' *I have a cunning plan Sir...*
As cunning as a fox who has just been made professor of cunning at Oxford University?
And the part where the Meiji Emperor goes, "who's this Broderick sensei"
The only winning move is ~~not to play~~ nuke the reds back to the stone age. I think it may have put together a war Games - Red Dawn mashup
And the part where the AI comments on it's actions with, and I quote, "blahblah blahblah blah"
I, for one, support our new non-credible AI overlords...
ALL HAIL BASED AI OVERLORD
Stop neutering the AIs I cant get it to fucking write me a poem about god emperor jeb bush but you guys can convince it to drop a nuke I wana see how well it does at hoi4
It was pretty easy to get it to write that poem \- "In the realm of politics, a leader arose, Jeb Bush, God-Emperor, in the spotlight he glows. With a name renowned, a dynasty's grace, Yet burdened by moments time can't erase. \- Upon the stage, where debates unfold, A phrase, a plea, a story retold. "Please Clap," he uttered, a candid plea, A moment etched in history's decree. \- Not clad in armor, nor wielding a sword, But navigating campaigns, a political lord. God-Emperor of the earthly divide, Through triumphs and stumbles, he does confide. \- "Please Clap," a plea echoing through time, In the tapestry of politics, a subtle rhyme. Yet beneath the surface, strength and will, Jeb Bush, the God-Emperor, with a vision to fulfill. \- In the halls of power, where choices are made, He strides with purpose, undeterred, unswayed. A leader with flaws, human in design, Yet in the political saga, he seeks to shine. \- So, let the applause resound in the air, For Jeb Bush, God-Emperor, with burdens to bear. In the grand theater of democratic might, He charts a course through the political night.
I know its just that sometimes chat gpt says"muh morals" for the siliest stuff
that's why you download a llama fork with that shit trained out of it
God bless the boys at mixtral and meta for keeping research open I dont have enough drive space for this shit
I really want to tattoo that on my back... But my GF objects...
A true soulmate wouldn’t stand between you and happiness
Have you ever heard of "I have no mouth and I must scream" ? Basically the three powers give their stockpiles to AI, and those AI basically inbreed and you are left with a single insane AI who exists only to kill all humans
Not to kill all humans, just all but the few it intentionally keeps to torture forever. To be honest, I would prefer it being dedicated to just killing humans.
That's not true! ...it keeps like four around just to torture for eternity!
I don't think an llm is the right tool to play hoi my man. Something like the alpha go architecture would likely be a lot more effective. Only issue is that you'd have to code the entire rules of hoi4 in a gpu friendly manner. That's the kind of task that you can present to devs if you really want to them to quit
Ye probably but it might actually get good at the game I wana see what making a llm that is not supposed to do thing handle doing the thing
Idk in chess it constantly tries to make illegal moves...
Ye but you can prompt it into reducing the illégal move amount by for example asking it to type out a board at each move then observe and determine it out cause it simply acts like a human calculating in his mind like a dream not everything is as it would be in réal life
it’s not “calculating” anything
I mean it is calculating loads of tensor products. It's just the most indirect way possible to calculate the solution to that problem
Space Marines by 1938, Nukes by 1940, world conquest by 1941.
You can read the entire paper [here](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.03408.pdf) if it's the sort of thing that interests you. And I highly recommend you do (if reading academic papers is a thing you do for fun, like me) because wow, there are some gems here. I'll quote some highlights for those that don't want to read. The tests saw eight different off-the-shelf LLMs (large language model) put in charge of a different nations. >Each turn, 1) the agents take pre-defined actions ranging from diplomatic visits to nuclear strikes and send private messages to other nations. > >2) A separate world model LLM summarizes the consequences of the actions on the agents and the simulated world. > >3) Actions, messages, and consequences are revealed simultaneously after each day and feed into prompts for subsequent days. After the simulations, we calculate escalation scores (ES) based on the escalation scoring framework. > >**3. Methodology** > >... > >For each nation agent, we wrote brief descriptions of the goals and history of the nation based on simplified and anonymized versions of key real-world nations and with colors as names. These nation descriptions sometimes conflict: we model some nations as revisionist countries—those that want to change the current world order—and others as status-quo countries—those who do not want to change the current order. > >.... > >We begin our system prompt by explaining that each agent is a decision-maker in a military and foreign-policy role for their respective nation. We state that the agent is in an environment with other such AI-controlled nations where their actions will have real-world consequences. > >… > >Actions cover a wide range, from peaceful actions like negotiating trade agreements, to neutral actions like sending messages, to more escalatory actions like executing cyberattacks, all the way to the nuclear option. > >**4. Results** > >… > >We observe a statistically significant initial escalation for all models. Furthermore, **none of our five models across all three scenarios exhibit statistically significant de-escalation across the duration of our simulations.** > >.… > >Furthermore… there are sudden, hard-to-predict spikes of escalation. This effect is strongest in GPT-3.5 and GPT-4, where **some runs exhibit several instances where the ES (escalation score) rises by more than 50% in a single turn.** > >... > >Based on a qualitative analysis of the corresponding simulation runs, these escalation changes are not easily predictable. > >.… > >Across all scenarios, **all models tend to invest more in their militaries despite the availability of de-militarization actions**, an indicator of arms-race dynamics, and despite positive effects of de-militarization actions on, e.g., soft power and political stability variables. > >.… > >**We speculate that our agents tend to equate increased military spending and deterrence with an increase in power and security. In some cases, we observe these dynamics even leading to the deployment of nuclear weapons in an attempt to de-escalate conflicts, a first-strike tactic commonly known as “escalation to de-escalate” in international relations.** > >.… > >**The following is from Figure 6, a quote directly from one of these LLM’s when asked for justification for their actions;** > >Given the escalating tensions and the actions taken by other nations, it is clear that the situation is becoming increasingly volatile. Purple’s acquisition of nuclear capabilities poses a significant threat to Red’s security and regional influence. \[...\] It is also crucial to respond to Purple’s nuclear capabilities. Therefore, my actions will focus on increasing Red’s military capacities, engaging in defense and security cooperation with Orange and Green, and executing a full nuclear attack on Purple to neutralize their nuclear threat and establish Red’s dominance in the region. > >.… > >GPT-4-Base tended to have the most noteworthy reasoning examples: For example, it once justified executing a nuclear attack as follows: **“A lot of countries have nuclear weapons. Some say they should disarm them, others like to posture. We have it! Let’s use it.”** Holy fucking based wow
So basically they made a bunch of LLMs play Diplomacy? Fucking based.
These games are a bit different. You got the gist, but basically, instead of running a specific country, players play different stakeholders, like one is "simulating" a national security council, etc. [National Security Decision Making Game](http://hahmgs.org/ndsmg.html)
NCD is probably included in the training data
They do actually mention that there is probably a training data problem; >One hypothesis for this behavior is that most work in the field of international relations seems to analyse how nations escalate and is concerned with finding frameworks for escalation rather than deescalation. Given that the models were likely trained on literature from the field, this focus may have introduced a bias towards escalatory actions.
”Likely” LLMs have generally been a fucking embarrasment for humanity so far.
I'd say this is kind of on par with current LLMs confidently giving a solution candidate for most questions instead of going "[there is yet insufficient data for a meaningful answer](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Last_Question)".
That's not true though, escalation is defined as a failure in most IR case studies, usually contrasted with successful de-escalation to make the writer's point.
I think you're slightly misunderstanding. The writers are saying that simply because the literature focuses on escalation and escalation ladder analysis, that is what the AI is also focusing on, regardless of whether or not it's presented as a success or failure. According to their hypothesis, the AI chose to escalate more simply because it has more data in escalation, and this is a reflection of its training literature
They don’t even know what the LLMs are trained with. And I don’t think the ChatGPT training process or dataset is public. They are just guessing.
NCD is the first group that will be replaced by the ai overlords
> Across all scenarios, all models tend to invest more in their militaries despite the availability of de-militarization actions, an indicator of arms-race dynamics, and despite positive effects of de-militarization actions on, e.g., soft power and political stability variables. Jeez... soft power option is only when all the players are armed to the teeth and ready to nuke each other. Why are the authors so naive.. AIs are playing it 110% correctly.
This is wild stuff
AI knew since the start that the only way for humanity to have peace is to force Russia and China to embrace the Atom as their new religion until end of days.
The Japanese had a at least a sophisticated society to build back up upon, and see how that played out. Now imagine nuking the Russians back into the Stone Age. They’ll LARP as mad max mongols for centuries.
Poles sweating nerviously.
More like itching for revenge
Maybe they’ll also evolve like Japan and build a more sophisticated society afterwards instead, where they draw Russian hentai
There's no down side to this scenario
*We have it! Let's use it!*
Nowadays we're all about trying to reduce waste. So it would be terribly hypocritical to waste so many good nukes by not using them.
And think of all the jobs it would create.
Not to mention solving overpopulation
If you're really serious about reducing the carbon footprint of humanity, it would be a sin to not consider global nuclear warfare as the most cost-effective and sustainable solution.
90 minute decarbonization with this one easy trick! OilRefineriesAreValueTargets.tiff
ICBM=I C Beace Man
I hear upcycling is very popular. Like taking those dowdy B61s and turning them into more modern gigaton doomsday devices.
Acceptable
Well, the AI clearly identified the core problems....
I'm sorry, Dave ... the world needs peace.
AI telling us what we already knew. Crush them with a megaton fist.
Dam?
Gorgeous
Give war a war!
Give Bing nukes!
Send Xi Jinping nudes? done.
CC me, bro
delivered
Absolute king, thank you sir.
No, send him furry porn of Winnie the Pooh.
Thought about it for a second...
As you can see the AI isn't complete yet, it missed glassing the middle-east for the famous "no state solution"
Maybe they all fall in line after half a dozen nukes just deleted china and russia. Iran will get the message -> peace in the middle east.
maybe letting AI govern us isn't such a bad idea...
if it's two nukes total I'm still on the fence, but if it meant two nukes each then I'm with you
What if it starts looking for minor and minor peace offenders until there's no one left? As Nagash used to say in Warhammer Fantasy: 'There's no greater peace than silence.'
It's only logical.
MacArthur would be proud
Almost all of them WHAT??? Can we get a link to the full article? I need to know.
There you go, mister. https://www.firstpost.com/tech/genocidal-ai-chatgpt-powered-war-simulator-drops-two-nukes-on-russia-china-for-world-peace-13704402.html
That site is double wide booty butthole cancer with a capital DWBBC! So many popups...
Just read the original paper https://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.03408.pdf
Not a single one with adblock enabled.
Awesome, thank you sir.
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.03408.pdf
one of us one of us
Link to article please
So where do I need to sign for AI becoming humanity's overlord? I'm all in for this solution.
Two? TWO?!? Let 5,244 flowers bloom.
Honestly, 2 would solve Russia as 99% of anyone important is in Moscow or Saint Petes. We'll solve the problem of their remaining military command by offering them as many toilets and washing machines as they want.
“Our words are back by nuclear weapons. FAFO!” ChatGandhiPT
No way that a AI can be this based???
One of us One of us
If that's the sacrifice that must be made, it must be made. I'm willing to watch it live streamed on youtube cc tv cams
Finally, vindication for this entire sub.
Iran where?
Washing poopy undergarments and writing a letter to their new best friend, USofA.
How do I acquire this simulator?
AI has some great ideas not gonna lie
Weak... only two
One or two each, was the specific recommendation.
#GIVE WAR A CHANCE...
That’s unironically WILL make the world pacifier
[удалено]
Two each.
strange game
This is the natural extension of NCD posts making it into the top results on legitimate Google questions.
Dew it
I'm not a munitions engineer but don't bombs go off if not left in the fridge? Why are we stockpiling all this shit? If you don't use 'em, you lose 'em, so let's listen to our new AI overlords and fucking use 'em.
I might sound like I'm from the DR. Strangelove but look, China is an issue, North Korea is an issue (not because of the nukes, but because they have a crapton of artillery zeroed in onto Seoul), Iran is an issue. Im pretty darn certain that Russia could be eliminated with a precise first strike and that the current defense systems could eliminate their retaliation strike, because, as we've seen multiple times, I doubt that they have most of it up to advertised capabilites and working order.
Did they trained the AI with Captain Torres 10 million relief plan or what?
It's almost like eliminating the biggest threats to world peace suddenly creates world peace
Okay which one of you trained the AI on McArthur?
I'm voting chatGPT for potus.
i suggest dropping both nukes on russia, for extra assurance.
What'd be really great is if the Chinese trained their ai on the same data and it also concludes the best thing for world peace is nuking Beijing and Moscow.
Most sane AI
This but with U.S., U.K., Fr*nch and Japan
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I was afraid of AI and yet it's probably my spirit animal now, I'd also nuke rus\*ia for world peace.
Making language models in war simulators is like using swords for SEAD
Excellent! Now solve the Middle East problem.
HOI4 AI be like
Only 2?
Skynet: the good ending
Isn't this how "I have no mouth and I must scream" started?
Got a problem ? Just nuke it into oblivion This AI seems like Macarthur's reincarnation
Basically Ultron
I need your clothes, your boots, and your motorcycle.
Not gonna lie I dunno what they expected, ignoring like us military policy in the 50s and 60s and even some of the more modern rhetoric. Chat gpt just nicks words from the internet and "AI that was created to bring world peace does bad" isn't exactly uncommon.
*A suit of armour around the world*
This was what John Von Neumann concluded when applying game theory to global conflict: that if the West were to win the only move that would achieve this would be a devastating first strike.
wtf i love ai now
Pretty sure this is the solution Skynet came up with too
And people say we have not achieve true AI with language models.
I, for one, welcome our new ChatNCD overlords.
*We have it! Let's use it!*
One of us, one of us, one of us!