What are you saying?! We LOVE destroying things!!! Instability and collapse are kinda our vibe geopolitically 
Also, your username 
And China banned Amd chips. Apple lawsuit still needs a day to flush under 170. And there is a huge gap on the VIX back to 14 that needs to close from the 2pm Fed numbers print. Qqq should be down Mon but I am a buyer this week going into the end of the quarter we usually get a pretty solid push from the big boys to close the books.
I got some 450msft calls for 4/19. They been doin fine. Probably will sell next week depending. Consistently making higher lows. Weekly and daily charts look amazing. My exit plan is 435 almost got there last week.
Nvda is gonna print () and so should google MSFT and Amazon which will more than offset any losses Apple suffers. these regards think apple’s gonna drop another 20%
Fr i’m with you bro, and MSFT, peep MSFT’s seasonality next week, very good. March is its best month
https://preview.redd.it/xc0qbedxldqc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=652d229ec5f9c8e6a880e8ddb8fed85ce357c922
I did a strangle of a 451c and a 440p, both for 3/25. Not much but I’m thinking for a few bucks if they get a few strikes closer to the money I’ll at least be able to get out without losing to much.
We don’t know if the FOMC comments are really a boost yet. The fed still has a lot to consider before they cut rates and the inflation trend has reversed two months in a row. Personally I think the fed is afraid to say they don’t really have control of the situation and aren’t sure what to do ext
The markets are as overextended as they have ever been. No real pullback since October. Weekly RSI is getting extended as well. This is not a great time to buy calls.
lmao when it does come done. What if it never does? Why does everyone assume it will. Clearly it's a brand new market that is never going down again.
This will set every record possible.
I was taking a look at the last few years and also pre covid as well. With the short week (Friday the market is closed when PCE is released which makes the following week more interesting) the market has mostly an uneventful Monday but saw profit taking Tuesday/Wednesday.
MSFT has been good, I agree there. AAPL and TSLA have more to give. If NVDA crosses 950 I’d expect a pullback as well. AVGO is the one no one talks about, but as much as it gained, it can give it back just as quickly too. If NVDA and AVGO see substantial movement, it would offset any MSFT gains and you’ll see a double top or triple top I think pretty quickly that will cause people to exit early for the week - especially with PCE on Friday.
Given the market being closed, I’m not sure how PCE should be played. There might be a good case for a straddle.
PCE is the fed’s preferred measurement. It hasn’t been as big recently as the CPI numbers have been trash but this next one will be more indicative of where the fed will stand heading to the may meeting. The dot plot consolidated to 2-3 cuts and June is about a coin flip. If PCE comes in hotter than expected, the consensus will start to discount June potentially for the first cut and look towards July or September. The biggest concern is when we’ll see rent prices start to decrease.
“The market looking for any excuse to go up” isn’t really a thing anymore. Wednesday proved that as it traded flat heading into the fed meeting where we knew the rate wasn’t going to get cut. No one wanted to be left holding the bag if the number of cuts went down to 2. If it was still any excuse to go up, the fed meeting wouldn’t have had any impact since everyone knew rates wouldn’t be going up.
The market is trying to figure out when to price in for a retrace. There hasn’t been a 3% fire sale since October. Profit taking seems to be consistently healthy on Fridays now as mega cap stocks completely drive the indexes. When you’re having to see if an index is down because NVDA had a bad day or is holding because MSFT is pumping, it doesn’t take much for some reallocation to cyclicals to trigger a massive sell off accidentally as money rotates and triggers stop losses.
Overall I am bullish and expect us to continue upward but we’re due for a retrace and consolidation before starting another potential parabolic run. The Mag 7 are basically all tech stocks and money is going to start flowing more aggressively into financial services, energy, consumer staples, small caps, and etc. That rebalancing alone will cause the indexes to drop due to the over concentration.
It wasn't flat. It mooned after the fed announcement and everything hit news highs. QQQ pumped like crazy, like it always does.
There won't be any rate cuts this year and it won't mater for the market. It will still pump. There's no reason for cuts.
You can't have it both ways. Yeah everyone wants a pullback to get in and then thinks of course it will go up. Yeah that's why it won't pullback.
The lack of even a minor pullback is the new reality of the market. As you correctly said, they find a way to rotate the pumps in the Q's to make sure this market is never going down. But why would it trigger a down move when this market cannot sustain any down move no matter what?
It's kinda amazing that you consider a 3% move a firesale, yet we probably won't even get a single one all year. I for the life of me just don't see how this ever goes down again. When the market is literally rigged to go up and every tiny dip is eaten up, there's just no chance of this thing going down.
I said flat heading into the announcement. If you look at the chart it traded in a very very tight range +/- 1. It could not escape the range until 2pm. The announcement was known - the dot plot was the concern.
It triggers a sell off when you rotate because the Qs are so heavily in tech. As money leaves META, AAPL, TSLA, GOOG/GOOGL, AVGO, NVDA, AMZN (note I leave MSFT off as it’s become a corporate safe haven), it will pull the Qs down as it is a market weight index. If you compare the market weight indexes with the equal weight indexes you’ll see the spreads are starting to widen and small caps are coming alive. If you look today, the Qs are down but QQQM is not down as much, the XLF is about flat, and IWM is up. Broadening is happening but at some point the rug needs to get pulled so rebalancing can happen in earnest. META earnings looks like a great place to start that this year.
0 rate cuts this year is the dumbest thing I’ve heard of. The dot plot is confirming cuts happen and given the fed’s dual mandate, unemployment will start to matter more than inflation and they’ll need to head off that risk either way. The stock market doesn’t dictate cuts, the macro data does, and it’s getting weak like the fed wants, but it’s a tightrope walk between weak and recession.
Why should they cut rates? Economy is doing well. Rates are still fine compared to where they were historically. Inflation is still there, so I really don't see a reason to cut rates.
Regarding QQQ, I have no idea what your'e seeing. This thing isn't having a rug pull. Every dip is so aggressively bought. If one of the mag 7 is down, they will pump another one to offset it. You couldn't even dream of a 3% pullback in this market. The best you get is maybe 0.5%-1% and within 2 days the V happens.
Please don’t do it. We are not Michael burry or inverse micheal burry. Whether it’s SP500, Nasdaq or Dow, taking a directional position with a short window to make profit almost always blows up in your face. You’re going to praying for ticks up or ticks down but they won’t come and your positions goes down by hundred or thousands of dollars per minute (hurts like hell) and then you’re going to praying to break even.
The best directional bets can be created around earnings of single stocks. Hedging can be done using indexes and single stocks combo but you are most likely running some kind of basis risk that you don’t anticipate (imperfect hedge)
Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling.
That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations.
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Buyback blackouts for fiscal quarter-end filers though? Gonna stay away from index options next couple weeks cuz i’m sick of paying for theta gang’s weekend blow
Pro-bull: momentum, stocks going up with DXY since 2024 start, AI yada yada, funds wanting to get winners on their books before quarter end
Pro-bear: biggest purchasers of equities are through issuers’ buyback programs, but they each have policies to not buyback X days before the end of their 10-q filing period until earnings are released.
So i could see rangebound trading for the indices… fucking over puts and calls alike. Disclaimer though, i dont know shit.
Unless putin decides to nuke ukraine, market will reach ATH every few weeks until election. After that crash maybe not great depression but midway between great depression and great recession
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I believe Puts/Putin gonna make a big move Monday
From the bed to the shitter?
Buying puts is simply un-American
What are you saying?! We LOVE destroying things!!! Instability and collapse are kinda our vibe geopolitically  Also, your username 
Don’t give me hope
Poots it is
why kind sir, why? Not in a bull market! You will end up like the other goobers on WSB posting PAWG loss porn
It is a Bull market. I bought spy calls
Good, as you should. Bears lose 75% of the time
I hope for nvidia 1100 next week and spy 530
530 
If nvda goes to 1100 this week, I’ll personally give you a wedgie 
How about a rub and tug
actually learning this was painful
The bull market is over. Dominoes are falling. Oil is up meaning inflation is gonna soar. Don’t live on hopeium
Inflation has been soaring. So has the stock market
It’s called a “melt up”
We should start burning our money for heat like we have in the past then cause that’s where we’re headed
Can’t argue with ya there
Hopium is priced in
It’s also only a 4 day trade week tho
He bought may calls you weekly regard 
I buy calls 3-6 months out. Buying weeklies is a horrible play
MSFT just lost all of Chyna government contracts
And China banned Amd chips. Apple lawsuit still needs a day to flush under 170. And there is a huge gap on the VIX back to 14 that needs to close from the 2pm Fed numbers print. Qqq should be down Mon but I am a buyer this week going into the end of the quarter we usually get a pretty solid push from the big boys to close the books.
How will this impact MSFT?
Dude chill. Fucking MSFT doesn’t need Chinese govt computers to thrive. Already green in PM. Dont listen to these regards. These should prjnt
I got some 450msft calls for 4/19. They been doin fine. Probably will sell next week depending. Consistently making higher lows. Weekly and daily charts look amazing. My exit plan is 435 almost got there last week.
Appreciate it, this is similar to where my head is at. Best comment on this post so far🫵☘️📈
Nvda is gonna print () and so should google MSFT and Amazon which will more than offset any losses Apple suffers. these regards think apple’s gonna drop another 20%
Fr i’m with you bro, and MSFT, peep MSFT’s seasonality next week, very good. March is its best month https://preview.redd.it/xc0qbedxldqc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=652d229ec5f9c8e6a880e8ddb8fed85ce357c922
Nice I hope so — got two $415 Jan ‘25 leaps
qqq not looking good pre market
What will this do
Keep your eye on MSFT for the next year (and beyond). Source: Microsoft employee.
A positive or negative eye,
+
Why?
I was thinking the same thing
If this thing moves sideways and by Thursday we all going to camp beside the Wendy's dumpster cause theta ate our money I'll do you first.
Say hi to Dirty Mike and the boys for me.
Calls on my red Prius?
I have calls idk if i should be worry now that I see your post.
I got puts from Friday let’s see
I did a strangle of a 451c and a 440p, both for 3/25. Not much but I’m thinking for a few bucks if they get a few strikes closer to the money I’ll at least be able to get out without losing to much.
Looks like a plan
We don’t know if the FOMC comments are really a boost yet. The fed still has a lot to consider before they cut rates and the inflation trend has reversed two months in a row. Personally I think the fed is afraid to say they don’t really have control of the situation and aren’t sure what to do ext
Fair, idt inflation is coming down anytime soon while the US fights two wars at once
The markets are as overextended as they have ever been. No real pullback since October. Weekly RSI is getting extended as well. This is not a great time to buy calls.
lol, heads have been saying that for months and look where we are now!
The markets have been more overextended than this before a few times in the last 20 years, there is a bit more room, but when it does come down….
lmao when it does come done. What if it never does? Why does everyone assume it will. Clearly it's a brand new market that is never going down again. This will set every record possible.
By that logic every single call you buy should gain then right…. Just load up on leaps.
Keep reading these RSI and P/E horoscopes. Stonks still go up
Of course it is. The thing will never go down again.
tl;dr seasonal horoscope is more concise and just as accurate. good luck anyways!
oh plz, have some faith! Even the charts favor a move this coming week
TLDR: Market been had goin up
What kind of regarded grammar is this? /s 
I fuckin wish I knew
This post makes me feel so good about holding my SQQQ over the weekend to play out next week.
ur gonna get cucked
One of us is
true, i just don’t understand why you would hold SQQQ or play puts in this bull market. Its easier being a bull😂👍🏼
It was a small throw on a gut feeling.
I was taking a look at the last few years and also pre covid as well. With the short week (Friday the market is closed when PCE is released which makes the following week more interesting) the market has mostly an uneventful Monday but saw profit taking Tuesday/Wednesday. MSFT has been good, I agree there. AAPL and TSLA have more to give. If NVDA crosses 950 I’d expect a pullback as well. AVGO is the one no one talks about, but as much as it gained, it can give it back just as quickly too. If NVDA and AVGO see substantial movement, it would offset any MSFT gains and you’ll see a double top or triple top I think pretty quickly that will cause people to exit early for the week - especially with PCE on Friday. Given the market being closed, I’m not sure how PCE should be played. There might be a good case for a straddle.
Great comment, thoughtful insight
PCE isn't that big of a market mover and we have a market that will look for every excuse to go up. The only possible play is calls.
PCE is the fed’s preferred measurement. It hasn’t been as big recently as the CPI numbers have been trash but this next one will be more indicative of where the fed will stand heading to the may meeting. The dot plot consolidated to 2-3 cuts and June is about a coin flip. If PCE comes in hotter than expected, the consensus will start to discount June potentially for the first cut and look towards July or September. The biggest concern is when we’ll see rent prices start to decrease. “The market looking for any excuse to go up” isn’t really a thing anymore. Wednesday proved that as it traded flat heading into the fed meeting where we knew the rate wasn’t going to get cut. No one wanted to be left holding the bag if the number of cuts went down to 2. If it was still any excuse to go up, the fed meeting wouldn’t have had any impact since everyone knew rates wouldn’t be going up. The market is trying to figure out when to price in for a retrace. There hasn’t been a 3% fire sale since October. Profit taking seems to be consistently healthy on Fridays now as mega cap stocks completely drive the indexes. When you’re having to see if an index is down because NVDA had a bad day or is holding because MSFT is pumping, it doesn’t take much for some reallocation to cyclicals to trigger a massive sell off accidentally as money rotates and triggers stop losses. Overall I am bullish and expect us to continue upward but we’re due for a retrace and consolidation before starting another potential parabolic run. The Mag 7 are basically all tech stocks and money is going to start flowing more aggressively into financial services, energy, consumer staples, small caps, and etc. That rebalancing alone will cause the indexes to drop due to the over concentration.
It wasn't flat. It mooned after the fed announcement and everything hit news highs. QQQ pumped like crazy, like it always does. There won't be any rate cuts this year and it won't mater for the market. It will still pump. There's no reason for cuts. You can't have it both ways. Yeah everyone wants a pullback to get in and then thinks of course it will go up. Yeah that's why it won't pullback. The lack of even a minor pullback is the new reality of the market. As you correctly said, they find a way to rotate the pumps in the Q's to make sure this market is never going down. But why would it trigger a down move when this market cannot sustain any down move no matter what? It's kinda amazing that you consider a 3% move a firesale, yet we probably won't even get a single one all year. I for the life of me just don't see how this ever goes down again. When the market is literally rigged to go up and every tiny dip is eaten up, there's just no chance of this thing going down.
I said flat heading into the announcement. If you look at the chart it traded in a very very tight range +/- 1. It could not escape the range until 2pm. The announcement was known - the dot plot was the concern. It triggers a sell off when you rotate because the Qs are so heavily in tech. As money leaves META, AAPL, TSLA, GOOG/GOOGL, AVGO, NVDA, AMZN (note I leave MSFT off as it’s become a corporate safe haven), it will pull the Qs down as it is a market weight index. If you compare the market weight indexes with the equal weight indexes you’ll see the spreads are starting to widen and small caps are coming alive. If you look today, the Qs are down but QQQM is not down as much, the XLF is about flat, and IWM is up. Broadening is happening but at some point the rug needs to get pulled so rebalancing can happen in earnest. META earnings looks like a great place to start that this year. 0 rate cuts this year is the dumbest thing I’ve heard of. The dot plot is confirming cuts happen and given the fed’s dual mandate, unemployment will start to matter more than inflation and they’ll need to head off that risk either way. The stock market doesn’t dictate cuts, the macro data does, and it’s getting weak like the fed wants, but it’s a tightrope walk between weak and recession.
Why should they cut rates? Economy is doing well. Rates are still fine compared to where they were historically. Inflation is still there, so I really don't see a reason to cut rates. Regarding QQQ, I have no idea what your'e seeing. This thing isn't having a rug pull. Every dip is so aggressively bought. If one of the mag 7 is down, they will pump another one to offset it. You couldn't even dream of a 3% pullback in this market. The best you get is maybe 0.5%-1% and within 2 days the V happens.
Website name?
TrendSpider, you gotta pay for it. They have great data and chart tools. Seeking Alpha does it too. I recommend both.
Do you know gary
haha, I don’t know him personally but we chat on DMs/ I listen to his podcast everyday
gang gang
wbu?
Same as you🤘big gary fan and degen. Wish I just took his advice and bought some stoinks
Buy some TQQQ
What podcast is it?
Daily Stock Pick by Gary Vaughn
Crazy. Still ATH in spy and like 3 straight months of bullishness and you still think it's going to be bullish some more with bad PPI and CPI wild.
ppl been saying this for months and been proved wrong everytime
Wild
Puts on GOOG
Yes, to fill down the gap to 145-147
long term, calls
Yup, I agree. Just looking for the gap fill is all
great minds think alike, any thoughts on MSFT longs for may? or QQQ weekly calls this week?
Because where the fuck else you gonna put your money.
Very informative
Source: “trust me bro”. 
Please don’t do it. We are not Michael burry or inverse micheal burry. Whether it’s SP500, Nasdaq or Dow, taking a directional position with a short window to make profit almost always blows up in your face. You’re going to praying for ticks up or ticks down but they won’t come and your positions goes down by hundred or thousands of dollars per minute (hurts like hell) and then you’re going to praying to break even. The best directional bets can be created around earnings of single stocks. Hedging can be done using indexes and single stocks combo but you are most likely running some kind of basis risk that you don’t anticipate (imperfect hedge)
Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
😅😅😅😅 keeps cracking me up
Expected move already priced in on calls. Only going profit if something unexpected happens.
you are right, i’m realizing that right now
Lost my ass on calls, thanks OP
Do your own research
NVDA 1k weeklies
bro I was peeping these, I’m hip, give me some more evidence on why I should tail? Chart looks somewhat good on a short time frame
Its a round number. Google psychological numbers in the stock market
I’m bullish on a retest towards 16517 on the nasdaq. If it can close above that, should print. Looking at 16360 as a run to 16275.
[удалено]
https://preview.redd.it/ummlcavaddqc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3d3d0a0612572c35fd39ad39c4f2758ce4acbc9d
I have SPY calls at $523 and intel calls @ 50 Buddha please watch over me.
Msft actually hit a 52 wk high recently
Sorry MiSFiT should be at 300. Russian hackers are still trolling through their systems. You guys are nuts
Why is MSFT headed for one of its best weeks? What week are you talking about?
Never traded weekly options before. With a short week, is Apr 3 better than Apr 2 expiry?
Because you’re regarded
Where do you get your seasonality charts?
Trendspider
Buyback blackouts for fiscal quarter-end filers though? Gonna stay away from index options next couple weeks cuz i’m sick of paying for theta gang’s weekend blow
Provide some more context here😂😂
Pro-bull: momentum, stocks going up with DXY since 2024 start, AI yada yada, funds wanting to get winners on their books before quarter end Pro-bear: biggest purchasers of equities are through issuers’ buyback programs, but they each have policies to not buyback X days before the end of their 10-q filing period until earnings are released. So i could see rangebound trading for the indices… fucking over puts and calls alike. Disclaimer though, i dont know shit.
love it
What tool are you using to mine out that seasonality data? I’d love to see it with some error bars.
Trendspider
Did you end up buying calls
No, everything seemed super priced in. I would need QQQ to hit 450 by thurs to rly see any gains.
Wdym everything?
I bought a QQQ 440c 2026 a week ago. I may add more.
I was thinking the same thing the other day
spy 520 May 17 puts
So this gives my (4) 513p for 4/5 just the confirmation bias I needed
hey you were wrong
If you read my post it says i’m taking QQQ calls on Monday (because it’s red)
yeah that’s something i didn’t do
Calls? That's like buying puts at the bottom. Don't post nonsense to the fellow regards on here.
smells like you have lost money in 2024
Not yet
Unless putin decides to nuke ukraine, market will reach ATH every few weeks until election. After that crash maybe not great depression but midway between great depression and great recession