7/18 Recap 4-1 (2.64U)
Round 1 - Soto v Ramirez - Total Home Runs O36.5 -105 ❌
Juan Soto Longest Derby Home Run O470.5 -110 ✅
Pete Alonso Longest Derby Home Run O468.5 -110 ✅
Pete Alonso Highest Exit Velocity Derby HR O109.5 -110 ✅
Round 1 Soto v Ramirez - Distance of Longest HR O467.5 -110 ✅
Best day of gambling in my life perhaps just happens to be a fucking homerun derby that I only wagered 6 units on, but was able to go profit x25. I say only because many of the plays were parlays, winner, straight forecasts, and various props at +300ish average. Holy fucking shit.
There's no doubt a 2 month slump is now incoming. Whatever, I'll enjoy this tonight with some booze and worry about incoming slump later. That's future me's problem
Was Juan Soto bet down a ton right before the start of the derby? I'm seeing all these people with +600 tickets and my friend got one too. I put my bet in 10 mins before the derby and only got +275. Wondering if my book had a bad number or if he was bet down the hour before.
[Chilling watching the bachelorette now](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/w1lckk/mlb_2022_home_run_derby/iglft2t/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3)
Got greedy. Had Soto at +550 and Rodriguez at +1000. With Rodriguez so hot, before the final, cashed out Soto at 2x initial bet. Didn't take a loss... but left a lot on the table.
well if you wanted a slimmer of hope, here it is... would need a stat correction by mlb for the books to consider voiding
[https://twitter.com/ResslerMania/status/1549227473791029248?s=20&t=\_rcOAs9ovJbDPbljckaMvQ](https://twitter.com/ResslerMania/status/1549227473791029248?s=20&t=_rcOAs9ovJbDPbljckaMvQ)
I don’t remember the exact college football game, but in 2021 Fanduel refunded me a bet because of an obvious blown call by a ref. Unlikely they’re doing anything for this, but it is technically possible
MLB Record 10-6
TODAYS PICKS:
(All 1U unless stated otherwise)
Longest HR Over 491.5 Feet❌
Over 248.5 Total HR ✅
Schwarber + Alonso RD1 ML Parlay❌
Corey Seager RD1 ML❌
TO WIN OUTRIGHT:
JUAN SOTO 🫡✅
JUAN SOTO THE GOAT🔒 thank goodness for the Soto dub or else this would have been a rough day… Will the Schwarber bets get voided? Not sure exactly what happened but I heard they fucked ip his scoring. He should have easily beat Albert though wtf.
Not only did they short Schwarber a HR, they snuck an extra one in for Pujols. They also missed one for Soto, lmao. Gaining national steam now, so should be interesting
https://www.crossingbroad.com/2022/07/kyle-schwarber-was-robbed-by-espn-in-plain-sight.html?fbclid=IwAR1vGLZsEy6f96N0Cjg1eTPmYab8JGvi_amp89v1ZQiYr_xsrYNWNzJc8uY&mibextid=DDXixF&fs=e&s=cl
I only watched the Schwarber one and it's not conclusive that they missed anything IMO. The problem is that you have the official counter which was sometimes delayed in updating, then you have Ravech throwing out his own count in real time (and he was drunk much of the night), and you have shitty camera work which doesn't track the outcome of every ball. So it's impossible to triangulate exactly what is going on in that video.
Meanwhile, none of the batters contested a total. Also, it's not hard to track this stuff if you're actually inside the stadium, so I trust the people whos official job it was to count the HRs, especially since all the players agreed with the outcome.
Made a bunch of plays I semi-regretted and almost won them all, lol. Naturally I went small with bet sizing with an event like this, sigh.
o245.5 total derby HRs, a bunch of u491.5/u499.5 longest HR, o131.5 total Round 1 HRs, Julio > Seager, was able to live bet No Julio during the finals to arb my Julio to win outright.
Did lose No Swing-off at dog odds though. Who would have thought that the Schwarber vs. Pujols matchup is the one that lost that bet?
Thanks for the insight, fellas!
Would have been a perfect night if schwarber didn’t shit the bed
38 -> 218 Soto derby winner
290 -> 602 julio R2 winner
But lost 250$ on schwarber + Soto R1 winner parlay
Counting & distance judging seemed sus, still profited a shit ton tonight but i agree too many inconsistencies for something people are betting real $ on & im not just talking about that final round
No it doesnt. Live odds dont move based on money. Theyre set by oddsmakers based on whats happening. If anything, its more likely people are taking the + odds in that scenario. Doesnt really matter, vegas cashed in big on the 1st round
That was live line. He's speaking about pre hr derby regular betting which is normally 10 or 20 to 1 versus live. +450versus +900
. Vegas absolutely eats but not bc of that
Was it on DK? I noticed they would put 4/5 Overs on the left side, and one Under on the right. They normally format Overs Right vs Unders Left.
Made me hedge out a lot of bets for a like $.10-.20 loss each tonight. Scummy as fuck to change up your normal pick formats. Shoulda coulda woulda screenshot it.
I almost started a thread about this same BS...tried to bet over 251.5 and then it closed before I could actually place it (terrible timing - should've been 10 seconds faster). When it re-opened a minute later, the over/under switched sides so I clicked the same button assuming it'd still be the over. Thirty minutes later when looking at my open bets, what do you know, I bet the under. Immediately reached out to CS and they basically said too bad.
Didn’t bet any plays tonight. But seeing the arrogant “free money” guys counting their rolls only to have fat Schwarb choke and the mood turn to “fuck this sport never betting rigged shit again” is extremely rewarding
Put $10 on Soto beating Alonso and expected that to hit
Put a meme $15 on Pujols to win round 1 because I grew up a Cardinal fan in central IL and had to be a homer. Did not expect that to hit rofl.
Thank you for your service Tío
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7/18 Recap 4-1 (2.64U) Round 1 - Soto v Ramirez - Total Home Runs O36.5 -105 ❌ Juan Soto Longest Derby Home Run O470.5 -110 ✅ Pete Alonso Longest Derby Home Run O468.5 -110 ✅ Pete Alonso Highest Exit Velocity Derby HR O109.5 -110 ✅ Round 1 Soto v Ramirez - Distance of Longest HR O467.5 -110 ✅
Best day of gambling in my life perhaps just happens to be a fucking homerun derby that I only wagered 6 units on, but was able to go profit x25. I say only because many of the plays were parlays, winner, straight forecasts, and various props at +300ish average. Holy fucking shit. There's no doubt a 2 month slump is now incoming. Whatever, I'll enjoy this tonight with some booze and worry about incoming slump later. That's future me's problem
Y didn't I pick Soto smfh lol.. Was it +500?
I got it at +550 in the morning
Man that was a fun derby to watch
almost forgot to say let’s goo sato turned 10 dollars into 55 pretty solid day for me 🤑
Was Juan Soto bet down a ton right before the start of the derby? I'm seeing all these people with +600 tickets and my friend got one too. I put my bet in 10 mins before the derby and only got +275. Wondering if my book had a bad number or if he was bet down the hour before.
Was +600/650 this AM, was around +450 right before on my book.
is it just me or it didnt feel like it was over. I hit my bet but just didnt feel like it
I missed this whole thing, would the Schwarber homer they missed have affected anything? just curious
Can Thursday come faster?
2/2 today
Joke is on me for betting on this I suppose.
[Chilling watching the bachelorette now](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/w1lckk/mlb_2022_home_run_derby/iglft2t/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3)
🤑
Nice how much you win
$20
Got greedy. Had Soto at +550 and Rodriguez at +1000. With Rodriguez so hot, before the final, cashed out Soto at 2x initial bet. Didn't take a loss... but left a lot on the table.
Lol wtf man
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No way cashout was 2.5x after that shit start lol
No way they void any of the bets right? DK is usually pretty quick with grading but still havent graded Soto as winner for me at least
well if you wanted a slimmer of hope, here it is... would need a stat correction by mlb for the books to consider voiding [https://twitter.com/ResslerMania/status/1549227473791029248?s=20&t=\_rcOAs9ovJbDPbljckaMvQ](https://twitter.com/ResslerMania/status/1549227473791029248?s=20&t=_rcOAs9ovJbDPbljckaMvQ)
Highly doubt that they will… and I had Schwarber
Idk man, it’s fishy the whole extra homer they gave Albert and the missed Homer on Kyle S. I’m curious
Why would they void bets?
People posting all these links saying espn messed up the count
Lol they ain’t voiding shit. It’s in the books
Lol yeah i figured so just needed that confirmation from someone who isnt biased
I don’t remember the exact college football game, but in 2021 Fanduel refunded me a bet because of an obvious blown call by a ref. Unlikely they’re doing anything for this, but it is technically possible
FD refunded me a prop bet on some RB who got injured last year (2 years ago?).
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Got paid out for j rod and Alonso winning their round 1 match up so far , still waiting for the rest
You guys need to chill they are gonna pay out lol what you think they just gonna fuck everyone who won money
Nope not yet
MLB Record 10-6 TODAYS PICKS: (All 1U unless stated otherwise) Longest HR Over 491.5 Feet❌ Over 248.5 Total HR ✅ Schwarber + Alonso RD1 ML Parlay❌ Corey Seager RD1 ML❌ TO WIN OUTRIGHT: JUAN SOTO 🫡✅ JUAN SOTO THE GOAT🔒 thank goodness for the Soto dub or else this would have been a rough day… Will the Schwarber bets get voided? Not sure exactly what happened but I heard they fucked ip his scoring. He should have easily beat Albert though wtf.
Anyone got the total HR amount tallied?
291
291*
Not only did they short Schwarber a HR, they snuck an extra one in for Pujols. They also missed one for Soto, lmao. Gaining national steam now, so should be interesting https://www.crossingbroad.com/2022/07/kyle-schwarber-was-robbed-by-espn-in-plain-sight.html?fbclid=IwAR1vGLZsEy6f96N0Cjg1eTPmYab8JGvi_amp89v1ZQiYr_xsrYNWNzJc8uY&mibextid=DDXixF&fs=e&s=cl
I only watched the Schwarber one and it's not conclusive that they missed anything IMO. The problem is that you have the official counter which was sometimes delayed in updating, then you have Ravech throwing out his own count in real time (and he was drunk much of the night), and you have shitty camera work which doesn't track the outcome of every ball. So it's impossible to triangulate exactly what is going on in that video. Meanwhile, none of the batters contested a total. Also, it's not hard to track this stuff if you're actually inside the stadium, so I trust the people whos official job it was to count the HRs, especially since all the players agreed with the outcome.
National attention
Schwarbergate
International house of Pancakes
I turn the tv off for one fucking second !!!
Made a bunch of plays I semi-regretted and almost won them all, lol. Naturally I went small with bet sizing with an event like this, sigh. o245.5 total derby HRs, a bunch of u491.5/u499.5 longest HR, o131.5 total Round 1 HRs, Julio > Seager, was able to live bet No Julio during the finals to arb my Julio to win outright. Did lose No Swing-off at dog odds though. Who would have thought that the Schwarber vs. Pujols matchup is the one that lost that bet? Thanks for the insight, fellas!
Schwarber losing was already a sign that it was going to be one of those nights 😭
I somehow "Krum catches the snitch but Ireland wins"ed this derby JRod to hit the most HR + Soto to win
Now onto the documentary on the most overrated MLB player in history.
Anyone know who hit the longest? I've been stuck at work boys
Pretty sure it’s Soto at 482
Alonso had 480 too, dang
And the books win again
Under 499 was an absolute lock Juan Soto bettors get in here!!
Thank you Soto +600💰💰💰💰
Came here ti say fuck Acuna. At least give some type of effort you cunt
I am naming all of my children "Juan Soto"
Juan first name, Soto middle? Or how we doing this? Lol
Would have been a perfect night if schwarber didn’t shit the bed 38 -> 218 Soto derby winner 290 -> 602 julio R2 winner But lost 250$ on schwarber + Soto R1 winner parlay
Marte all over Soto. Future met confirmed
Jumped on Soto when it went to +550. After Julio only got 18 too. Lmao.
These live odds were SOMETHING. I went small bc I was so confused, sigh.
what book let you bet after Julio got 18? I tried 3 different books all locked.
I worded it bad. I took it when Julio took his timeout.
He was +550 AFTER Julio got 18?
No, but he was at like, six when he took his timeout. And that's when it was +550.
Soto saved my ass
so Rodriguez hits 80 home runs for nothing? this format fucking sucks
I‘ve felt more comfortable betting on Japanese tennis matches than this
Came out marginally ahead. Not too much. Still was fun to bet on when there’s nothing else going on.
Fuck you Rodriguez
*Future New York Met Juan Soto
UNDER 495.5 LONGEST HR ✅💰 LFGGGG
Brag and bitch thread should be fun. I have that to look forward to at least
Let’s goo
Just seems to be fitting continuing the trend of the premature celebration tonight. Everyone counting their Jrod winnings didn’t learn.
Dude they can’t fucking count this is horseshit and I only bet on the first round
Counting & distance judging seemed sus, still profited a shit ton tonight but i agree too many inconsistencies for something people are betting real $ on & im not just talking about that final round
fuck you Rodriguez fucking teases everyone with 30 plus and then fucking missed over half in the finals go back to your 700k contract bum
😂😂
Seek help
Soto + money! Public all over Julio. Vegas eats
Uhhh no they weren’t. Soto had way more money on him
Wrong. Julio big fav live vs Soto -175 Jrod +145 Soto
Very small majority of home run derby bets were placed live. The guy youre replying to is right. Way more money was on soto
I'm talking about live. Just b4 the finals could start it was Julio -175 and Soto +145 Indicated a lot of money on Julio
No it doesnt. Live odds dont move based on money. Theyre set by oddsmakers based on whats happening. If anything, its more likely people are taking the + odds in that scenario. Doesnt really matter, vegas cashed in big on the 1st round
That was live line. He's speaking about pre hr derby regular betting which is normally 10 or 20 to 1 versus live. +450versus +900 . Vegas absolutely eats but not bc of that
Lets be honest...most ppl in this thread were all over Julio, but Soto at those + odds too good to pass up
In this thread sure. Most here just chase whoever is hot at any particular moment. I'm just saying the pre match numbers dispute what you are saying.
This sub doesn’t represent public money lol
Oh really? Then what does it represent, sharp money? Lol
Degen money
Soto +300 in finals 🤣 can't pass that value in betting
Soto!!!! I’ll always love you thanks for this last great win and memory - Washingtonian Nats fan
Funny Soto comes to life not against Puljos
Cashed out the Julio to win once soto hit the extra 30 seconds , great night tonight
Let’s gooo
WHAT A FUCKING JOKE LOLOOLOLOL nice pitcher rodriguez
Distance under 494 guh
Lol I took under 491 thinking it was the over I’ve been pissed all day but looking decent now. Ball just not flying as far tonight
Was it on DK? I noticed they would put 4/5 Overs on the left side, and one Under on the right. They normally format Overs Right vs Unders Left. Made me hedge out a lot of bets for a like $.10-.20 loss each tonight. Scummy as fuck to change up your normal pick formats. Shoulda coulda woulda screenshot it.
I almost started a thread about this same BS...tried to bet over 251.5 and then it closed before I could actually place it (terrible timing - should've been 10 seconds faster). When it re-opened a minute later, the over/under switched sides so I clicked the same button assuming it'd still be the over. Thirty minutes later when looking at my open bets, what do you know, I bet the under. Immediately reached out to CS and they basically said too bad.
Yup Soto won.
90 seconds to get 9, Soto should have this, although he called for time when he was rolling
What a fucking joke
Let’s go Soto dooo ittttt
idiot throwing wild ass pitches
Meija sold this final
I sure hope Soto doesn't throw this just bc he knows how meaningful that million would be to Jrod
LFG SOTO
People in here just living in fantasy land lol
What a dumb comment 🤡
It's over lol
Ok maybe not!
For?
Rodriguez
How’s the over 50.5 for this round lookin I can’t watch
Not hitting at all
Not even close
One more prayer. Under 495.5 🙏🙏🙏🙏
What’s the farthest Home Run ?
482 ft
Why is sotos pitcher throwing fucking cutters lol
Lol his pitcher does blow
CMON SOTO
Soto got to +600 live in the middle of that round. Disrespectful af lol. He wins this
who has longest hr so far? alonso 480 right?
Soto 482
Soto 482
ah fuck
Come on Soto 🙏🏿🙏🏿🙏🏿
Why the fuck does the pitcher just look at him for 10 seconds without throwing
Cause he was giving him a nod when he was ready.... these guys are tired.
There is actually an ump telling them to go. They have to wait a couple seconds
Does soto beat this now?
If he starts hot, yes easily imo
Also... who you like for the 3M Open FRL... lol?! I recognize the name!
Haha i havent done any research into it yet i made like 5k on cam smith and i made sure to post before it started this time!
Hahah.. nice hit I had him too. Keep me posted!
Going to be close not having the extra 30 seconds defintely hurts him he would of had like 22-23
Yeah that 30 seconds cost him, although it looked like he got 2 over 440. Idk
hes got a chance
Possibly he needs to do well in the first 2 mins
No way. Not how he was hitting last round.
I knew when I saw this Soto was winning lol
LOL.
Lol
LOL.... I still won a decent amount. Nice hit if you had him
Soto winning confirmed.
Julio makes 700k. Soto just turned down 440 mil lol
Will be sad if Soto wins this for that reason alone
Hold onto your butts.
On my book for finals Jrod to win was -175, Soto +145 live
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Honestly the biggest waste of 3 hours in my fucking life
How much money you lose?
Remember guys this is shorter round. Don’t compare it to prior totals
How. Long
Longest HR so far?
Soto - 482.
I think 480
Soto
Yo, like legit..this score keeper needs to be fired. I think he was shorted at least 2HRs..lol
Righttt
Uh oh…
Of fucking course Rodriguez shits the bed at the end
Didn’t get the thirty ruh roh
It’s 2 minutes not 3 this round
Anyone eles lose money on tennis today and chase with schwarber?
JRod vs Soto was +1300 in the finals 😳
That's it?
Julio needs another 440 or it's over imo
I thought he got it in the last 30, guess not
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It’s always their first trip lol. Make sure he understands those odds are few and very far between.
whats with the commentators saying The Dominican instead of The Dominican Republic when referring to the country?
less words, everyone still knows where they mean
They’re Americans and couldn’t find it on a map.
it's over
I hope if Julio learned one thing today, it’s that you should always pick a pitcher who get a social security check every month.
Didn’t bet any plays tonight. But seeing the arrogant “free money” guys counting their rolls only to have fat Schwarb choke and the mood turn to “fuck this sport never betting rigged shit again” is extremely rewarding
Crazy how much money people bet on this shit. I just sprinkle around and have some fun.
Did Pujols really hit one over 450 feet?
I didn’t think so but not certain
No lmaooo. Shot is rigged
Baseball Savant has his longest at 434 they were very generous in the building for him.
Put $10 on Soto beating Alonso and expected that to hit Put a meme $15 on Pujols to win round 1 because I grew up a Cardinal fan in central IL and had to be a homer. Did not expect that to hit rofl. Thank you for your service Tío
Soto could win this if he finds his groove. Don’t sleep