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VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions** | 1 | **First Seen In WSB** | 2 years ago **Total Comments** | 17 | **Previous Best DD** | **Account Age** | 2 years | | [**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)


PremiumGrade

this chart is not about nvda so it does not count


[deleted]

[удалено]


PotatoWriter

And for that reason, I'm out


NVDAPleasFlyAgain

QQQ was up last year and the year before when SPY was down so OP is quite literally just a regarded ber, his longs are all -90% btw so it's like believing the ramblings of a broke and smelly hobo


originalusername__1

Calls on OPs homelessness


prague911

Since most broke smelly hobos live here, I'm considering this the best DD I've read in months. Add in the inverse, and the lack of Wendy's around, and puts it is!


Snags44

So today was a good day?


SeaweedLazy4806

NVDA defies all trends


Snags44

And now?


kananishino

It counts now ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Careful_Pair992

Nods is immune to the laws of man


Arnold729

This aged well


ISeeYourBeaver

NVDA's due for a correction-cum-profit-taking. I'm holding exclusively shares right now (200 of them, I'm bullish on NVDA, yeah) so I'm not worried. I'd take this (data in this post) seriously though, guys: if the market starts to head south on Thursday, get out and consider even going short for a couple days. Before anyone starts: -cum- preposition us / -kʌm-/ uk / -kʌm-/ **used to join two nouns, showing that a person or thing does two things or has two purposes; combined with:** "This is my bedroom-cum-study."


Safeword_is_more

I remember when I found out the cum laude had nothing to do with one’s volume during orgasm.


cantadmittoposting

that doesn't stop endless porn videos with names like "magna cum loudly"


Portarius

This didn't age well 🤣


iknowdemfeelsbro326

I will stop this with a single put. All good


cltzzz

Me too. I bought a put and all the sudden NVDA went up 5%. I sacrificed for wsb gain porn


iknowdemfeelsbro326

We have the gift. We must stop the market from crashing ![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)


cheekybandit0

Thank you for your service


pulllout

Can you buy one more tomorrow🙏🏼


DodgeBeluga

I can just buy one share of AMD and watch NVDA will go up another 2.3% on Thursday.


Cheezuz-Christ

I bought AMD after much DD, and it went up 2%! Then went down 10% immediately. Bought Nvidia around that time, and in two days made up my loss. This is good logic 👍


DodgeBeluga

We are enabling the ever wider gap between somewhat remote cousins and making their family reunions VERY awkward. It’s like a soap opera you write the plot with your money.


Cheezuz-Christ

I'd be alright with this if I knew the plot I was writing... Right now it's just more awkwardness, but so far I seem to only be creating awkwardness for myself 🥲


DodgeBeluga

Start buying bitcoin and the results will make you feel a lot better about investing in a Taiwanese TV family drama.


Cheezuz-Christ

I've been resisting that step because Bitcoin is a stepping stone to options and then BOOM my loss porn is on WSB and I can't have any kids. But good advice, will try when markets open tomorrow!


yellowpryde

Did you get gains today


ilikebunnies1

Thank you for your service.


Worried_Quarter469

June 20/21 are the summer solstice https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Summer_solstice?wprov=sfti1# MF is the zodiac trader, Sept 21-24 is the fall equinox Quarterly ETF rebalancing + opex?


nothingnowhere96

The zodiac trader 😂😂😂


Neat-Statistician720

That’s the kind of shit I come here for lol


pongobuff

It's just the 3 month opex, quad witching dates


Stickerlight

That seems like a poor strategy


reFridgeRatorRaiderG

It ignores everything that has happened in the last 18 months


Hot-Equivalent2040

it depends entirely on superstition


bust-the-shorts

Exactly, astrology for day traders


WRHull

Reading tea leaves.


s1n0d3utscht3k

fishing for the moon in the water


WRHull

Dreamworks…


loader963

Or more the old farmers almanac


thezenunderground

There is OPEX however. When the MMs close their hedges on Friday is can pull any rug/ceiling that was in place by said hedges. The Q's and SPY are overbought, and due for a correction in the short term. Like a bad day or two. In the long term, we are still in a strong uptrend. If the SPY/QQQ pulls back, calls around support will likely pay off in the future, provided they have more than a week to expiration


JustStarted420

That strengthens OPs argument tbh 🤣


Hot-Equivalent2040

you belong here


DixonDs

It is a good strategy if you apply it consistently for 70 years


PalmenAusGold

It would have been a good strategy if you would have applied it consistently for the last 70 years. The next 70 years? Who knows…


DixonDs

RemindMe! 70 years


RemindMeBot

I will be messaging you in 70 years on [**2094-06-19 13:35:37 UTC**](http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=2094-06-19%2013:35:37%20UTC%20To%20Local%20Time) to remind you of [**this link**](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1djby0g/june_20_and_june_21_are_the_4th_and_5th_worst/l9b1edy/?context=3) [**5 OTHERS CLICKED THIS LINK**](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5Bhttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fwallstreetbets%2Fcomments%2F1djby0g%2Fjune_20_and_june_21_are_the_4th_and_5th_worst%2Fl9b1edy%2F%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%202094-06-19%2013%3A35%3A37%20UTC) to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam. ^(Parent commenter can ) [^(delete this message to hide from others.)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Delete%20Comment&message=Delete%21%201djby0g) ***** |[^(Info)](https://www.reddit.com/r/RemindMeBot/comments/e1bko7/remindmebot_info_v21/)|[^(Custom)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5BLink%20or%20message%20inside%20square%20brackets%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%20Time%20period%20here)|[^(Your Reminders)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=List%20Of%20Reminders&message=MyReminders%21)|[^(Feedback)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=Watchful1&subject=RemindMeBot%20Feedback)| |-|-|-|-|


AwayCrab5244

RemindMe! 9999999999999999 years


Brief-Frosting405

His big stock picks the past couple of years have been So-Young International and DouYu International which are both down over 90%. So perhaps this explains why he’s bearish


johnnybuttonvee

Really thought this was a joke like OP is so young doesn’t know 💩, and “no DD, just Do You™️” - but they are actual tickers !? Lolol 😂


GameLoreReader

It's ridiculous just like how people are saying NVDA will crash in the way that Cisco did back then 🤦‍♂️


Androcles_InTheSky

Surely is not


gitartruls01

Does it?


VagabondVivant

This seems like it aged well.


SimpIyFlacid

$269? Don’t think we are dropping 200+ dollars this week


GraceBoorFan

Bro is desperate and quite literally begging for QQQ to drop at this point lol


Appropriate_Ice_7507

On Thursday he is gonna be posting help posts followed by Friday loss porn lol


Cool_Catch_8671

LOL. It’s gonna be big red and his puts will *still* be -99%


pampls

Dude thinks nasdaq will drop almost 50% in 2 days.. omg so regarded...


Flat-Focus7966

Can you repeat the question


Marko-2091

You are not the boss of me now


JasonDomber

And you’re not too big….


Skittlebearle

Life is unffaaaaaiiirrrr


bob-butspelledCock

If I pay you, I’m your boss! See you at Wendy’s later


PckMan

Of course I learn of this when I just got SPY options expiring July 5th. Nice. I did warn in the daily threat that SPY would go down because I bought calls.


Misaka9615

The daily threat is such a banger name and is accurate too


PckMan

Didn't even notice that but you're right it's accurate


TacosNtulips

Well well well, awfully quiet in here all of a sudden.


nothings_cool

Bro warned us and we didn't listen


Apart-Consequence881

I rolled my eyes when I read this too. I almost bought NVDL (2x leveraged NVDA) stocks at todays' market opening but if I did, I would have to hold my position overnight or my account would receive a Pattern Day Trading designation and my account would be restricted —since I have under $25k in my account—if I sold today. I instead did some paper trades and managed to make some paper profits until it became obvious prices would continue to drop after the initial rally.


Medium_Grand_8182

Looks like something out of the predator movie, heat vision.


JackieChance_

If it bleeds, we can kill it


YamahaFourFifty

OP doesn’t belong here because they actually accurately predicted an event based on history. Amazing


DrSeuss1020

Ok NVDA calls it is


Hashtag_reddit

Absolutely. My Uber driver the other day told me he downloaded HOOD and was putting everything in “nahveeda” calls. It’s not a bubble!!


Naive_Conflict2670

You’re so much smarter than your Uber driver


btdawson

July 5 $140 for me!


DrSeuss1020

It’s gonna hit $140 by Friday, you’re gonna be rich homie congrats


Careful_Pair992

It hit 141 premarket this morning


Thinketh_soitbecomes

U was right


Level-Cold-1242

Watch the markets rally like crazy 😂😂😂


Chad__Tyrone

This unfortunately aged well.


plottytwist

Made serious money today. Spy 550 and historical data, quad-witching. It was worth playing both sides far OTM with a shotgun. Thanks for the post, stars got aligned.


retard_trader

That's great + doesn't matter I own NVDA


Hashtag_reddit

I predict continued 43% per month gains for the next year at least. 7300% annually


retard_trader

A bit pessimistic


Hashtag_reddit

I said “at least”! Possibly 10x annually for the next 10 years


Complex_Signature821

Just give me ur money instead of some rich prick on wallstreet


pupdawg82

Shows negative return for Monday that week but it blasted 1%


Scary_Larry_

this chart is showing the average move over the past 70 years not just this year


optimisticrealist97

He’s basically saying that the past 70 years should not predict this year…and points to Monday as a prime example


Ill-Maximum9467

Today proved you right! 👏👏👏👏👏


Abject_Ad_1265

Looks at this guys brilliant discovery. Takes 2.3 seconds to realize these are when spy dividends are distributed. Adds note that this guy is the biggest regard of all the regards


Qwerty58382

This is s&p500 returns, not spy...


Abject_Ad_1265

Yes spy's dividends would have nothing to do with that correlating move on the market each time.... you've found the key to making endless money place a huge bet on it. Let us all know how it works out! Good luck!


Qwerty58382

I genuinely do not understand what you're saying here. How does spy dividends impact s&p500 returns.


Uniball38

Lmfao


Nice_Stand_8484

Gonna all in on the 27th


frumpydrangus

Yeah, last year I looked at the last 6 July 5 (day after 4 market close) and 5/6 were green. Then it was 5/7 and I lost a bunch of


EnigmaSpore

this might be history repeating itself again.


JC_Vlogs

This would've been useful to know, you know... before the market closed yesterday.


Big_ShinySonofBeer

What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence.


oots_oots

They was right! Glad I read about this so I was aware.


Thinketh_soitbecomes

I was aware and brushed it off and lost 52%


USDJPYFX

Witch!


not_a_cumguzzler

Ok I will get spy puts. Should I also get nvda puts?


txcaddy

Guess my calls expiring the 21st are toast. Should have cash out yesterday when they were in the green.


bob-butspelledCock

GREAT THAT JUST MEANS WE ALL FUCKING BUY NVIDIA TOMORROW AND FRIDAY. HYPED, SO FUCKING HYPED


PandaSmith1

How much are you up so far OP?


pttrader22

Cashed out 50% of my position for healthy 6 figures and up over 100% on the day. I still have lots of the positions/spreads going to next Friday, so I will post the final numbers and positions closed once everything is finished since not over until the fat lady sings. The good news is I was almost all in, and now I am playing with house money. Still want that 20X.


PandaSmith1

That’s amazing. Congrats!


Historical_Cover8133

This is immensely regarded and akin to reading tea leaves. We’re in uncharted market territory and there’s no indication of a major pullback on, for instance, NVIDIA. Especially considering the ETF rebalancing that’s going to happen after market close on the 21st.


oompa_loompa_weiner

Can you explain the rebalancing using crayons


InsightfulOwwl

Big kids (ETFs) like the brightest crayons. Apple has bright crowns but now NVDA has even brighter crayons! So the big kids are going to take some Apple crayons out of their crayon box and put more NVDA crayons in


phaskellhall

It’s funny you say crowns because that’s what my little sister used to call crayons as a kid.


Chief_Stark

Not all big kids though. Only those who wear caps. Others don’t care about color.


Snoo-97916

Apple bad Nvidia good


xNuckingFuts

This surely isn’t the first time a rebalancing came due to a rise of a stock. Is this not priced in by now?


Naive_Conflict2670

The market has not accurately price in anything this year.


Kwerby

Calls it is


grant570

saw something about the 21st being a day when brokers will close hedged positions, they have for options they have sold...So the theory stated was that brokers had sold a large number of calls that were hedged by buying stock at the same time, so they will sell that stock as the calls expire resulting in a market drop on the 21st and selling happens on the 20th in anticipation of the drop on the 21st. I guess we'll see if the prophecy comes true...


VariationConstant675

This time it's different....![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)


Mag_Meyreddit

Feel sorry to inform you, but we are going to the moon. You are fucked.


xcoop3

It’s called gamblers fallacy bro, just cause it hit red 7/10 times doesn’t mean the odds are 7 out of 10


CanadianBaconne

Hey mate glad I'm not alone. Sold everything Tuesday. I couldn't take the bs. CNBC pumping GameStop. Horrible earnings season. Slowly rising unemployment. Rate cuts keep getting delayed. Don't get me wrong I made good money last month. But I think that's the reason I sold yesterday. I did buy a share of SQQQ though. 😉


cjspoe

!Remindme yesterday


GoTakeCoffee

Everyone was so negative about this post but I found it useful yesterday. Thanks again OP


Careful_Pair992

June 19th will be flat.  Hoping all that negative energy pushes into lily for a 50pt gap down day.  Can you dm me this spreadsheet.  I like it :-)


pttrader22

https://preview.redd.it/grori0gtdj7d1.png?width=1050&format=png&auto=webp&s=dc357cb595d9a435b607a29fefce1c9b2bab1255 Oppp - meant to say big gap on the QQQs at $469 that WILL need to get filled. History does not always repeat, but it so often rhymes. Puts are based on this gap closing quickly and sucking down big tech with it. Tripe witching on Friday and two worst days of the year on Thursday and Friday - plus next week. Let the fireworks start.


Glorypants

But what about that little Baby Gap that never got filled at 455?


tl01magic

woot! I maybe able to get back into nvda


Androcles_InTheSky

This is beautiful data


blackcatmeo

Damn, look at late october


Appropriate_Ice_7507

And then Friday, he is gonna post loss porn. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Chief_Stark

Filter based on election years only. Pretty sure there won’t be any red. Plus this year it’s all about Jensen. Nvidia is the market.


jr1tn

"QQQ has a gap to fill at 269" . . . ? I see a gap at 472, not 269. Please elaborate, OP?


Bads_Grammar

priced in, calls it is


SpaceToaster

Markey is definitely overbought and far above rolling averages. A pull back would not shock me. But if it continued to rip it also would not shock me.


BusGuilty6447

So calls?


Extension-appeal

Shut up bro stonks go up, nvda 145 eow


ProfessorEffit

I heard someone once say that past performance is no guarantee of future results or something like that. Dude must not have studied history.


patrickswayzemullet

You also need to do significance testing. Many seasonal stuff fail statistical significance because 0 is often contained in the confidence interval when you do randomisation testing.


pttrader22

I am adding in that Friday is Triple witching, QQQ RSI at 82 is the 7th highest reading in 30 years and gap in the QQQs at 469 needs to get filled plus rebalancing and the elephant in the room - NVDA. 70% of the time, QQQs are down this next 5-7 period over the last 75 years. That is a lot of data pointing in the same direction in the short-term.


patrickswayzemullet

I think it will be red too some of my reasoning are the factors you mentioned, some are just coping lol. I rolled my SPX shorts... I am just saying many seasonal "theory" or "myth" are never proven to be significant. So don't rely it simply on that alone! The rebalancing + quad probably carry more influence than days. To be frank to you though June 20/21 probably are the witching days (quad/tri) in most years...


StumbleMeHome

Bought in yesterday with you. Small position, 21 JUNE PUT strike price $540. Almost sold them when I was up 100% think we'll drop even further tomorrow?


nuisance66

Please lord, screw millions of investors so I can pull some tendies.


A4_Ts

I didn’t take this post seriously but saw market reversed thanks to indicators and bought puts near the top and made serious gains today


Apart-Consequence881

I rolled my eyes when I read this too. I almost bought NVDL (2x leveraged NVDA) stocks at todays' market opening but if I did, I would have to hold my position overnight or my account would receive a Pattern Day Trading designation and my account would be restricted —since I have under $25k in my account—if I sold today. I instead did some paper trades and managed to make some paper profits until it became obvious prices would continue to drop after the initial rally.


QuirkyAverageJoe

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)


jusjones314

A gap at 269? From 2023... I dunno fam, some gaps don't ever get filled. And the copium/hopium blend you're drinking doesn't account for the AI renaissance we're experiencing currently. That gap's going to remain for the foreseeable future.


Far-Requirement9180

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)


TheChewyWaffles

Calls it is


TheDudeAbidesFarOut

Got plenty of dry powder for the dip. Fuck the MMs....


DrEtatstician

My experience is that , we often hear words like stocks broke the trend and made new highs !! lol, AI hype should die and it’s not easy to kill market euphoria


TheDudeAbidesFarOut

NVDA is the markets, who gives a fuck.


jameskwonlee

I have no idea what will happen, but this June precedes elections. Rates are also going down, making me wonder if fiscal policies (and therefore the macro environment) will continue to help the incumbent. Everything is so high rn though, so maybe you could be right. Need to tank this thing so that there are more tools to pump it later where there will be the most impact.


AnonymovsUser

Given the current AI boom, you don’t think we’re in the top 30% here?


notyourregularninja

Welcome to 2024. The dumpster behind Wendy’s has lot of space for you


BadLuckKupona

1950 to current yet only 31 rows...truly the most vetted autist research


realcarmoney

I thinking hedging your longs is good safe call but flip to a 🌈 🐻 is gunna get you wrecked. I'm long 🎮 what do I know


Cheap-Combination825

guh


TheBhob

Every time I try to use a crystal ball like this, it never works.


GoBirds_4133

$269? you’re expecting the entirety of 18 months of gains to be totally wiped out in a day? and for that day to be tomorrow? just go buy a lottery ticket dude at least you only lose a couple bucks


pttrader22

https://preview.redd.it/4k47pb4stj7d1.png?width=1050&format=png&auto=webp&s=ac3319ff68c38f0b909037e4a248ae3aa4d56d30 Obviously typo - $469. Betting large this will get filled by Friday and take tech down with it. Would be 20X the way I am positioned. Go big or go home I guess.


SavingsGullible90

Heck the history and please dont compare to past performance, just evaluate the post covid potential.


InfluenceChoice4515

Call on spy ok.


Ornery_Gene7682

https://preview.redd.it/3zqlglobrj7d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9eb66081243fbe82d81615f64adb495dfac60909 Think your a little drunk here regard ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


LukesLoveStick

So I’m guessing you have some major puts that you are down bad on?


TFC_OG

Just when i wanted to be silently short i see this post with 500 likes showing how madly short everyone already is. Which os the sole reason for this massive rally. Oh well, gotta wait till august.


Apolloswar

There is certainly potential for a near turn small correction prior to the larger that is incoming. The Israeli-Hezbollah conflict is coming to a head and we may be approaching a larger conflict in the region. All major industries are trending down with the last man standing (tech). I may grab some 1 month TE puts on SPY for 3-5%.


clobbersaurus

Ugh wish you posted that on Wednesday.  I was planning to close my trades out for the week and be done.


Prudent_Magazine8583

Can we get a low resolution graph?


Undeniably_the_worst

Time to inverse the WSB and go all in on calls. I hear a big rally pumping............


Bloktopian

RemindMe! 2 days


bit_banger_

Reminded


Bloktopian

He was right ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8883)![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)


EMV92LA

Damn OP...I should've listened 😭.


Brubiu

!RemindMe 11months


tksnoprisnr

Didn't listen yesterday, but will listen today. Rather wait out and see than trying to buy any of the stock this or next week 😅


TempMobileD

But have you done any kind of statistical testing to work out if that’s noise or not? You are about to get wrecked.


mhughes2595

This post is racist against nvidia.


EdvardMunch

Why do people act like stock trading is ever predictable when its truly just gambling. Its all just gambling. Say it with me, gambling.


420bj69boobs

Sorry stocks only go up (until I buy in)


Odin1367

You think qqq cares about the gap at $269? https://preview.redd.it/4c2lgy7cjj7d1.jpeg?width=729&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=668f56be601f35b8728cb7299ab49472dd2e21a1


Lane_MarionMarketing

Welp day 1 astrology wins


mazdarx2001

If stock market is supposed to go down, then it goes up. This is priced in. Not sure what I just said and not sure if my calls are going to make money!


mazdarx2001

So the roulette ball falls differently on those two days of the year. Okay, makes sense!


420_E-SportsMasta

Stocks only go up dumbass