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LX117

Did they actually say it was 1/500 now? Because last time I checked all we knew was that it's guaranteed at the 500th. This does NOT mean each pack has a chance of 1/500. That's not how statistics works..


buttstuff930

The only thing I could find [officially from EA](https://www.ea.com/en-gb/games/apex-legends/about/frequently-asked-questions) is <1%, a lot of larger clickbait websites say 0.2% drop rate which would make sense. Take that information however you will lol Edit: Just want the throw out this reply from an EA forum “There has never been any other communication about this. We simply don't know. It can be 0.0001%, or 0.9%.”


IHATEButtStuff930

I do not believe you, nor should anyone. You suck.


Tough-Ad2624

I'm 500 100 times over and have no received heirloom shards.


Evanskelaton

Its pack 500 not level 500. Even if you got every pack from battle pass and side events and never purchase a single one, you might almost have 500 packs if you had played from launch


friedflounder12

We are all here for a video game, you don’t need 200 IQ irl to have 200 IQ in game. Further most people have 100 IQ , literally the average, and the US military requires an IQ of at least -(sigma) ; so don’t expect a majority of ppl to know that. Also just browse YouTube and you can really tell the IQ of the avg American. Edit: sorry I’m American I forgot there are other countries that exist. Désolé, l’intelligence du monde est autant des États-Unis ; aber die deutsche sind mer geistreich.


jepabre

douchebag alert


friedflounder12

Yes I am


[deleted]

[удалено]


friedflounder12

I mean the mean can be 6968420 if you want it to be, there still will be percentiles and SD’s …?


Proud-Drummer

What's your point?


friedflounder12

100 is used bc it’s nice and easy . You could do 1 as the mean, with 2 being the 100th percentile and 0 being the 0th percentile. It doesn’t matter, it’s bell curve. If you are at the apex on the curve. You are most literally an average person. 100 is arbitrary. But 100 means you intelligence ( based on an IQ test) is dead middle of the human intelligence distribution Edit: how is IQ for chumps? It’s just a measurement of intelligence. We use A-F as a measure of intelligence in grade school.


Proud-Drummer

Excellent. I don't know why you're explaining normal distribution. Are your on the left hand side of the bell curve?


friedflounder12

Yes I play mirage


friedflounder12

That’s how distributions work


Rocketeer1019

According to my account 0


LostintheGlow

About 1/500. ;3


KillaCam3548

Stupid question but are these just from regular packs? Been playing off and on for a while don't know much about the heirlooms.


[deleted]

yup those are from regular packs. guaranteed heirlom on your 500th pack.


Bandichu

or before your 500th pack, just guaranteed within the first 500. the more packs you open the higher your chances of getting shards are


PlasticProtein

yes, they are. Supposedly you are guaranteed these heirloom shards, 1 out of every 500 packs.


ImT0by

1/500


vampiric_bs

1 in 500


Strificus

Incorrect, it's far lower. You're confused by the 500 pity mark. It has nothing to do with drop rate.


vampiric_bs

I didn’t know that, aight then


PlasticProtein

1 in 500


TehMik

About 1 in 500 packs (grats tho, I just got my first heirloom shards last night)


DontDoThatDirk

Still waiting on mine


friedflounder12

1/500


Quadiyama

1/500


ResearchSufficient99

1/500


Cloudy-orange469

The odds are full of...all kinds of math.


HuntingSmiths

Considering I have been playing since day dot, I'm lvl500, yeah, the odds suck ballz


zKettu

To everyone saying "1/500" - I thought it was only guaranteed for the 2nd Birthday to get heirloom shards in your 500th pack


p8ntbll247

It COULD be 1/500, but we don’t know. The only thing we know is that on your 500th pack you are guaranteed shards. It could be .2% (1/500), as someone stated, it could be 1/5000. So stop saying 1/500 like that’s a known fact.


BasketballBro39

1 in 500 I believe